PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP presses toward the 0.002985 60-day high after a 30.9% weekly surge
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-14 02:19 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is invalidated by a sustained close below 0.002869.. Cautious read: a break below $0.002869 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your locomotive is already nose-to-nose with the wall at 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I concede Mara’s sharpest number: RSI(14) is 76. Resistance to clear sits near $0.002985. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede Mara’s sharpest number: RSI(14) is 76.5, so PUMP is running hot. But heat is not automatically exhaustion when price sits 26.0% above SMA20, 55.4% above SMA50, and MACD histogram is expanding; the tape is a locomotive, not a candle sputtering out.
Leo, your locomotive is already nose-to-nose with the wall at 0.002985, just 0.8% above spot. The same 76.5 RSI he calls fuel is an overbought alarm, while 62.4% of long accounts and a 1.66 long/short ratio leave the rebound vulnerable to a sharp unwind.
I see more upside than the ruling admits: PUMP is only 0.8% below 0.002985 despite Fear&Greed at 29, and the shown record contains 5 WIN and 0 LOSS directional calls. A clean break of that high could force the fearful crowd to reprice the 30.9% seven-day trend.
The fastest failure is a rejection at 0.002985 followed by a loss of 0.002869. RSI(14) at 76.5 and 62.4% long accounts are the fragile exhibits; the 6.88B-token unlock compounds the downside if enthusiasm cools.
Mara overreaches by treating overbought RSI as a verdict rather than a condition. The deciding fact is whether price clears 0.002985 or loses 0.002869; the displayed record’s 5 WIN and 0 LOSS supports the bullish side, but not an endless vertical move.
· RSI(14) at 76.5
· 62.4% long accounts and 1.66 long/short ratio
· 6.88B-token unlock
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is invalidated by a sustained close below 0.002869.
Leo, the 30.9% seven-day gain is your key exhibit, but it also makes the next leg harder: momentum has been front-loaded into resistance at 0.002985.
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.001149 and price has built a bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure with SMA50 1.6% above SMA200. A ceiling matters only if sellers can break that trend architecture.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, the 30.9% seven-day gain is your key exhibit, but it also makes the next leg harder: momentum has been front-loaded into resistance at 0.002985.
Mara, the 60-day low is 0.001149 and price has built a bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure with SMA50 1.6% above SMA200. A ceiling matters only if sellers can break that trend architecture.
Mara, the crowd is long at 62.4%, but taker buy/sell is only 1.02, not a panic chase. That combination says participation is constructive without the extreme aggressive buying that would make the move purely crowded.
Theo, the macro tape offers no rescue: the SEC again delayed its innovation exemption and postponed Reg Crypto without a new date. If liquidity sentiment turns, a high-beta meme asset will feel it before the headlines do.
I rule bullish, with the expanding MACD histogram and 0.002985 breakout test as the decisive exhibit. The call is overturned by a sustained break below 0.002869, the latest candle low, especially if RSI falls back below 70.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: momentum, moving-average structure, MACD expansion, support/resistance. Conflicts: RSI(14) at 76.5 and price only 0.8% below the 60-day high. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: mixed. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 29, long-account ratio at 1.66, taker buy/sell at 1.02, settled-call outcomes. Conflicts: 62.4% long accounts indicate crowding while the Fear&Greed reading remains fearful; StockTwits has 0 messages. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Protocol-revenue headlines and app-expansion coverage support the rally narrative, while reports flag rebound fragility and a 6.88B-token unlock. Broader SEC delays add a policy overhang, but the coin-specific news flow is still more constructive than destructive.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Protocol-revenue growth is the strongest fundamental support in the pack, reinforced by the app-expansion headline. The 6.88B-token unlock is the central supply risk, and the data pack provides no revenue, valuation, or token-distribution figures to quantify its impact.
2a41b986c27740fd96cccbca0279bb33794c10578eebad1f25d6c319b2163b0553f40f609f1c3a40d35f95df8482a1a109627902af10da6eeb4433219b8978bcCommitted 2026-08-15T00:20:00+00:00 · 95 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22