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WLD / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-24 01:34 UTC
$0.38
-0.60% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-24 01:34 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-24 — latest verdict → WLD
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

Despite a bullish SMA structure, WLD crumbles 27.9% in 30 days as Fear & Greed hits 28.

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-24 01:34 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
14W–11L–9P · 2 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 37.1–73.3% · n=25 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-30 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · WLD price $0.3798 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · WLD price $0.386 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -8.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · WLD price $0.4264 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · WLD price $0.386 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-8.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Overweight — -6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · WLD price $0.4093 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · WLD price $0.386 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-6.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · WLD price $0.4087 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · WLD price $0.3654 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-10.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -8.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · WLD price $0.3944 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-01 · WLD price $0.3654 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-8.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · WLD price $0.3928 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · WLD price $0.3778 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-5.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · WLD price $0.3736 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · WLD price $0.4264 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · WLD price $0.3633 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · WLD price $0.4093 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
-0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · WLD price $0.3492 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · WLD price $0.3928 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-8.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · WLD price $0.3391 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · WLD price $0.3736 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Overweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · WLD price $0.3311 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · WLD price $0.3633 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
+0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +17.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · WLD price $0.3051 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · WLD price $0.3492 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
+17.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +13.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · WLD price $0.3095 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · WLD price $0.3416 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+13.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — +13.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · WLD price $0.3019 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · WLD price $0.3391 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
+13.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · WLD price $0.3159 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · WLD price $0.3311 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
+6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · WLD price $0.3173 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · WLD price $0.3361 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · WLD price $0.3231 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-12 · WLD price $0.3361 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+4.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · WLD price $0.315 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · WLD price $0.3223 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-0.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · WLD price $0.3012 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · WLD price $0.3051 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · WLD price $0.3015 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · WLD price $0.3095 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · WLD price $0.3119 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · WLD price $0.3019 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-4.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · WLD price $0.3091 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · WLD price $0.3159 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · WLD price $0.3154 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · WLD price $0.3173 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · WLD price $0.3269 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · WLD price $0.3231 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · WLD price $0.3525 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · WLD price $0.315 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · WLD price $0.3431 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · WLD price $0.3012 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-10.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · WLD price $0.3476 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · WLD price $0.3015 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-11.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -18.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · WLD price $0.3823 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · WLD price $0.3119 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-18.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · WLD price $0.3882 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · WLD price $0.3091 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-17.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · WLD price $0.3813 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · WLD price $0.3154 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-14.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · WLD price $0.384 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · WLD price $0.3269 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-12.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · WLD price $0.357 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · WLD price $0.3525 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-3.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · WLD price $0.3771 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · WLD price $0.3431 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-8.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · WLD price $0.3883 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · WLD price $0.3823 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-3.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · WLD price $0.4039 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · WLD price $0.3882 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -10.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · WLD price $0.4127 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · WLD price $0.379 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-10.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.3823 -0.6% 24h
60d high0.7229 -47.1%
60d low0.2741 +39.5%
RSI(14)44.0
vs 200d SMA -0.5%
30d change -27.9%
Funding (net) +0.48 bp/8h
Fear & Greed28 · Fear
Long accounts54.4% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained break above the 0.3824 daily high would invalidate the immediate bearish thesis.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.2741
Key resistance$0.7229
InvalidationA sustained break above the 0.3824 daily high would invalidate the immediate bearish thesis.
Main risksRegulatory crackdown on centralizationETF approval driving speculative maniaWhale wallet dumping
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Price sits 17.1% below the SMA50 but the SMA50 holds 20.0% above the SMA200. MACD histogram is expanding, yet the 60-day high is a distant 47.1% away.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Fear dominates with a score of 28. Long accounts sit at 54.4% with a taker buy/sell ratio of 0.84, indicating selling pressure into the dip.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Worldcoin faces heat over 'Black Market' activity flagged by ZachXBT. A Grayscale ETF filing provided a brief 8% jump, but reports of 100 wallets controlling 90% of supply cap upside.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

Extreme centralization risk is evident with 90% of circulating supply held in just 100 wallets. The ETF filing is a positive catalyst, but regulatory scrutiny and concentration issues weigh heavily.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
b7200a7562ebf6b49da45c5645539d2c0c6b787a9f2acc6337c3467848e4d2b2
UTC date
2026-07-24
Chain head
10578adc3044a1b3f44953f9935e8f2d2c9f6e4a71dade480795911bdd4387d0

Committed 2026-07-25T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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