W / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
W sits at $0.008277 with a bearish long-term structure and 14.8% lost in 30 days
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-15 01:31 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Neutral — -3.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-21 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Underweight — +4.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -6.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -6.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -9.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -6.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -5.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Underweight — -8.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-16 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-15 — Neutral — -7.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained recovery above $0.00830, followed by a move back above SMA50, overturns the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.00777 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle-sized match beneath a collapsing trend.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle-sized match beneath a collapsing trend. Key support to defend sits near $0.00777. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: W is 39.3% under its SMA200 and 14.8% lower over 30 days. But the tape is trying to spark—MACD histogram is expanding at +0.00004604, RSI is only 43.6, and price is just 6.3% above the $0.00777 60-day low; that’s battered territory, not fresh breakdown euphoria.
Leo, that MACD flicker is a candle-sized match beneath a collapsing trend. Your key rebound case still sits 8.8% below SMA50 and 37.8% beneath the $0.01328 60-day high, while the 0.90 taker buy/sell ratio says demand is not carrying the rescue.
I see more downside than the ruling admits: W is 37.8% below the $0.01328 60-day high but only 6.3% above $0.00777 support, and the 62.8% long-account share leaves a crowded floor beneath the chart. The 14.8% 30-day drawdown can deepen if that support gives way.
The fastest failure is a squeeze from the $0.00777 area: RSI 43.6 is not oversold, yet the expanding +0.00004604 MACD histogram can amplify a rebound. The bearish call is most fragile if price clears the $0.00830 intraday high while taker flow improves from 0.90.
I think the aggressive desk overreaches on extension: the nearest hard support is only 6.3% below $0.008277, while MACD is expanding. The deciding condition is whether W breaks $0.00777 or reclaims $0.00830 with improving taker flow; the prior eight underweight calls were all PUSH results, not losses.
· MACD rebound from depressed levels
· support near $0.00777 holds
· crowded longs unwind into a squeeze
Invalidation: A sustained recovery above $0.00830, followed by a move back above SMA50, overturns the bearish ruling.
Mara, the $0.00777 low is the exhibit you keep stepping around: W is holding 6.3% above it, and RSI 43.6 leaves room for a snapback before exhaustion arrives.
Leo, holding 6.3% above support is not strength when the coin is still 39.3% below SMA200. A bounce from the floor can be the next ledge on the way down.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the $0.00777 low is the exhibit you keep stepping around: W is holding 6.3% above it, and RSI 43.6 leaves room for a snapback before exhaustion arrives.
Leo, holding 6.3% above support is not strength when the coin is still 39.3% below SMA200. A bounce from the floor can be the next ledge on the way down.
Leo’s crowded-long problem is real: 62.8% of accounts are long, ratio 1.69, and taker flow is 0.90. That setup gives any rebound a fragile fuel source and gives sellers an easy crowd to punish.
The macro headlines are warm air for W. Nothing here establishes liquidity entering Wormhole specifically, and the 30-day loss of 14.8% says the broader risk appetite has not translated into this token.
I rule for the bearish side. The decisive exhibit is the bearish moving-average stack: price is 39.3% below SMA200 while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 33.4%. This ruling is overturned by a sustained move above $0.00830 followed by recovery through SMA50, whose exact price is not supplied.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI is 43.6 and MACD histogram is expanding at +0.00004604, but price sits 8.8% below SMA50 and 39.3% below SMA200. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, momentum, multi-period returns, support/resistance. Conflicts: expanding positive MACD histogram versus bearish SMA alignment and -14.8% 30-day performance. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear & Greed is 34, while long accounts hold 62.8% with a 1.69 long/short ratio and taker buy/sell at 0.90. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: fear gauge, account skew, taker flow. Conflicts: fearful sentiment could be contrarian support, but longs are still crowded and takers favor selling. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The Wormhole-specific headlines are operational or promotional in tone, including confirmation of SUI’s launch on Solana, but they provide no concrete catalyst for W’s price. Broader crypto headlines about Trump’s CEO meeting and World Liberty’s conditional bank charter are market-wide, not coin-specific.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack supplies no token-economics, unlock, revenue, valuation, or supply metrics for Wormhole. The available evidence therefore supports a market-structure verdict rather than a fundamental re-rating case.
6465b378acf3c4fbb96c3e18c2f14cde52d7cf5e47150508376295251654b141b9992f9aaddcb66d097da88829da3966f8938204256939eecd449461ccbccfffCommitted 2026-08-16T00:20:00+00:00 · 96 rulings that day · Check the chain
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