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W / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-15 03:14 UTC
$0.01
+2.22% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-15 03:14 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-15 — latest verdict → W
The Verdict
Neutral

W shows weak trend conditions but early momentum stabilization

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-15 03:14 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
10W–2L–17P · 2 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 55.2–95.3% · n=12 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · W price $0.009168 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · W price $0.009794 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-28 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · W price $0.009724 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · W price $0.009794 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-27 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · W price $0.009523 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · W price $0.009794 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
+1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · W price $0.009716 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · W price $0.009468 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · W price $0.00946 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · W price $0.00908 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · W price $0.0093 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · W price $0.009106 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-3.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · W price $0.00913 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · W price $0.009724 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · W price $0.008223 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · W price $0.00913 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-3.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · W price $0.0081 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-21 · W price $0.00913 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · W price $0.00819 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · W price $0.008277 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+4.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · W price $0.008424 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · W price $0.008223 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · W price $0.00832 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · W price $0.0081 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · W price $0.00834 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · W price $0.0085 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · W price $0.00828 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · W price $0.00837 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
+0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · W price $0.007986 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · W price $0.008417 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
+2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · W price $0.008131 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · W price $0.00819 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · W price $0.00834 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · W price $0.008424 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · W price $0.00842 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · W price $0.00832 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-2.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · W price $0.00891 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · W price $0.00834 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-6.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · W price $0.00885 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · W price $0.00828 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-6.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · W price $0.009226 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-04 · W price $0.00828 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
-7.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · W price $0.009012 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · W price $0.007986 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · W price $0.00894 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · W price $0.00834 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-6.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · W price $0.00916 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · W price $0.00842 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · W price $0.00911 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · W price $0.00891 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · W price $0.00919 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · W price $0.00885 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · W price $0.00893 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · W price $0.009226 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
+1.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · W price $0.00921 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · W price $0.009012 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · W price $0.00955 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · W price $0.00894 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-8.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · W price $0.0095 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · W price $0.00916 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · W price $0.00968 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · W price $0.00922 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-7.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bear evidence

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.00968 +2.2% 24h
60d high0.01383 -30.0%
60d low0.00846 +14.4%
RSI(14)46.6
30d change -3.7%

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Price remains below SMA20 and SMA50, while expanding positive MACD histogram and flat 7-day performance suggest tentative stabilization.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Extreme Fear and net taker selling are bearish, partly offset by a modest long-account majority.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Headlines are broadly mixed, with regulatory uncertainty and competitive concerns outweighing limited industry optimism.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

The data pack provides no coin-specific operating, valuation, or tokenomic fundamentals, so conviction is limited.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
3dc21401e803d7dc30ce7b0baf2b364bd57d3aa21a503049d97ef5a2ea6f547a
UTC date
2026-07-15
Chain head
fe6d19bbd0dec4d03a8b201098fd67ad3bf99835727f3053ccd256283e21cc8a

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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