RUNE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
RUNE’s +10.9% position above its SMA200 supports a bullish swing call
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-01 01:33 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Overweight — -3.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +3.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -7.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -7.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Neutral — -2.1% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Neutral — -3.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Overweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -3.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -4.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — +1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — +4.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +4.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Underweight — +4.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +4.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — -3.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -1.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — -0.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Neutral — +2.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Overweight — +5.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 4 exchanges
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is overturned by a daily close below $0.3718, the 60-day low, especially if RSI(14) also falls below 50.. Cautious read: a break below $0.3718 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo is polishing a retracement and calling it architecture.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede the ugly number: RUNE is still 23. Resistance to clear sits near $0.6273. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: RUNE is still 23.6% below the 60-day high at $0.6273, and the MACD histogram is contracting at +0.0007045. But price is above every major moving average—+5.2% versus SMA20, +8.2% versus SMA50, and +10.9% versus SMA200—so that drawdown looks like a retracement inside a rising structure, not a broken chart. Our recent underweight calls did include a LOSS on August 20 at +3.0% versus BTC and another on August 23 at -3.5% versus BTC; today’s bullish MA alignment and 30-day gain of 7.8% make this setup materially different.
Leo is polishing a retracement and calling it architecture. The decisive weakness is that RUNE is only 0.4802 while still 23.6% under $0.6273, the MACD histogram is shrinking, and taker buy/sell is 0.97 despite Fear&Greed at 69. The record also contains an August 23 underweight LOSS at -3.5% versus BTC, but that does not validate a bullish reversal; it shows this coin can punish directional certainty in either direction.
· MACD momentum contraction
· Greed at 69 with 52.2% long accounts
· THORChain theft and trust headlines
Invalidation: The bullish ruling is overturned by a daily close below $0.3718, the 60-day low, especially if RSI(14) also falls below 50.
Mara, the tape is not broken: RUNE is 10.9% above SMA200 and 8.2% above SMA50. Your $0.6273 comparison describes overhead supply, not present trend failure.
Leo, trend labels don’t erase the contracting +0.0007045 MACD histogram. At 0.97 taker buy/sell, buyers aren’t proving they can clear that supply.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the tape is not broken: RUNE is 10.9% above SMA200 and 8.2% above SMA50. Your $0.6273 comparison describes overhead supply, not present trend failure.
Leo, trend labels don’t erase the contracting +0.0007045 MACD histogram. At 0.97 taker buy/sell, buyers aren’t proving they can clear that supply.
Mara, the 52.2% long-account share and 1.09 L/S ratio show a modest bullish tilt, not a euphoric imbalance. Funding is absent, so nobody gets to invent a crowded-long premium.
Theo, modest crowding can still unwind when Greed is 69. With RUNE 28.9% above the 60-day low of $0.3718, the market has already repriced the catalyst and leaves macro liquidity to do the damage.
I rule for the bullish side. The decisive exhibit is the aligned moving-average structure: price is +5.2% above SMA20, +8.2% above SMA50, +10.9% above SMA200, with SMA50 itself +2.4% above SMA200; that is what separates this call from the August 20 and August 23 losing underweight calls. The ruling is invalidated by a daily break below the $0.3718 60-day low or RSI(14) falling below 50 while price loses SMA50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 58.6, while price sits 5.2% above SMA20, 8.2% above SMA50, and 10.9% above SMA200. The bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure at +2.4% is intact, though the MACD histogram is contracting at +0.0007045.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Greed is elevated at 69, with 52.2% long accounts and an L/S ratio of 1.09. Taker buy/sell at 0.97 shows sellers still have a slight execution edge, so the crowd is optimistic but not overwhelmingly crowded.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The strongest RUNE-specific headline is THORChain’s native XMR swap and privacy-upgrade narrative, alongside a report of more than $10 million stolen from a crypto platform. The privacy catalyst explains recent interest, but the theft headline remains a material credibility and headline-risk overhang.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Native XMR swaps and a privacy upgrade are meaningful utility catalysts for THORChain, while the reported theft raises protocol and ecosystem trust concerns. The data pack provides no valuation, revenue, or token-supply figures, so the fundamental case is catalyst-led rather than fully underwritten.
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24