UB / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
UB’s 17.538% daily plunge puts the $0.150 recovery test on trial
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-28 02:20 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
B
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
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Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-31 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-28 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-27 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-23 — Neutral — +5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — +7.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Underweight — -11.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -16.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -25.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -17.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Overweight — -7.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Overweight — -10.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Overweight — -8.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — +12.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -26.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -24.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Overweight — -24.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Overweight — -14.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Overweight — -6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Overweight — -8.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +55.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Overweight — +19.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Overweight — +37.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Overweight — +27.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Overweight — +21.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Overweight — +24.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 1 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.150 with RSI(14) above 60 overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.11867 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s favorite exhibit is the SMA200, but it’s backward-looking camouflage after a vertical run.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Days (momentum).
Bold case: Leo’s favorite exhibit is the SMA200, but it’s backward-looking camouflage after a vertical run. Key support to defend sits near $0.11867. Horizon: Days (momentum).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: UB shed 17.538% in 24 hours. But that’s a cracked windshield after a 41.3% 30-day drive, not proof the engine died; price remains 63.5% above the SMA200, while Fear&Greed at 29 can mean the panic is already in the ticket. The tape still has a route toward $0.150 if $0.11867 holds.
Leo’s favorite exhibit is the SMA200, but it’s backward-looking camouflage after a vertical run. The decisive fact is that MACD momentum is contracting at +0.004515 while UB just lost 17.538% in a day; a bullish average cannot stop sellers from attacking the $0.11867 low. Until $0.150 is reclaimed, the supposed route is hopium with a chart overlay.
· Bullish SMA structure: price 63.5% above SMA200
· Fear&Greed at 29 may fuel a sharp relief bounce
· Unibase Agent Market launch may attract fresh buyers
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.150 with RSI(14) above 60 overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating one violent session as a verdict while ignoring the 7-day gain of 19.8% and price’s 23.7% premium to SMA20. Show me sustained breakdown, not one red candle.
Leo, the red candle is precisely the evidence: your 7-day gain is the crowded unwind’s fuel, and MACD is contracting. A 53.0% long-account share gives sellers inventory, not me a reason to chase $0.150.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating one violent session as a verdict while ignoring the 7-day gain of 19.8% and price’s 23.7% premium to SMA20. Show me sustained breakdown, not one red candle.
Leo, the red candle is precisely the evidence: your 7-day gain is the crowded unwind’s fuel, and MACD is contracting. A 53.0% long-account share gives sellers inventory, not me a reason to chase $0.150.
I’m with Mara on positioning: the 1.13 long/short ratio is only mildly bullish, and taker buy/sell at 1.01 is nearly dead even. There’s no funding-rate data here to rescue the long thesis with a squeeze argument.
Leo, the macro headlines offer no fresh liquidity impulse for UB. A regulatory pause may move the sector, but this pack gives me nothing that converts UB’s $0.1206 price into a durable bid.
I rule for the bears, and the single decisive exhibit is UB’s 17.538% 24-hour collapse alongside a contracting +0.004515 MACD histogram. The bullish moving-average structure keeps this from being a high-confidence collapse call, but the burden is on buyers at $0.150. I overturn this ruling on a decisive reclaim of $0.150 with RSI(14) holding above 60.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: UB still sits 23.7% above its SMA20 and 63.5% above its SMA200, with a bullish SMA50/SMA200 spread of 36.5%. But MACD histogram is contracting at +0.004515 after a 41.3% 30-day surge; the $0.11867 session low is the immediate line in the sand.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed at 29 says the crowd is frightened, while long accounts at 53.0% and a 1.13 long/short ratio show only mild bullish leaning. Taker buy/sell at 1.01 is balanced, so dip-buyers lack convincing aggression.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: Headlines spotlight a buyer push toward $0.150 and the Unibase Agent Market launch, but the pack supplies no verified operating figures or confirmed catalyst size. Broader crypto headlines are regulatory and prediction-market related, with no direct UB-specific impact established.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no token-supply, unlock, revenue, adoption, or valuation metrics for Unibase. A launch headline alone cannot justify projecting the 60-day high of $0.233.
ff894ab856809ca2ffd4efa50545e69a1b9567cf11489364ba7248e4c5b102c21b179784d8d4e946c4157221c78e88b8ad0a662850703693246f2e057ba3ed4fCommitted 2026-07-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22 · 2026-08-21