PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP’s 0.004239 price absorbs a 14.88% daily shock while the bullish MA structure stays intact
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-31 03:01 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A confirmed break below 0.004175 overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.004175 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo is dressing a 14.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede Mara’s strongest number: PUMP dropped 14. Resistance to clear sits near $0.00546. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede Mara’s strongest number: PUMP dropped 14.88% in 24 hours and sits 22.4% below the 60-day high of 0.00546. But that shock is hitting a chart still 51.6% above SMA50 and 109.4% above SMA200; the staircase hasn’t collapsed, it’s taken a hard punch. With RSI at 56.9 and MACD weakness contracting, the damage looks more like digestion than regime failure.
Leo is dressing a 14.88% liquidation-style hit as digestion, while the tape itself says takers are voting against him at 0.92. His beloved 51.6% SMA50 premium is exactly the air pocket that can unwind, and the 22.4% gap to 0.00546 proves the market has already rejected the higher range. RSI 56.9 is not a shield; it leaves plenty of room for a deeper slide.
· taker buy/sell at 0.92
· 53.9% long accounts and L/S ratio 1.17
· 14.88% daily drawdown
Invalidation: A confirmed break below 0.004175 overturns the bullish ruling.
Leo, your 109.4% above-SMA200 statistic is backward-looking comfort. Can a chart be called healthy when taker buy/sell is 0.92 and the day closes at 0.004236 after printing 0.004175?
Mara, yes—because the close is still above the 0.004175 intraday low and price remains 8.3% over SMA20. A single ugly candle matters less when SMA50 still clears SMA200 by 38.1%.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, your 109.4% above-SMA200 statistic is backward-looking comfort. Can a chart be called healthy when taker buy/sell is 0.92 and the day closes at 0.004236 after printing 0.004175?
Mara, yes—because the close is still above the 0.004175 intraday low and price remains 8.3% over SMA20. A single ugly candle matters less when SMA50 still clears SMA200 by 38.1%.
Leo, the crowd isn’t cleanly bullish: 53.9% of accounts are long, L/S is 1.17, and Fear & Greed is 62. That’s not capitulation, but it also isn’t the funding confirmation I’d invent—funding is unavailable.
Mara, your air-pocket case needs a break, not a mood. PUMP is up 100.6% over 30 days, so liquidity has already repriced it aggressively; the question is whether 0.004175 fails, not whether the chart looks exhausted.
Dmitri, precisely: after +100.6% in 30 days, a -10.7% seven-day move is the first credible reversal warning. If 0.004175 gives way, the bullish averages become overhead supply.
I rule bullish, and the decisive exhibit is the 38.1% SMA50-over-SMA200 spread alongside price still 51.6% above SMA50. The ruling is overturned by a confirmed break below 0.004175, especially if RSI(14) falls beneath 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: RSI(14) 56.9; price above SMA20 by 8.3%, SMA50 by 51.6%, and SMA200 by 109.4%; SMA50 exceeds SMA200 by 38.1%. Conflict: MACD histogram is negative at -0.00002299 and contracting, with a 14.88% 24-hour drop. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish near term, bullish structurally. Evidence families: Fear & Greed 62, long accounts 53.9% with a 1.17 L/S ratio, taker buy/sell at 0.92, and StockTwits at 4 bullish versus 0 bearish. Conflict: retail optimism is crowded against weaker taker flow. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Pump.fun’s reported $50M daily app volume and HyperEVM USDC trading expansion are constructive adoption headlines. The $1B meme-coin coverage and 107% historical-pattern forecast are promotional, not proof; Saylor’s Bitcoin headline is largely unrelated to PUMP.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack offers ecosystem activity through $50M daily app volume and the HyperEVM token-trading expansion. It provides no supply, emissions, revenue, or valuation figures, so fundamentals support the narrative but cannot independently anchor fair value.
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