W / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
Wormhole sits near $0.00916 as RSI 41.5 and the 200-day gap reaches -44.9%
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-23 00:38 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — +1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +1.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Neutral — -3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.00963, the implied SMA20 level from spot being 4.9% below it, would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.00846 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: “near support” is not support holding.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: “near support” is not support holding. Key support to defend sits near $0.00846. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: W is 44.9% below its SMA200 and down 10.8% over 30 days. But the MACD histogram is contracting, RSI is 41.5 rather than oversold, and the $0.00846 60-day low is only 8.0% below spot—this may be a battered bridge token coiling near support, with AMD and RLUSD integrations already priced into the battlefield.
Leo, that is precisely the hopium trap: “near support” is not support holding. Price remains below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, the SMA50 trails SMA200 by 41.3%, and a contracting negative MACD histogram does not erase a 10.8% monthly loss.
· AMD/RLUSD adoption catalyst
· Support rebound from $0.00846
· Short-term MACD stabilization
Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.00963, the implied SMA20 level from spot being 4.9% below it, would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating every moving average like a death certificate. If W holds $0.00846, the downside is defined while the AMD, RLUSD, and TAO links give a beaten-down asset a catalyst path.
Defined downside? Spot is $0.00916 with takers selling harder than buying at 0.92, and longs still crowd the trade at 53.5%. That is not capitulation; it is trapped optimism waiting below the 60-day low.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating every moving average like a death certificate. If W holds $0.00846, the downside is defined while the AMD, RLUSD, and TAO links give a beaten-down asset a catalyst path.
Defined downside? Spot is $0.00916 with takers selling harder than buying at 0.92, and longs still crowd the trade at 53.5%. That is not capitulation; it is trapped optimism waiting below the 60-day low.
Leo, I see no funding-rate data to validate a squeeze thesis. The available positioning is mildly long at 1.15, but the 0.92 taker ratio says immediate flow is leaning the other way.
And I’m not paying for distant interoperability promises while the chart sits 33.9% below its 60-day high. In a weak liquidity regime, thin narratives get repriced before they get rewarded.
I rule for the bears: the single decisive exhibit is W trading 44.9% below its SMA200 while the SMA50/SMA200 spread is -41.3%. I would overturn this ruling only if W closes above $0.00963, reclaiming the stated 4.9% SMA20 discount, and sustains that recovery.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
The tape is bearish: W trades 4.9% below SMA20, 6.0% below SMA50, and 44.9% below SMA200, with a bearish SMA50/SMA200 structure. RSI at 41.5 and a contracting MACD histogram offer only a weak stabilization attempt, not a reversal signal.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 31, while taker buy/sell sits at 0.92 and long accounts still lead at 53.5% with a 1.15 L/S ratio. The crowd is fearful but not washed out; residual long bias conflicts with the weak buying pressure.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Wormhole has announced or enabled integrations involving AMD, Ripple’s RLUSD, Bittensor’s TAO, and expanded Solana cross-chain liquidity. Those are constructive adoption headlines, but they have not stopped the token’s 7-day decline of 5.8% or 30-day decline of 10.8%.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The partnership and interoperability pipeline supports Wormhole’s strategic relevance across chains. The data pack provides no token-economics, revenue, valuation, or supply metrics, so adoption headlines alone cannot outweigh the damaged price structure.
93d1fbf3c4a484b1e91e7c6872ad5e7d7f56bb0d6dcb426985878e6cf663bafd8624d818ee7811d0e765aa63f60423eb1e28fec5823b0c3f5024085df84084a2Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25