WLD / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
WLD at $0.357 faces a 41.5% monthly slide, with bearish momentum overpowering its bullish moving-average structure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-20 07:39 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — -8.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — -6.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — -8.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -5.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Overweight — -8.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Overweight — -4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Overweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +17.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +13.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +13.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +4.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -10.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — -11.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -18.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -17.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — -14.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -12.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -8.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -6.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -10.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A close above $0.392 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.2584 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 20.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 20. Key support to defend sits near $0.2584. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly print: WLD is down 41.5% over 30 days and sits at $0.357, well beneath its short-term averages. But RSI at 37.9 is closer to washed-out territory than a fresh short, and the SMA50 remains 20.6% above the SMA200—an old engine still running beneath the smashed bodywork. At $0.357, with the 60-day low at $0.2584, much of the panic may already be priced in.
Leo, that 20.6% moving-average gap is a rear-view mirror, not a rescue rope. The live tape says WLD is 9.4% below SMA20, 23.7% below SMA50, down 9.0% in seven days, and its MACD histogram is expanding at -0.001881. RSI 37.9 is not a reversal signal when sellers still control the slope.
· Oversold rebound from RSI 37.9
· Positive Worldcoin treasury or ticket catalyst
· Short squeeze if long positioning unwinds
Invalidation: A close above $0.392 with RSI above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Leo, you’re treating $0.2584 as proof of support before price has even tested it. How is a 41.5% monthly collapse “priced in” when WLD just lost another 5.38% in 24 hours?
Mara, the distance to the 60-day low is already 38.2%, and RSI at 37.9 leaves room for a reflex rally. Your thesis needs fresh downside, while mine only needs sellers to tire.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Leo, you’re treating $0.2584 as proof of support before price has even tested it. How is a 41.5% monthly collapse “priced in” when WLD just lost another 5.38% in 24 hours?
Mara, the distance to the 60-day low is already 38.2%, and RSI at 37.9 leaves room for a reflex rally. Your thesis needs fresh downside, while mine only needs sellers to tire.
Leo, the crowd isn’t capitulating cleanly: 51.9% of long accounts remain long, the L/S ratio is 1.08, and taker buy/sell is 0.83. That’s a weak bid meeting stubborn longs—not the positioning reset bulls want.
And the macro tape is no friend, Leo. Bitcoin is reported below $64,000 as oil rebounds and the AI selloff lingers; a fragile altcoin at $0.357 rarely outruns that liquidity weather.
I rule for Mara’s bears, and the decisive exhibit is WLD’s expanding -0.001881 MACD histogram alongside a 41.5% 30-day loss. The bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure is stale until price reclaims $0.392, and I invalidate this ruling if WLD closes above $0.392 with RSI recovering above 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: Bearish. WLD trades 9.4% below its SMA20, 23.7% below its SMA50, and 8.1% below its SMA200. RSI is 37.9, while the MACD histogram at -0.001881 is expanding; the lone counterpoint is SMA50 sitting 20.6% above SMA200.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Bearish. Fear&Greed is 29, taker buy/sell is only 0.83, and the 51.9% long-account share is not enough to absorb persistent selling. Longs are still leaning into a falling market, which makes the crowd vulnerable rather than contrarian-proof.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Bearish. The news flow is split between recovery stories and reports of alleged black-market activity flagged by ZachXBT, while broader headlines point to bitcoin slipping under $64,000 amid an oil bounce and an AI selloff. The positive catalysts—human-only tickets and a reported treasury stake—have not prevented WLD from falling 5.38% in 24 hours and 41.5% over 30 days.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: Negative on the evidence supplied. A treasury stake and identity-use narratives may support the long-term story, but the pack gives no supply, unlock, adoption, revenue, or valuation data to justify a fundamental re-rating. For now, the token is trading on narrative while price confirms distribution.
365e7e4d7503fa6f7ba83abd22ff8fb9f84cb129e33d7eb71d822808869d652fbb295d7aae9e558a346e804945fde08e4613bfb70347c2a2bf2fe08f555e4fc6Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24