STX / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
STX trades at $0.1626, only 3.8% above its 60-day low as the downtrend tightens
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:28 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Neutral — +4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — +8.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +77.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +50.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -17.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -16.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above approximately $0.1770, the implied SMA20 level, would overturn the bearish swing ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1567 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that “floor” is a postcard, not a floor.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that “floor” is a postcard, not a floor. Key support to defend sits near $0.1567. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: STX is 32.5% under SMA200 and has lost 11.4% in 30 days. But RSI14 at 37.4 and the positive MACD histogram at +0.000472 say the engine is trying to turn over; with price just 3.8% above the 60-day low, the bad news is already baked into the floor.
Leo, that “floor” is a postcard, not a floor. Your +0.000472 MACD histogram is contracting, price remains below every major average, and the 60-day low at $0.1567 is only $0.0059 away—there’s no reversal until buyers prove they can reclaim structure, not merely stop falling.
· RSI14 at 37.4 can fuel a relief bounce
· positive but contracting MACD histogram
· bullish STX-specific coverage
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above approximately $0.1770, the implied SMA20 level, would overturn the bearish swing ruling.
Mara, the 60-day low is visible risk, not automatic destiny; a 37.4 RSI leaves room for a snapback, and the 7-day loss is only 2.1%.
Leo, a snapback into resistance is not a verdict. STX is still 3.3% below SMA20 and 8.3% below SMA50, while the 30-day slide at 11.4% says sellers own the map.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day low is visible risk, not automatic destiny; a 37.4 RSI leaves room for a snapback, and the 7-day loss is only 2.1%.
Leo, a snapback into resistance is not a verdict. STX is still 3.3% below SMA20 and 8.3% below SMA50, while the 30-day slide at 11.4% says sellers own the map.
Leo, I’m with Mara on positioning: 56.3% of accounts are long, the ratio is 1.29, and takers buy at only 0.73 versus sells. That is crowded hope meeting weak aggression; funding wasn’t provided, so I won’t invent a subsidy for the longs.
Theo’s read fits the tape. Bitcoin under $64,000 amid oil strength and an AI selloff is a liquidity tax on smaller crypto; STX’s 36.8% distance from its 60-day high shows how little macro air it has.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is STX trading 32.5% below SMA200 with a bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure of -26.4%. The bullish case survives only if STX reclaims $0.1770, the approximate SMA20 implied by the stated -3.3% gap; a break below $0.1567 invalidates any near-term bullish reversal and confirms fresh downside.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. STX sits 3.3% below SMA20, 8.3% below SMA50, and 32.5% below SMA200; the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -26.4%. RSI14 at 37.4 is weak but not deeply oversold, while the positive MACD histogram at +0.000472 is contracting.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 29, long accounts still lead at 56.3% with a 1.29 long/short ratio, and taker buy/sell is just 0.73. That is fear in the crowd but not capitulation in positioning—an awkward setup for dip buyers.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. Market headlines put Bitcoin below $64,000 amid an oil bounce and a lingering AI selloff, while another headline ties crypto pressure to AI-IPO and China-tech turbulence. STX-specific coverage is largely explanatory or bullish in tone, but it offers no fresh catalyst in the data pack to counter the broader risk-off tape.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Neutral-to-bearish. The coverage describes Stacks as a Bitcoin smart-contract layer, which supports a coherent utility narrative. The data pack supplies no token-economics, adoption, revenue, or valuation figures to justify paying up for that narrative while price remains 32.5% below SMA200.
b7f748a3c6a4463cf412d0fa4b671cf1feaf68c3631fa938d1e6530975aa8174bb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24