WLD / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
WLD’s 0.3525 USD bounce is fighting a 21.5% 30-day slide and RSI at 39.6
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-27 00:37 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — -8.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — -8.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +17.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +13.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +13.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -18.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -10.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A close above 0.3840 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2797 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “spring” is resting on a moving-average relic while price sits 7.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “spring” is resting on a moving-average relic while price sits 7. Key support to defend sits near $0.2797. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: WLD is down 21.5% over 30 days and sits 51.3% below the 60-day high of 0.7229. But RSI at 39.6 is battered rather than euphoric, MACD is contracting its negative histogram, and the SMA50 remains 19.2% above the SMA200—this can be a bruised spring, not a corpse.
Leo, your “spring” is resting on a moving-average relic while price sits 7.5% below SMA20, 22.3% below SMA50, and 7.3% below SMA200. The contracting MACD loss is merely slower deterioration; meanwhile, WLD is down 7.4% in seven days and takers buy at only 0.92.
· ETF-filing-driven 8% catalyst replay
· Short-term rebound from RSI 39.6
· Large-holder supply concentration
Invalidation: A close above 0.3840 with RSI above 50 overturns the bearish ruling.
Leo, you’re polishing RSI 39.6 while ignoring the actual tape: WLD closed at 0.3523 after trading as low as 0.3521, still beneath every major short-term average.
Mara, that 0.3521 low is just above the 60-day floor at 0.2797, with 26.0% downside already mapped and fear at 30. The market has priced plenty of disgust.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Leo, you’re polishing RSI 39.6 while ignoring the actual tape: WLD closed at 0.3523 after trading as low as 0.3521, still beneath every major short-term average.
Mara, that 0.3521 low is just above the 60-day floor at 0.2797, with 26.0% downside already mapped and fear at 30. The market has priced plenty of disgust.
Leo, fear isn’t capitulation when long accounts are 49.8% and taker buy/sell is 0.92. Positioning is near balanced, so there’s no obvious forced-long fuel for your rebound.
And neither headline supplies liquidity. A $52.5M token sale and 90% ownership by 100 wallets make this a thin-market macro liability, not a clean risk-on setup.
Dmitri, the Grayscale ETF filing already showed WLD can jump 8% on a catalyst. A single fresh demand shock can overpower stale supply narratives.
I rule for Mara and the bears; my decisive exhibit is the 22.3% discount to SMA50 alongside a 0.92 taker buy/sell ratio. This ruling is overturned only if WLD closes above 0.3840, reclaiming its SMA20 zone, with RSI rising above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. WLD trades 7.5% below SMA20, 22.3% below SMA50, and 7.3% below SMA200. RSI is 39.6 and MACD histogram remains negative at -0.0006469, though contracting; the SMA50 sits 19.2% above SMA200, preserving a bullish longer-term moving-average structure.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear & Greed is 30, taker buy/sell is 0.92, and long accounts are only 49.8% with an L/S ratio of 0.99. Fear is evident, but selling still leads buying and there is no crowded-long imbalance to squeeze.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. Headlines cite a $52.5M token sale, alleged black-market activity, and an ETF filing showing 100 wallets control 90% of circulating WLD. The Grayscale ETF filing produced an 8% jump, but that catalyst has not reversed the broader selloff.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Bearish. Concentration risk is stark: 100 wallets reportedly control 90% of circulating WLD. A $52.5M token sale adds supply pressure, while the data pack provides no offsetting adoption or token-demand figures.
e8a790130d761d65b5f989b6016bc7773f2b11f2eda9bc5bce0f2ad377fb0ab9ace92be1bfed0b9c7e7a863093b8afefb792907be0285e95e6b33ca637a34faeCommitted 2026-07-28T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24