PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP is 15.0% above its SMA20, but the rally is pressing into a 0.002097 ceiling with momentum fading
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-23 00:49 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive move above the 60-day high at 0.002097 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.001149 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your favorite numbers are backward-looking speedometers.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your favorite numbers are backward-looking speedometers. Key support to defend sits near $0.001149. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SMA50 sits 19.1% below SMA200, and today’s close is down 7.69%. But price is still 15.0% above SMA20, up 12.4% in seven days and 31.9% in thirty; that’s a live rebound, not a corpse, and Fear&Greed at 31 says the crowd hasn’t priced in euphoria.
Leo, your favorite numbers are backward-looking speedometers. The actual tape closed at 0.001906, MACD histogram is contracting at +4.221e-05, taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00, and the nearest 60-day high is only 0.002097 away; the 31 fear reading doesn’t erase a 55.8% long crowd facing an $86M unlock.
· Breakout through 0.002097
· Fear-driven short squeeze
· Unlock supply being absorbed
Invalidation: A decisive move above the 60-day high at 0.002097 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day high at 0.002097 is a test, not a verdict; price is still 65.9% above the 0.001149 low, and RSI 63.2 leaves room before exhaustion.
Leo, RSI 63.2 is not a force field. A 7.69% daily drop from 0.001922 high to 0.001906 close, with contracting MACD, says your rebound is losing thrust at resistance.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day high at 0.002097 is a test, not a verdict; price is still 65.9% above the 0.001149 low, and RSI 63.2 leaves room before exhaustion.
Leo, RSI 63.2 is not a force field. A 7.69% daily drop from 0.001922 high to 0.001906 close, with contracting MACD, says your rebound is losing thrust at resistance.
Mara, I’ll grant the 1.00 taker ratio gives buyers no applause. But 55.8% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.26 are only mildly crowded, so a breakout could still force repositioning.
Theo, that is a squeeze-shaped fairy tale without funding data. With the SMA50 still 19.1% under SMA200 and an $86M unlock in view, liquidity has a convenient excuse to sell the bounce.
I side with the bears, and my decisive exhibit is the contracting MACD histogram at +4.221e-05 while PUMP closed at 0.001906 after a 7.69% daily fall. The bullish case is overturned if price reclaims 0.002097; until then, the 0.00185 area is vulnerable on a failed rebound.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 63.2 and price sits 15.0% above SMA20 and 23.8% above SMA50, keeping near-term momentum bullish. But SMA50 remains 19.1% below SMA200 and MACD histogram is contracting at +4.221e-05; direction: mixed; evidence families: RSI, moving-average positioning, MACD, multi-period returns, support/resistance; conflicts: strong short-term trend versus bearish long-term MA structure and fading MACD; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 31, while long accounts hold 55.8% with an L/S ratio of 1.26 and taker buy/sell at 1.00. The crowd is fearful but mildly long, leaving room for a squeeze yet offering no aggressive buying confirmation; direction: mixed; evidence families: Fear&Greed, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: fear backdrop versus net-long accounts and flat taker flow; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines spotlight Ansem’s PUMP buy, the token’s 2-month high, and Pump.fun’s continued trading activity despite the SOL slide. The harder headline is the $86M PUMP unlock as three-year vesting begins, which puts supply risk directly in the tape.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The $86M token unlock is the clearest coin-specific fundamental event in the pack. Broader crypto legislation headlines are still under debate and do not provide a direct PUMP earnings or adoption catalyst.
52b1fd2f7384a36585fb13352614b0eea186c605433972679d484078238848bf8624d818ee7811d0e765aa63f60423eb1e28fec5823b0c3f5024085df84084a2Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23