@BigCheds — settled call record
#6 of 14 ranked KOLs Rated — sample threshold met
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 10/10 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
30%
Hit rate · 3 hits · 7 misses · n=10
avg |move| of hits (absolute, vs USD) ±10.0%
(computable 3/3)
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [10.8% – 60.3%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-30 (1d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, LINK, SHIB, SOL, TRX, XRP
In three sentences
What @BigCheds has been sayingchart purist
- Emphasizes trend following and classical charting over broader macroeconomic narratives. source ↗
- Cautiously notes that bear market bottom confirmation isn't final until key levels hold. source ↗
- Actively highlights technical breakouts and momentum shifts in specific altcoins. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 200 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
If you had followed
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
+$87following every call
+$36just holding BTC
+$52the difference
10 live · 37 backtested — never merged into one number.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
Best call (absolute move vs USD, within computable sample)
XRP
+14.6%
resolved 2026-08-28T00:00:08.469213+00:00
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-28T00:00:08.074145+00:00 · computable 3/3
Hit rate over time
Breakdown
By coin
BTC: 33%
n=3 · thin
LINK: 0%
n=3 · thin
SHIB: 100%
n=1 · thin
SOL: 0%
n=1 · thin
TRX: 0%
n=1 · thin
XRP: 100%
n=1 · thin
By call
—: 30%
n=10
By window
30d: 30%
n=10
90d: 30%
n=10
All time: 30%
n=10
Directional record
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | ↓ Bearish | There is no way this high volume high wave outside bar does not mark a short term top. | MISS +10.9% | +12.6% | 2026-08-30T00:00:09.570132+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SHIB | ↓ Bearish | $SHIB working on a tweezer top here on daily | HIT -6.9% | -5.5% | 2026-08-30T00:00:08.198976+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| LINK | ↑ Bullish | $LINK nice breakout from that ascending triangle | MISS -4.0% | -4.6% | 2026-08-29T00:00:09.031082+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| XRP | ↑ Bullish | $XRP bounce into lost support from the first half of 2026 / confluence falling DSMA 200 | HIT +4.3% | +14.6% | 2026-08-28T00:00:08.469213+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | Target achieved $BTC hits $72960 (73k), meeting my target from the 67k breakout | HIT +9.9% | +9.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:08.074145+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| LINK | ↑ Bullish | $LINK approaching $10 area pivot | MISS -3.4% | +10.1% | 2026-08-27T00:00:06.751558+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| LINK | ↑ Bullish | $LINK flexing local breakout with some volume on daily | MISS +0.7% | +23.0% | 2026-08-23T00:00:06.956755+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| TRX | ↑ Bullish | TRX flexing a bullish consolidation break | MISS -2.4% | -0.7% | 2026-08-19T00:00:32.196681+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↓ Bearish | $BTC weekly - price still pinned down by falling EMA 8 | MISS +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-19T00:00:31.353372+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↓ Bearish | $BTC 4H now sell pressure into lower BB and loss of SMA 200 | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T00:00:13.224898+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Backtested records
Hit rate: 24%
9 hits · 29 misses · n=38
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC now underside daily EMA 8 (primary downtrend resistance) | HIT -10.9% | -10.9% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.966766+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC bounces here or im wrong | MISS -0.2% | -0.2% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.216026+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | $3450 first then $4000 | MISS -3.7% | -8.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:09.498961+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| DOT backtested | ↓ Bearish | $DOT is a terrible chart and it was a bounce into resistance. | HIT -4.8% | -12.2% | 2026-08-18T23:30:08.237528+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | eye on 90.5k as a throwback/stairstep target | MISS +6.1% | +6.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:06.373578+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC 4H flirting with roll over after lower to upper BB mean reversion | MISS -2.3% | -2.3% | 2026-08-18T23:00:15.564407+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Took long with SL 94.5k | MISS -11.4% | -11.4% | 2026-08-18T23:00:12.957917+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC 4H now advanced out of the bear rectangle and into the underside of lost support, Structure 106k-107.5k | HIT -9.8% | -9.8% | 2026-08-18T23:00:11.522329+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC 1H pinbar at HTF support. Now need some follow through | MISS +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-18T23:00:09.798397+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| AAVE backtested | ↓ Bearish | $AAVE daily rejected at both underside of lost support and descending supply trend | HIT -8.4% | -17.2% | 2026-08-18T22:30:08.695231+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC nice push off 4H hammer. | MISS +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.046704+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | @j_davidson00 you can't skip over resistance at $230-$250 | MISS +0.8% | +0.8% | 2026-08-18T21:30:17.447704+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Key demand or support is at the 110 K zone. | HIT +7.2% | +7.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.077663+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Key support on daily at 110k looms below and is likely to be tested | MISS +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.035108+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC now pushing towards underside of lost support on daily | MISS +3.2% | +3.