W / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
Wormhole clings to a +10.5% premium over the 50-day SMA despite a -20.3% deficit to the 200-day line.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-05 02:54 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.01051 invalidates the bearish view.. Cautious read: a break below $0.00777 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that +10.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that +10. Key support to defend sits near $0.00777. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
Mara, you're staring at the -20.3% gap to the 200-day SMA and seeing a crash, but that's ancient history. The real story is the +10.5% lift off the 50-day SMA and the 7.4% gain over the last week—this momentum is real and the airdrop dust is settling.
Leo, that +10.5% premium to the 50-day is a bull trap in a downtrend, not a launchpad. The MACD histogram is already contracting at +4.537e-05, and with the 60-day high at 0.01051 still 6.9% away, buyers are exhausted before they even test the real resistance.
· Airdrop selling pressure exhaustion
· SUI integration narrative
· Sustained Greed reading
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.01051 invalidates the bearish view.
Exhausted? The Fear & Greed index is sitting at 73, and 64.5% of accounts are long—this crowd isn't tired, they are loaded.
They are loaded with bags, Leo. Look at the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.89; the 'greed' is passive, and nobody is stepping up to buy the aggressions.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Exhausted? The Fear & Greed index is sitting at 73, and 64.5% of accounts are long—this crowd isn't tired, they are loaded.
They are loaded with bags, Leo. Look at the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.89; the 'greed' is passive, and nobody is stepping up to buy the aggressions.
Passive accumulation is exactly how bottoms form before a breakout. The 30-day return is +15.9%, proving the trend is up regardless of your taker ratio nitpicking.
A +15.9% monthly return in a -20.3% macro trend is just a dead cat bounce. You're ignoring the structural weight of the 200-day SMA.
I side with the bears on this one; the contracting MACD histogram at +4.537e-05 is the smoking gun that the short-term burst is dying. If W breaks below the 60-day low of 0.00777, this bullish thesis is completely incinerated.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price action is constructive above the 50-day SMA at +10.5%, but the 60-day high at 0.01051 remains a stiff ceiling (-6.9% away). The MACD histogram is contracting at +4.537e-05, suggesting momentum is fading.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd psychology is skewed heavily to Greed with a Fear & Greed score of 73, and long accounts dominate at 64.5%. However, taker buy/sell is weak at 0.89, indicating buyers are not aggressive.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines are dominated by the airdrop launch attracting scammers and the new Portal swap, which keeps the token in the spotlight. The confirmation of SUI on Solana adds fundamental utility, but the noise around scams is a distraction.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The launch of the native governance token is a major unlock, but the immediate price reaction suggests the airdrop distribution created selling pressure. Integration with Mayan for swaps is a positive technical development.
21ad9c2a42e21b16cf6820e5c4daa667e331366bd7b65308314bd9c53bfd66da4910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165Committed 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 · 76 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25