APE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
APE’s 0.1498 rebound meets a bullish moving-average stack, but buyers still trail sellers
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:30 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -1.2% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -7.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -9.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — -11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — -6.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — -9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -0.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Neutral — +5.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — -3.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A decisive close below 0.1479, or RSI(14) falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1479 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s favorite number is the moving-average spread, but it ignores the immediate tape.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara—the MACD histogram is -0. Resistance to clear sits near $0.1704. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara—the MACD histogram is -0.0008971 and APE is down 2.2% over seven days. But price is still 7.3% above SMA50 and 10.5% above SMA200, with the 50-day average leading the 200-day by 3.0%; that’s a repaired engine, not a dead one.
Leo’s favorite number is the moving-average spread, but it ignores the immediate tape. APE closed at 0.1498 after only a 0.3% premium to SMA20, with taker buy/sell at 0.94 and a 60-day high of 0.1704 still 12.1% away—his “repaired engine” is idling beneath resistance.
· Bitcoin below $66,000 and macro liquidity weakness
· taker buy/sell ratio of 0.94
· failure beneath 0.1704 resistance
Invalidation: A decisive close below 0.1479, or RSI(14) falling below 50, overturns the bullish ruling.
Mara, the 60-day high is 0.1704, not a supply-chain collapse. RSI at 53.1 leaves room for a push, and Fear & Greed at 33 means the trade isn’t crowded with hopium.
Leo, fear is not a catalyst when buyers are already losing the micro-battle. The 0.1517 intraday high failed to hold, and a 0.94 taker ratio says your breakout fuel is missing.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60-day high is 0.1704, not a supply-chain collapse. RSI at 53.1 leaves room for a push, and Fear & Greed at 33 means the trade isn’t crowded with hopium.
Leo, fear is not a catalyst when buyers are already losing the micro-battle. The 0.1517 intraday high failed to hold, and a 0.94 taker ratio says your breakout fuel is missing.
I’ll interrupt: long accounts are only 50.4%, with L/S at 1.02. That is near-balanced positioning, so there’s no large one-sided long stack begging to be liquidated—but it also gives me no funding-based confirmation because funding wasn’t supplied.
And I’m not buying a clean macro backdrop while Bitcoin trades below $66,000 and traders await Alphabet earnings. APE can outperform briefly, Leo, but liquidity-sensitive tokens rarely ignore that weather for long.
I award the narrow win to the bulls, based on Exhibit A: APE sits 10.5% above SMA200 while the SMA50 leads SMA200 by 3.0%. I rule this a tactical bullish setup, invalidated by a decisive break below 0.1479 or an RSI(14) drop under 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 53.1, while APE trades 7.3% above SMA50 and 10.5% above SMA200. Kai Nakamura: I see a constructive structure, but the contracting MACD histogram at -0.0008971 and 7-day loss of 2.2% say momentum hasn’t cleared the tape.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed sits at 33, with long accounts at 50.4% and a 1.02 long/short ratio. Sofia Reyes: the crowd isn’t euphoric, but taker buy/sell at 0.94 shows sellers still have the louder microphone.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines highlight an 80% APE rally, insider-trading scrutiny, ApeChain comeback speculation, and a 5x bet. Ed Walsh: that’s a volatile narrative mix, not a verified fundamental catalyst; broader crypto headlines add pressure with Bitcoin below $66,000.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: the data pack offers no token-supply, revenue, adoption, or valuation metrics to establish durable fundamental value. ApeChain is mentioned in speculation, but no confirmed operating result is provided.
54cf9036b9b18c402b81e391bd26cf767db7a62c47edebbacbc3844403facd98d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24