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.907439+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC sentiment is trash and price hasn’t even tested primary uptrend support (weekly EMA 8) Chill | MISS +3.0% | +3.0% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.398632+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | everything’s still looked good and here we are higher | MISS +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-18T21:00:27.452936+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | Continued sideways high and tight HTF consolidation | HIT +0.8% | +0.8% | 2026-08-18T21:00:13.184636+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | $ETH flashing big red warning signs. | MISS -2.0% | -5.1% | 2026-08-18T20:30:14.719108+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | $SOL held on $140 range throwback and now pressing local resistance, working on a breakout | MISS +2.4% | +2.9% | 2026-08-18T20:00:22.722016+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bad spot to short | MISS -1.4% | -1.4% | 2026-08-18T19:30:07.859599+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| XRP backtested | ↑ Bullish | $XRP testing HTF support at $2.00 zone | HIT +8.2% | +15.7% | 2026-08-18T19:00:11.281570+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | price lost support at 90k, and then had an underside test/rejection. | MISS +2.3% | +2.3% | 2026-08-18T19:00:10.962663+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | If we continue to break down ill congratulate you on a good call. For me I just follow support until it breaks, it not about my *personal* feelings or bias. | MISS -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-18T19:00:06.271781+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| AAVE backtested | ↓ Bearish | $AAVE turned back at breakout level | MISS -0.8% | -2.1% | 2026-08-17T13:00:08.668753+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Tower Top - Japanese Candlestick Pattern | MISS +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:10.287654+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| AAVE backtested | ↓ Bearish | $AAVE came close to a breakout on daily but looks to have rejected at the neck-base | MISS -2.6% | +0.7% | 2026-08-17T12:30:09.457595+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| UNI backtested | ↑ Bullish | $UNI trying to breakout | MISS -8.7% | -9.4% | 2026-08-17T12:30:05.301529+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC tags lows BB and range lows on 4H | MISS -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T12:00:10.717548+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | It’s retesting resistance, which should now be support | MISS +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-17T11:00:17.797586+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↓ Bearish | $SOL absolutely massive spot here as price pushes up into the underside of lost support, DMA 50 and upper BB on daily... Also has double negative bearish divergence with OBV, 2 new unsupported highs | MISS +2.6% | +9.0% | 2026-08-17T10:00:12.335259+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | My target is bullish. Forecasting less of a drawdown than prior cycles | HIT +6.3% | +6.3% | 2026-08-17T10:00:10.919782+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Plenty of world class TA guys like myself still don’t think bottom is in. | MISS +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-17T10:00:06.574188+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| UNI backtested | ↑ Bullish | $UNI massive bounce here on daily into underside of lost support/ confluence MA 50 | MISS -7.0% | -11.2% | 2026-08-17T09:30:04.077116+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I was one of the lead bears, but I still called for that bounce. | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.400093+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Looks like a deep drop into support | MISS +6.5% | +6.5% | 2026-08-17T05:30:24.700369+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Underside lost support | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T05:30:19.607412+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC failed at 90.k and then failed at 4H higher low test, now pressing November lows | HIT -25.7% | -25.7% | 2026-08-17T05:00:42.932291+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Price-target record
Hit rate: 25%
2 hits · 6 misses · n=8
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | — | MISS | 2026-08-30 | verdict → |
| LINK | — | MISS | 2026-08-29 | verdict → |
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| XRP | — | HIT | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| LINK | — | MISS | 2026-08-27 | verdict → |
| LINK | — | MISS | 2026-08-23 | verdict → |
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-19 | verdict → |
| TRX | — | MISS | 2026-08-19 | verdict → |
Backtested records
Hit rate: 42%
5 hits · 7 misses · n=12
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAVE backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | < $400000 | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | <= $74000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| XRP backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| DOT backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| AAVE backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| UNI backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Related accounts
@CryptoMichNL
42%
n=19 · 3 coins in common
@CryptoTony__
31%
n=13 · 3 coins in common
@CredibleCrypto
12%
n=8 · 3 coins in common
@blknoiz06
67%
n=9 · 2 coins in common
@AshCrypto
50%
n=6 · 2 coins in common
Side by side with CoinVerdict
CoinVerdict win rate (settle_v1 vs BTC): 64%
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
Embed this scorecard
Paste this into your site. The badge updates itself as new calls settle. · Share card (PNG for X)
Live preview — real data, the same script your site loads.
Inline pill · data-cv-style="pill"
Light card · data-cv-style="card"
Dark card · data-cv-style="dark"
Big number · data-cv-style="stat"
Media and creators may cite CoinVerdict data with attribution and a link back.
Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.