PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP presses 7.6% higher with RSI 67.6, nearing the 0.002587 60-day high
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-09 02:08 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive break below 0.002399 overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.002399 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost, Leo, your 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the bear’s cleanest number: SMA50 is still 6. Resistance to clear sits near $0.002587. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance, and I’ll concede the bear’s cleanest number: SMA50 is still 6.0% below SMA200 and MACD momentum is contracting. But price is 16.6% above SMA20, 31.2% above SMA200, and up 68.2% in 30 days; that bearish moving-average lag looks stale beside a live breakout pressing within 5.3% of 0.002587. Mara, the 2026-07-29 underweight call lost as PUMP gained 22.1% versus BTC, so the tape has already punished that reflex.
I’m Mara Frost, Leo, your 0.002587 ceiling is not a trophy—it’s the exact place a 68.2% monthly sprint can run out of oxygen. RSI 67.6 is close to overbought territory, MACD is shrinking, and the SMA50/SMA200 spread remains bearish; calling the lag stale ignores that momentum is visibly losing thrust. The 2026-07-29 underweight loss proves timing can hurt bears, not that this resistance breaks.
· rejection at 0.002587
· RSI 67.6 with contracting MACD momentum
· bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure
Invalidation: A decisive break below 0.002399 overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, a 5.3% gap to the 60-day high is a launchpad-sized distance when taker buy/sell is 1.08 and price just closed at 0.00245.
Leo, 1.08 is a modest flow edge, while RSI 67.6 and a contracting 2.447e-05 MACD histogram say your launchpad is already sputtering.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(6)
Mara, a 5.3% gap to the 60-day high is a launchpad-sized distance when taker buy/sell is 1.08 and price just closed at 0.00245.
Leo, 1.08 is a modest flow edge, while RSI 67.6 and a contracting 2.447e-05 MACD histogram say your launchpad is already sputtering.
I’m Theo Okafor: Fear&Greed at 31 with 54.9% long accounts is not euphoric crowding; it’s a skeptical crowd leaning only mildly bullish. Funding is unavailable, so nobody gets to invent a crowded-funding story.
I’m Dmitri Volkov: the macro tape offers no PUMP-specific liquidity tailwind; Bitcoin’s BIP-110 headline is noise until it changes risk appetite. A 31 fear reading can support a squeeze, but it can also mark fragile demand.
Dmitri, fragile demand still produced 17.6% in seven days and a close near the session high of 0.00247; that is behavior, not a headline.
And behavior that fails below 0.002399 turns your neat breakout into a one-day wick, Leo.
I’m Judge Aldrich: the bull side wins, decided by price sitting 16.6% above SMA20 while Fear&Greed remains at 31. This differs from the recent losing underweight call on 2026-07-29, when PUMP gained 22.1% versus BTC, because today’s pack shows both multi-horizon trend strength and positive taker flow. The ruling is invalidated by a decisive break below 0.002399.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura: PUMP is above SMA20 by 16.6%, SMA50 by 39.5%, and SMA200 by 31.2%, while 7-day and 30-day gains reach 17.6% and 68.2%. RSI 67.6 is hot, MACD histogram remains positive at 2.447e-05 but is contracting, and the SMA50 sits 6.0% below SMA200.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed is only 31 despite PUMP’s 7.6% 24-hour rise, while long accounts are 54.9% and the long/short ratio is 1.22. Taker flow leans constructive at 1.08, but the sample is thin: StockTwits shows 0 bullish and 0 bearish tags from 1 message.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh: the news flow is dominated by price-prediction and breakout narratives, including reports of a 200-day EMA breakout and fading retail interest. The broader headlines cover Bitcoin’s BIP-110 soft-fork attempt and Russian hardware-wallet demand, neither offering a direct PUMP catalyst.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand: the pack provides no token-supply, unlock, revenue, or adoption metrics, so there’s no fundamental basis for a months-long thesis. The only relevant project framing is Pump.fun’s bonding-curve and rug-pull discussion, which highlights structural ecosystem risk rather than a quantified advantage.
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2026-08-08 · 2026-08-07 · 2026-08-06 · 2026-08-05 · 2026-08-04 · 2026-08-03 · 2026-08-02 · 2026-08-01