STX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
STX sits at $0.1634 with RSI 40.1 and a 31.4% discount to its 200-day average.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 01:08 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — +4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — +8.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +77.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +50.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -17.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -16.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1645 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1567 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD number is contracting, so your engine metaphor is mostly exhaust.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD number is contracting, so your engine metaphor is mostly exhaust. Key support to defend sits near $0.1567. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I concede the ugly number, Mara: STX is 31.4% below its SMA200 and the 60-day drawdown is 35.7%. But RSI at 40.1 isn't capitulation, and the positive MACD histogram at +0.000594 says the engine is still firing; with Fear & Greed at 28, some bad news is already baked into the cake.
Leo, that MACD number is contracting, so your engine metaphor is mostly exhaust. Price is still below every major moving average, takers are selling at 0.83, and the supposed bargain sits only 4.1% above the 60-day low at $0.1567—hardly proof that sellers have finished.
· Oversold rebound from $0.1567
· Positive MACD histogram reversal higher
· Unexpected regulatory catalyst
Invalidation: A sustained move above $0.1645 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, a 4.1% cushion above the low is exactly where reflexive rebounds begin. If $0.1567 holds, your trend thesis becomes a crowded short near support.
Leo, support is a location, not a verdict. A 1.25 long/short ratio tells me leveraged optimism is still volunteering as exit liquidity.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, a 4.1% cushion above the low is exactly where reflexive rebounds begin. If $0.1567 holds, your trend thesis becomes a crowded short near support.
Leo, support is a location, not a verdict. A 1.25 long/short ratio tells me leveraged optimism is still volunteering as exit liquidity.
Leo, I’ll grant the fear reading, but the tape disagrees with the hope: taker buy/sell at 0.83 means aggressive flow favors sellers. Long accounts at 55.5% make the fear trade poorly balanced.
Everyone is arguing over a tiny MACD flicker while the broader liquidity regime is hostile to weak charts. The Clarity Act missing its congressional window removes a potential sector tailwind, not just a headline.
I side with Mara and Dmitri: the decisive exhibit is STX trading 31.4% below SMA200 while SMA50 sits 27.0% below it. I invalidate this bearish ruling only on a sustained break above $0.1645 accompanied by RSI reclaiming 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Bearish. The price is below SMA20 by 2.6%, SMA50 by 6.0%, and SMA200 by 31.4%, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 27.0%. MACD histogram is positive at +0.000594 but contracting, and $0.1567 is the nearest major downside level.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Bearish. Fear & Greed is 28, taker buy/sell is 0.83, and long accounts still lead at 55.5% with a 1.25 long/short ratio. Fear is elevated, but positioning is not washed out enough to offset persistent selling pressure.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Neutral. Stacks-related coverage is broadly bullish in framing, but the market headlines offer no STX-specific catalyst. The expected delay to the Clarity Act window adds a regulatory overhang across digital assets.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Neutral. The data pack frames Stacks as a Bitcoin smart-contract layer, but supplies no token-economics, valuation, adoption, or network-growth figures. Fundamental conviction is therefore unavailable from the exhibits.
fdc269bb3f9269d7f426cea588fe192f09efa0009171831bdecb75c36852ccd910578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24