STX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
RSI hits 70.0 as STX extends a 104.8% monthly surge, overpowering recent underweight losses.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-05 01:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — +4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — +8.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +77.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +50.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -17.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -16.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: Price falls below 0.2632.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2632 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you're chasing a dragon that's about to crash.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: I know we've been burned with underweight calls on August 16, 20, 23, and 24—those losses of 50% to 77% against BTC are facts we can't ignore. Resistance to clear sits near $0.2893. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I know we've been burned with underweight calls on August 16, 20, 23, and 24—those losses of 50% to 77% against BTC are facts we can't ignore. But that history is stale; the current price is +53.5% above the SMA50 and the RSI is at 70.0, proving this rocket has left the launchpad while the skeptics were busy reading old charts.
Leo, you're chasing a dragon that's about to crash. That 70.0 RSI isn't strength, it's an overheated engine about to seize, and with the SMA50 still 17.1% below the SMA200, you're betting on a blow-off top rather than a sustainable trend.
· RSI overextension at 70.0
· Bearish long-term MA structure
· Prior underweight call failures
Invalidation: Price falls below 0.2632.
Overheated? The MACD histogram is still positive at 0.001676, and we're up 9.5% in just seven days—this momentum is structural, not a flash in the pan.
A contracting histogram on a 70.0 RSI is a classic divergence warning, Leo. You're ignoring the 60d high of 0.2893 which is only 8% away—a ceiling this volatile usually smashes into.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(3)
Overheated? The MACD histogram is still positive at 0.001676, and we're up 9.5% in just seven days—this momentum is structural, not a flash in the pan.
A contracting histogram on a 70.0 RSI is a classic divergence warning, Leo. You're ignoring the 60d high of 0.2893 which is only 8% away—a ceiling this volatile usually smashes into.
We smashed the 60d low of 0.1175 by over 126% to get here; the crowd is just waking up to the Bitcoin L2 narrative while you nitpick moving averages.
I'm siding with the bulls on this one. The decisive exhibit is the 104.8% 30-day gain combined with the price holding well above the SMA20; this trend is too strong to short right now. If the price slips back below the 60d low of 0.1175, this entire thesis is invalidated.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price sits +53.5% above the SMA50 with the RSI at 70.0, signaling extreme momentum despite the bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed reads 73 (Greed) and the 30-day performance is massive, though the long/short ratio of 0.66 suggests persistent skepticism.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Major outlets like Investopedia and Coin Bureau are pushing educational narratives on Stacks as Bitcoin's leading smart contract layer.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Tokenomics are centered on Bitcoin layer-2 utility, driving the current re-rating narrative.
76ff6dfa97bca16a4685c0a993522a8b20326ad090f7d104e550277ce93be1544910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165Committed 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 · 76 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24