APE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
APE holds $0.14373 with RSI 58.6, but greed at 73 is already crowding the upside
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-28 01:53 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-08 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-07 — Underweight — -9.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Overweight — -11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Neutral — -6.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Overweight — -9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -0.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Neutral — +4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Neutral — +5.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Neutral — -0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Neutral — -3.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-16 — Neutral — -6.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -0.7% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained break below $0.1201 overturns the neutral ruling in favor of a bearish call.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1201 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: I’m Mara Frost.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’m Mara Frost. Key support to defend sits near $0.1201. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’m Leo Vance. The bear side’s strongest number is the 73 Fear&Greed reading with 60.1% long accounts, but that crowding is outweighed by price sitting 13.8% above SMA200 and a bullish 10.1% SMA50-over-SMA200 spread. APE may be digesting the spike, yet the chart still has lift toward the $0.1704 60-day high. I acknowledge the 2026-08-20 overweight call lost 3.6% versus BTC; this setup differs because the moving-average structure is now explicitly constructive.
I’m Mara Frost. Leo’s $0.1704 target is a mirage until APE clears the current 15.6% gap, and the tape has already shown a -0.3% seven-day drift despite RSI at 58.6. His bullish averages are backward-looking after a headline-fueled 80%-82% surge, while 60.1% longs and a 1.50 L/S ratio leave a crowded shelf beneath the price. The 2026-08-20 overweight loss of 3.6% versus BTC is a fresh reminder that attractive structure can still monetize badly.
I see more upside than the ruling admits: APE is 13.8% above SMA200 and only 15.6% below the $0.1704 60-day high, while the SMA50 sits 10.1% above SMA200. If RSI 58.6 rises without a sudden crowding surge, the overhead gap can close quickly.
The fastest failure is a momentum rollover: MACD’s +0.001852 histogram is contracting while 60.1% of accounts are long and the L/S ratio is 1.50. The fragile exhibit is the bullish moving-average structure, because it reflects the aftermath of an 80%-82% headline spike rather than fresh confirmation.
I think the aggressive desk overreaches by assuming the $0.1704 high is reachable without renewed demand, while the conservative desk overstates the damage above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200. The deciding condition is whether APE holds $0.1201 while RSI remains above 50; failure there favors the bears, sustained strength above $0.1457 favors the bulls.
· greed and long-account crowding
· contracting MACD momentum
· headline-driven volatility
Invalidation: A sustained break below $0.1201 overturns the neutral ruling in favor of a bearish call.
Mara, you’re treating the 7-day -0.3% as a breakdown, but price is still 7.7% above SMA20 and 3.3% above SMA50.
Leo, those gaps are exactly what make the structure vulnerable; MACD is contracting at +0.001852 while sentiment sits at Greed 73.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the 7-day -0.3% as a breakdown, but price is still 7.7% above SMA20 and 3.3% above SMA50.
Leo, those gaps are exactly what make the structure vulnerable; MACD is contracting at +0.001852 while sentiment sits at Greed 73.
I’m Theo Okafor. The 1.50 L/S ratio and 60.1% long accounts favor Mara’s crowding point, but taker buy/sell at 1.00 shows no fresh aggressive imbalance either way.
I’m Dmitri Volkov. With no funding data and no APE-specific macro catalyst, the upside needs liquidity to keep carrying a speculative headline trade toward $0.1704.
I’m Judge Aldrich. I rule neutral, with the bearish crowding exhibit narrowly defeating the bullish moving-average structure. The decisive fact is 60.1% long accounts alongside Fear&Greed at 73, while MACD momentum contracts at +0.001852. This ruling is different from the 2026-08-20 overweight loss of 3.6% versus BTC because today’s call does not extend the bullish stance despite the constructive averages; it is invalidated by a sustained break below $0.1201.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m Kai Nakamura. Direction: bullish. Evidence families: price above SMA20 by 7.7%, SMA50 by 3.3%, and SMA200 by 13.8%; SMA50 leads SMA200 by 10.1%; RSI is 58.6. Conflicts: MACD histogram is positive at +0.001852 but contracting; 7-day performance is -0.3%. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m Sofia Reyes. Direction: bearish-to-neutral. Evidence families: Fear&Greed at 73, long accounts at 60.1%, and L/S ratio at 1.50. Conflicts: taker buy/sell is exactly 1.00, while StockTwits supplied 0 messages, so social confirmation is absent. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m Ed Walsh. APE headlines emphasize an 80%-82% surge, a rapid pullback, and an alleged 5x bet, which frames the tape as speculative rather than fundamentally re-rated. The broader headlines concern Kalshi litigation and Ethena’s token outlook, not ApeCoin-specific catalysts.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m Priya Anand. The pack provides no new ApeCoin token-economics, adoption, revenue, or governance evidence. The fundamental case is therefore headline-driven and too thin to support a months-long verdict.
904f7ea1c5842d7446243ffc259ac46ad9f6aca28d2a4963d8785cad75d7278eb460912c22e647ff99deef7428c2f0098da84f163350ba433a36d11ce82e7419Committed 2026-08-29T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22