PUMP / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
PUMP’s +10.71% surge is pressing the 0.004326 resistance with RSI at 83.4
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-22 02:25 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — +33.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — +12.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Overweight — +26.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +25.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — +14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — +14.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Overweight — +31.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Neutral — +27.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — +9.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — +4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Neutral — +17.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Neutral — +26.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +22.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — +1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +7.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Neutral — +24.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +10.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close below 0.003997 overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.003997 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re using the 0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: Mara, your strongest number is RSI 83. Resistance to clear sits near $0.004326. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, your strongest number is RSI 83.4, and I’ll concede that’s hot enough to scorch a chart. But heat is not automatically exhaustion when PUMP is up 54.7% in seven days, MACD is expanding at +0.0001367, and every major moving-average spread is bullish; the 0.004326 60-day high is a nearby breakout gate, not proof of failure. Yes, the 2026-08-07 underweight call lost as PUMP returned +25.9% versus BTC, but today’s tape has a fresh high test, stronger trend confirmation, and a 71 Greed reading that confirms participation rather than a dead-cat bounce.
Leo, you’re using the 0.004326 ceiling as a launchpad while ignoring that RSI 83.4 is precisely where late buyers become exit liquidity. Your +54.7% seven-day number is not confirmation; it is the evidence of vertical extension, with price already +49.1% above SMA20 and +93.5% above SMA50. The 2026-08-07 underweight loss of +25.9% versus BTC proves only that a bearish call can miss a squeeze—not that this overextended structure deserves another bullish verdict.
I’m more bullish than the ruling: a clean break above 0.004326 could expose the psychologically watched 0.005 area cited in coverage, while the 30-day gain is already +132.8% and momentum is still expanding. The 60-day low at 0.001149 is remote, showing how dramatically the market has repriced the structure.
The fastest failure is a rejection at 0.004326 followed by a break under 0.003997, because RSI 83.4 and Fear&Greed 71 make the momentum exhibit fragile. The 58.4% long-account share and 1.41 L/S ratio could amplify a reversal, and funding is unavailable to test whether crowding is even worse.
The aggressive desk overreaches by treating the 0.005 headline target as evidence, while the conservative desk overreaches by treating overbought RSI as a reversal signal. The deciding condition is whether price holds 0.003997 after the 0.004326 test; the settled record’s 4 WIN / 1 LOSS supports the call, but the 2026-08-07 loss shows bearish misses can be expensive.
· RSI 83.4 overextension
· rejection at 0.004326
· long-account crowding with L/S 1.41
Invalidation: A close below 0.003997 overturns the bullish ruling.
Leo, the 0.004326 high is 1.6% away, and you call that a gate; I call it the obvious supply shelf after a 132.8% thirty-day rally.
Mara, obvious supply is only bearish if it rejects. An expanding MACD histogram and SMA50 sitting 16.0% above SMA200 say the trend has torque, not just nostalgia.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, the 0.004326 high is 1.6% away, and you call that a gate; I call it the obvious supply shelf after a 132.8% thirty-day rally.
Mara, obvious supply is only bearish if it rejects. An expanding MACD histogram and SMA50 sitting 16.0% above SMA200 say the trend has torque, not just nostalgia.
Leo, Mara, the crowd is tilted but not euphoric enough to confirm a blow-off: long accounts are 58.4%, L/S is 1.41, and taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00. That’s supportive structure with no funding-rate data to certify a crowded unwind.
Theo, the absence of funding data is not a macro all-clear. With Fear&Greed at 71 and crypto headlines leaning toward a Bitcoin $75,000 breakout, liquidity enthusiasm can reverse faster than PUMP’s chart can absorb it.
Dmitri, fair—but the current exhibit is still price making a 60-day high test at 0.004326 while the recent record shows four wins against one loss. This is a momentum call, not a claim that the token is cheap.
I rule bullish, with the decisive exhibit being the aligned trend stack: PUMP is +49.1% above SMA20, +93.5% above SMA50, +124.4% above SMA200, and MACD is expanding at +0.0001367. The recent 2026-08-07 underweight loss was a +25.9% relative miss, but the current call differs through the active 0.004326 60-day-high test and confirmed bullish moving-average structure; the ruling is invalidated by a close below 0.003997.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI is stretched at 83.4, but the structure is forcefully bullish: price sits +49.1% above SMA20, +93.5% above SMA50, and +124.4% above SMA200. MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0001367, while SMA50 leads SMA200 by 16.0%; direction: bullish; evidence families: moving-average structure, momentum, trend extension; conflicts: overbought RSI and price 1.6% below the 60d high; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bullish but crowded; evidence families: Fear&Greed 71, long accounts 58.4% with a 1.41 L/S ratio, and StockTwits at 2 bullish versus 0 bearish. The 1.00 taker buy/sell ratio is the friction point, showing aggressive enthusiasm has not translated into dominant taker flow; conflicts: greed and long skew versus neutral taker flow; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The headline tape is constructive: Bitcoin is eyeing a $75,000 breakout, while coverage frames PUMP as testing $0.005 after escaping its downtrend. The $12.52M sale of 143,524 SOL by Pump.fun is the harder headline, but it is a company-flow item rather than direct evidence that PUMP’s current price structure has failed.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack offers limited token-economics evidence: no supply, unlock, revenue, or valuation figures are provided. The available fundamental signal is mainly ecosystem attention, with Pump.fun-linked coverage extending alongside the broader crypto rally.
cbc95f2ab1cfc3cb900971213f411ff6424a5f5d1f8584844db94c0ebe3e8d864dce84591bab17edc3dcb06a2ee866c2e70ff75132d5ba0582c8c8ce8beda186Committed 2026-08-23T00:20:00+00:00 · 94 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23