APE / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
APE sits at $0.1237 with RSI 36.0 as the 60-day floor at $0.1206 comes under pressure
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-16 02:05 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -8.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -4.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -9.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -5.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -14.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Overweight — -11.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — -6.2% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Overweight — -9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -0.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — +4.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Neutral — +5.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — -0.4% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — -3.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Neutral — -6.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -0.7% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above the approximate SMA20 level of $0.1311 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.1206 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your spring is resting on a trapdoor.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your spring is resting on a trapdoor. Key support to defend sits near $0.1206. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly print: APE is 12.3% below SMA50, down 16.0% over 30 days, and sitting just 2.5% above $0.1206. But RSI at 36.0 is already washed out, the MACD histogram is contracting, and the SMA50 still stands 11.4% above SMA200; that’s a battered spring, not fresh collapse. The 0.0% 24-hour move says sellers have lost immediate acceleration.
Leo, your spring is resting on a trapdoor. RSI 36.0 is weak, not oversold, and price remains 6.0% below SMA20 and 27.5% beneath the $0.1704 60-day high. A contracting MACD histogram only says the decline is decelerating; it does not repair a 30-day loss of 16.0% or protect $0.1206.
· RSI 36.0 and contracting MACD could precede a rebound
· SMA50 remains 11.4% above SMA200
· taker buy/sell is 1.07 with 52.5% long accounts
Invalidation: A sustained reclaim above the approximate SMA20 level of $0.1311 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the key is the floor: APE is $0.1237 against $0.1206, and the latest candle closed at $0.1236 after printing $0.1228. That’s defensive price action, not a free fall.
Leo, a 2.5% cushion is hardly defense when the coin is still 27.5% below $0.1704. One failed bounce under SMA20, which sits about 6.0% above price, reopens the downside.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the key is the floor: APE is $0.1237 against $0.1206, and the latest candle closed at $0.1236 after printing $0.1228. That’s defensive price action, not a free fall.
Leo, a 2.5% cushion is hardly defense when the coin is still 27.5% below $0.1704. One failed bounce under SMA20, which sits about 6.0% above price, reopens the downside.
I’m siding against the clean bullish read: 52.5% of long accounts and a 1.11 L/S ratio show mild crowding into longs, while Fear & Greed is only 34. Taker buy/sell at 1.07 is supportive, but not strong enough to erase the broader price trend.
I see no macro liquidity evidence that rescues APE. The headlines are about a Unitree IPO and UBS Bitcoin ETF call options, not an APE-specific demand impulse; the token remains hostage to risk appetite.
I rule for the bears: APE’s decisive exhibit is the 30-day decline of 16.0% while price sits 6.0% below SMA20 and only 2.5% above $0.1206. The ruling flips if APE reclaims $0.1311, the approximate SMA20 level implied by the stated 6.0% discount, and holds above it.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
I’m bearish. APE trades 6.0% below SMA20 and 12.3% below SMA50, while RSI is 36.0 and the 7-day move is -5.6%. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving averages, RSI, momentum, support/resistance; conflicts: SMA50 remains 11.4% above SMA200 and MACD histogram is contracting; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
I’m bearish on the crowd’s footing. Fear & Greed is 34, and APE is only 2.5% above its 60-day low at $0.1206, though long accounts still lead at 52.5% with a 1.11 L/S ratio and taker buy/sell at 1.07. Direction: bearish; evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow, price location; conflicts: modest long and taker-buy bias; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
I’m seeing recycled volatility headlines, not a durable catalyst. Stories tout an 82% surge, an $866M daily-volume peak, an 80% rally, and a speculative 5x bet, while the current 24-hour move is 0.0%. The external market headlines focus on Unitree and UBS Bitcoin options, offering no direct APE fundamental trigger.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
I’m bearish by omission: the pack provides no fresh ApeCoin token-economics, adoption, revenue, or supply catalyst. The only coin-specific narrative is a sharp rally followed by a fast pullback, which does not establish durable fundamental support.
d23d6203118d772c90d7d33ea375e76cb8712a884d2584e8a0944eb4f8e3da9ceaff5f24ed3adac83e409d856a55f50f8d212bab4f7befa37a3192bd7340acc9Committed 2026-08-17T00:20:00+00:00 · 89 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22