@Trader_XO — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 1/1 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 79.3%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-27 (4d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC
What @Trader_XO has been sayingTechnical Pragmatist
- Views the current market structure as a trading range to be played on both sides, likely distribution or re-accumulation. source ↗
- Advises against automating workflows with agents until one has successfully performed the task manually many times. source ↗
- Warns against relying solely on a BIP39 seed phrase, strongly recommending the addition of a passphrase or '25th word'. source ↗
- Focuses on 'Auction Context' and Market Profile concepts like Value Area to understand market cycle structure. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 16 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
0 live · 20 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 0 / 20.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | → Sideways | Still a range imo - distribution or re accumulation ? Either way it’s there to be traded on both sides… | MISS +14.0% | +14.0% | 2026-08-27T00:00:07.590333+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | But price proceeds to shit through support.... | HIT -4.6% | -4.6% | 2026-08-18T21:30:12.615400+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | @Traderguru77 Short at support stop at the resistance | MISS +2.3% | +2.3% | 2026-08-18T20:30:23.841186+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | → Sideways | Looks like a range, trades like a range ? then it probably is a range. | HIT -1.3% | +2.8% | 2026-08-18T20:30:08.179193+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SUI backtested | → Sideways | The $4 level continues to prove itself as significant resistance - low 3's being key support. | MISS -4.2% | -7.2% | 2026-08-18T20:00:41.857301+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | Expectations is a bracketed environment until theres a level of acceptance either side of the probable trading range here | MISS +6.7% | +6.7% | 2026-08-18T17:00:22.342959+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $es $nq and $btc into a key levels of resistance particularly es and nq hence positioning for a rotation down | HIT -5.1% | -5.1% | 2026-08-18T17:00:17.416067+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| XRP backtested | ↓ Bearish | bounces are for shorting. | MISS +8.2% | +15.7% | 2026-08-18T16:30:09.898639+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | My focus has shifted back toward spot accumulation, where I believe the more attractive asymmetric play lies in identifying high-quality buying opportunities for the longer-term move over the next several quarters. | MISS +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T12:00:12.406396+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | Overall I'm looking to trade the 2024 range value area / rotational trade with the poc as the 1st objective. | MISS +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T10:00:16.630337+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | The game now shifts from pressing aggressive shorts to identifying perceived value, chipping in gradually, and adding size only once momentum confirms over the next several quarters... As a prospective buyer... embrace the downside... And eventually... the next cycle begins... | HIT +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-17T10:00:06.595950+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Overall regime remains down... | MISS -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T08:30:07.904781+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | No doubt it goes much higher over the coming years - can’t complain about the volatility - hope it remains tbh. | MISS -7.5% | -7.5% | 2026-08-17T08:30:06.020207+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Both weekly and daily 12/25 ema bands exhibit sellers still continue to remain in control. When both are shaped this way, its generally the direction I want to flow with not against - until theres a meaningful push away from the bands into a key level, often confluent with a decent enough liquidation event. | HIT -16.9% | -16.9% | 2026-08-17T08:30:03.151720+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | Offloading my spot at the high 4k and switching into swing shorts | MISS +3.9% | -10.5% | 2026-08-17T08:00:10.135271+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | ...belief that we see an impulsive move lower towards monthly value area lows around 71. | HIT -3.7% | -3.7% | 2026-08-17T08:00:07.655426+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Would like to see a move up into supply at 83/84 | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.721495+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Over the long run Bitcoin is an asset that I believe will continue going up and to the right. | MISS +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-17T07:00:34.669341+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | I don’t have a particularly strong directional view tbh, price largely remains rotational. | HIT -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-17T06:00:13.507971+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Expectation is for price to gravitate towards 85s as the first objective | HIT -16.2% | -16.2% | 2026-08-17T05:30:03.485736+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | I remain short until I have a reason to exit | MISS +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-17T04:30:03.186924+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Long from 112 again with a view of this potentially being a local three drives into support. | HIT +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T03:30:05.124648+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | looking towards a corrective rotation down. | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T03:00:21.406082+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Also scaled into eth as well… | MISS +0.0% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T03:00:17.147123+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | 117.2 - 117.6s continues to be resistance and I remain positioned from 117s for a rotation down until proven otherwise. | HIT -5.2% | -5.2% | 2026-08-17T03:00:10.304951+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | Strong move up off the recent lows. | HIT +4.5% | +5.4% | 2026-08-17T02:00:17.989989+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-27 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | >= $97500 | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| XRP backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | >= $60500 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | <= $57500 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | > $84000 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | <= $84000 | HIT | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
Paste this into your site. The badge updates itself as new calls settle. · Share card (PNG for X)
Live preview — real data, the same script your site loads.
Inline pill · data-cv-style="pill"
Light card · data-cv-style="card"
Dark card · data-cv-style="dark"
Big number · data-cv-style="stat"
Media and creators may cite CoinVerdict data with attribution and a link back.
Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.