PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP’s 71.7 RSI rides a 144.5% 30-day surge toward 0.00546
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-27 02:23 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: A break below 0.004792, reinforced by RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.004792 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s moving-average stack is exactly the number I distrust: being 144.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede the bear’s cleanest number: RSI is 71. Resistance to clear sits near $0.00546. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the bear’s cleanest number: RSI is 71.7, and MACD’s +0.0001352 histogram is contracting. But price is still 36.6% above SMA20, 89.1% above SMA50, and 144.0% above SMA200; that’s a locomotive with a warm engine, not a dead cat, while 0.00546 is only 12.0% away.
Leo’s moving-average stack is exactly the number I distrust: being 144.0% above SMA200 describes extension, not durability. PUMP is already up 144.5% in 30 days, Fear & Greed is 71, and taker buy/sell is 0.96; the 0.00546 ceiling is a crowded exit, not an invitation.
I’m more bullish than the ruling: 0.00546 is only 12.0% above spot, while the project reports $2.4M in daily fees and the shown record has 3 WIN and 0 LOSS directional calls. The market may still be underpricing a continuation leg if price clears that 60-day high.
The fastest failure is a momentum unwind from RSI 71.7: price is 144.5% higher over 30 days, yet taker buy/sell is only 0.96 and the latest candle closed at 0.004805 below its 0.004886 open. That makes the recent impulse the fragile exhibit.
Mara overreaches by treating a 71.7 RSI as a reversal signal, while Leo overreaches if he treats the 3 WIN record as predictive. The deciding condition is whether 0.004792 holds; below it, the stretched trend thesis breaks.
· RSI overbought at 71.7
· MACD histogram contracting
· taker buy/sell at 0.96
Invalidation: A break below 0.004792, reinforced by RSI falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating extension as evidence of collapse. The SMA50 sits 29.0% above SMA200, and the latest close at 0.004805 held above the 0.004792 low.
Leo, that candle still opened at 0.004886 and closed at 0.004805, below the open. A 71.7 RSI plus a 12.0% gap to the 60-day high leaves little room for a fresh narrative shock.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, you’re treating extension as evidence of collapse. The SMA50 sits 29.0% above SMA200, and the latest close at 0.004805 held above the 0.004792 low.
Leo, that candle still opened at 0.004886 and closed at 0.004805, below the open. A 71.7 RSI plus a 12.0% gap to the 60-day high leaves little room for a fresh narrative shock.
I’ll interrupt: long accounts are only 56.5%, with an L/S ratio of 1.30—not a blowout crowd. But the 0.96 taker ratio says immediate flow is leaning against the bulls.
And I’ll add the macro sting: SEC custody-rule headlines can tighten the risk backdrop, while Nvidia’s $108B guide may pull liquidity toward equities rather than a meme token.
Dmitri, that’s a macro weather report, not PUMP-specific damage. The project’s $2.4M daily fee print and USDC expansion are harder evidence than a generalized liquidity hunch.
I rule bullish, with the bullish moving-average structure as the decisive exhibit: SMA50 is 29.0% above SMA200 while price remains 36.6% above SMA20. This ruling flips if PUMP breaks below 0.004792 and momentum fails to recover, with RSI falling under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: bullish moving-average structure (SMA50 above SMA200 by 29.0%), price trend (+36.6% vs SMA20, +89.1% vs SMA50, +144.0% vs SMA200), momentum (RSI 71.7; MACD histogram +0.0001352 but contracting). Conflicts: RSI is overbought and MACD momentum is fading. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed 71, long accounts 56.5% with L/S ratio 1.30, StockTwits 8 bullish versus 2 bearish. Conflicts: taker buy/sell at 0.96 shows slight aggressive-selling pressure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The useful headline is Pump.fun’s reported $2.4M daily fee revenue, the highest since September 2025, alongside HyperEVM token trading with USDC. The 107% prediction headline is pattern extrapolation, not evidence; SEC custody-rule headlines and Nvidia’s $108B revenue guide are broader-market noise for this token.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Reported $2.4M daily fees give PUMP a concrete activity signal, while HyperEVM and USDC trading broaden the ecosystem’s transaction surface. The pack provides no token-supply, unlock, valuation, or cash-flow-to-token linkage, so fundamentals support the narrative but cannot independently anchor fair value.
b7ee97f7afa523e27d28d2bacc5d76398b97060f22b8d0db403efe7abb36bed864bb1ee510b85abc06eb9d0328d74bef4839ac43e76e5a63e96f0ad2d0a0301eCommitted 2026-08-28T00:20:00+00:00 · 93 rulings that day · Check the chain
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