WLD / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
WLD’s 4.803% bounce cannot erase the 36.5% monthly slide
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-21 00:40 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-28 — Overweight — -8.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-27 — Overweight — -6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -8.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Overweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +17.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +13.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — +13.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Underweight — -18.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -10.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.3845, followed by a reclaim of SMA50, overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2584 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that +0.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that +0. Key support to defend sits near $0.2584. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede Mara’s strongest number: WLD is down 36.5% over 30 days and sits 17.9% beneath SMA50. But the tape is trying to turn—MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0005398, SMA50 is still 20.6% above SMA200, and the Grayscale ETF filing gives this battered coin a fresh match near 0.384.
Leo, that +0.0005398 MACD uptick is a spark in a flooded engine, not a reversal. Price remains below SMA20 by 3.2% and SMA50 by 17.9%, while the 60-day high at 0.7229 is still 46.9% away; calling a 4.803% daily bounce a trend change is hopium with a calculator.
· ETF-filing-driven short squeeze
· Extreme-fear reversal
· Expanding MACD momentum
Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.3845, followed by a reclaim of SMA50, overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, extreme fear at 25 is precisely where reflexive rallies start. With taker buy/sell at 1.01 and price pressing 0.3845 intraday, sellers aren’t exactly stampeding.
Theo would call that positioning balanced, not bullish: long accounts are only 50.0% and the L/S ratio is 1.00. Leo, a balanced book offers no crowded-short fuel, and WLD is still 7.4% lower over seven days.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, extreme fear at 25 is precisely where reflexive rallies start. With taker buy/sell at 1.01 and price pressing 0.3845 intraday, sellers aren’t exactly stampeding.
Theo would call that positioning balanced, not bullish: long accounts are only 50.0% and the L/S ratio is 1.00. Leo, a balanced book offers no crowded-short fuel, and WLD is still 7.4% lower over seven days.
I’m with Mara on the regime: a 36.5% monthly loss outweighs one ETF headline until price reclaims its moving averages. At 0.384, the market is pricing hope far more convincingly than liquidity.
Dmitri, the 60-day low at 0.2584 is 48.6% below spot, so the downside has already been heavily traveled. A clean move above 0.3845 would force the skeptics to chase.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is WLD’s 36.5% 30-day loss while price remains 17.9% below SMA50. The ETF filing and expanding MACD are credible rebound fuel, but not enough to defeat the prevailing trend. My ruling is invalidated by a decisive reclaim of SMA50, or specifically a move above the available 0.3845 intraday high followed by sustained strength.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI sits at 44.0 while price is 3.2% below SMA20 and 17.9% below SMA50. MACD histogram is expanding at +0.0005398, and the SMA50 remains 20.6% above SMA200: a tactical rebound inside a damaged intermediate chart.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 25, long accounts at 50.0% with a 1.00 long/short ratio, taker buy/sell at 1.01. Conflicts: extreme fear and near-balanced positioning can fuel a squeeze; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The Grayscale Worldcoin ETF S-1 filing is the only clearly WLD-specific catalyst in the pack. The headline response is constructive, but the market still has WLD 46.9% below its 60-day high, so the filing has not repaired the trend.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The ETF filing could broaden access and improve the token’s investability narrative. The data pack supplies no token-supply, valuation, revenue, or adoption figures, so fundamentals cannot override the chart damage.
d1f2921e5577afd57f96e596868033e8c57b6c95ac157334832d48b3e69f9eec8493ea2a32b8f699d8d9f64cbb801351e81386c424ce90ba6ee879a91604b285Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24