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STX / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 03:37 UTC
$0.17
+1.64% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-15 03:37 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → STX
The Verdict
Underweight

STX remains technically weak amid extreme fear, with limited evidence of a durable rebound.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 03:37 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
18W–6L–8P · 1 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 55.1–88.0% · n=24 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-08-31 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · STX price $0.2438 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · STX price $0.2661 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Neutral — +4.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · STX price $0.2576 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · STX price $0.2661 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · STX price $0.2623 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · STX price $0.2661 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-24 — Underweight — +8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · STX price $0.2256 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · STX price $0.243 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — +8.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · STX price $0.2235 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · STX price $0.2463 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+8.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Underweight — +77.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · STX price $0.1307 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · STX price $0.2623 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+77.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +50.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · STX price $0.1218 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · STX price $0.2235 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
+50.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · STX price $0.1228 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · STX price $0.1307 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-2.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -5.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · STX price $0.1328 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · STX price $0.1218 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · STX price $0.1302 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · STX price $0.1222 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · STX price $0.1311 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · STX price $0.1235 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · STX price $0.1331 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · STX price $0.1228 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · STX price $0.1339 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · STX price $0.1272 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · STX price $0.1381 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · STX price $0.1306 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -8.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · STX price $0.1391 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · STX price $0.1308 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-8.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · STX price $0.1379 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · STX price $0.1328 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · STX price $0.1379 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · STX price $0.1302 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-8.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -8.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · STX price $0.1413 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · STX price $0.1311 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · STX price $0.1341 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · STX price $0.1331 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · STX price $0.1387 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · STX price $0.1339 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +3.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · STX price $0.1343 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · STX price $0.1381 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · STX price $0.1453 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · STX price $0.1391 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · STX price $0.1369 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · STX price $0.1379 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -1.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · STX price $0.1422 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · STX price $0.1379 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-1.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -13.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · STX price $0.1634 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · STX price $0.1413 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-13.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · STX price $0.1686 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · STX price $0.1341 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-17.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · STX price $0.1668 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · STX price $0.1387 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-14.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -17.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · STX price $0.166 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · STX price $0.1343 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-17.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -12.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · STX price $0.1626 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · STX price $0.1453 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-12.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -16.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · STX price $0.165 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · STX price $0.1369 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-16.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · STX price $0.166 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · STX price $0.1634 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · STX price $0.169 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · STX price $0.1686 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-15 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · STX price $0.1669 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · STX price $0.1685 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.1669 +1.6% 24h
60d high0.2571 -35.1%
60d low0.1567 +6.5%
RSI(14)42.0
30d change -13.7%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

STX is below its 20- and 50-period SMAs, with negative 30-day performance; the positive but contracting MACD histogram offers only tentative support.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Extreme Fear dominates, while positioning is only mildly long and taker flow is near balanced.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are mixed, with regulatory uncertainty and broader crypto-market concerns outweighing constructive adoption themes.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

No STX-specific fundamental data is provided, so conviction is limited.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
10ed51ff9444add6255acaf2f9caba39594a9b33b018da29fc9c54c45b9fdbbf
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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