@AshCrypto — settled call record
#1 of 14 ranked KOLs Rated — sample threshold met
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 5/5 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
50%
Hit rate · 3 hits · 3 misses · n=6
avg |move| of hits (absolute, vs USD) ±15.8%
(computable 3/3)
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [18.8% – 81.2%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-31 (0d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, ETH, SOL
In three sentences
What @AshCrypto has been sayingCatalyst-driven bull
- Frequently cites institutional activity—ETF flows and treasury injections—as the primary drivers of price moves. source ↗
- Consistently frames market events around the pending 'Clarity Act', using it to justify a bullish outlook. source ↗
- Relies heavily on technical patterns, specifically citing the 200-day moving average as a major trend reversal signal. source ↗
- Shares personal grievances about underperformance versus stocks to validate the frustration of retail investors. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 200 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
If you had followed
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
+$212following every call
+$24just holding BTC
+$188the difference
6 live · 49 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 6 / 55.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
Best call (absolute move vs USD, within computable sample)
BTC
+21.3%
resolved 2026-08-26T00:00:06.667583+00:00
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-21T00:00:06.665493+00:00 · computable 3/3
Hit rate over time
Breakdown
By coin
BTC: 67%
n=3 · thin
ETH: 0%
n=2 · thin
SOL: 100%
n=1 · thin
By call
—: 50%
n=6 · thin
By window
30d: 50%
n=6 · thin
90d: 50%
n=6 · thin
All time: 50%
n=6 · thin
Directional record
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | US is considering buying large amounts of BTC and altcoins. | MISS -1.8% | -1.9% | 2026-08-31T00:00:05.309349+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | US is considering buying large amounts of BTC and altcoins. | MISS -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-31T00:00:03.873536+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL | ↑ Bullish | Bullish 🚀 | HIT +11.8% | +11.1% | 2026-08-29T00:00:06.836606+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | BULLISH: Whales have bought $2.64 BILLION worth of $BTC in last 2 months. Big money is buying the dip. | HIT +21.3% | +21.3% | 2026-08-26T00:00:06.667583+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | Are you buying in 2026? | HIT +15.0% | +15.0% | 2026-08-21T00:00:06.665493+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Ethereum will hit $15,000. | MISS +0.1% | +1.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:32.268416+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Backtested records
Hit rate: 30%
15 hits · 35 misses · n=50
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Historically, whenever price reaches this key macro level, it has marked a bottom. | MISS +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-18T23:30:04.909314+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Strong bounce back and moving higher. | MISS -9.1% | -14.8% | 2026-08-18T23:00:33.208866+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Resistance will break in Q4 | MISS -3.5% | -3.5% | 2026-08-18T22:30:17.714984+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Top is not in and BTC parabolic phase hasn’t even started yet. | HIT +4.2% | +4.2% | 2026-08-18T22:30:15.898195+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Fund flows from gold and silver are likely to shift into Bitcoin and Ethereum soon. | MISS -4.2% | -4.2% | 2026-08-18T22:30:15.069243+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC HAS FLIPPED ITS MULTI-CYCLE RESISTANCE INTO SUPPORT. | MISS -9.6% | -9.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:08.158076+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | We should bounce from here | MISS +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-18T22:00:27.746856+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin parabolic pump is coming in Q4. | MISS +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.068496+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | You are seriously not bullish enough | HIT +15.5% | +16.3% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.834404+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | You are seriously not bullish enough | MISS +0.7% | +0.7% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.803156+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | WHALES ARE HEAVILY ACCUMULATING BELOW THE MONTHLY KEY RESISTANCE | HIT +20.7% | +27.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.012783+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ALL EYES ON THE $4,000 TARGET 🚀 | HIT +21.6% | +22.0% | 2026-08-18T21:00:28.632172+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH weekly breakout is beautiful All eyes on the $2,500 target | HIT +14.9% | +15.5% | 2026-08-18T20:00:22.814468+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | TREND = BULLISH , TARGET = $109K | HIT +8.5% | +8.5% | 2026-08-18T19:00:20.177249+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | NEXT MAIN TARGET IS $2,400 | HIT +26.4% | +37.1% | 2026-08-18T19:00:20.155442+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ALL EYES ON THE $2,000 TARGET | HIT +12.2% | +20.1% | 2026-08-18T19:00:17.616989+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | BOOOOM !!! BITCOIN CLOSED ABOVE $93,000 AND BROKE ALL THE MAJOR RESISTANCE LEVELS IN A SINGLE CANDLE. | MISS +0.5% | +0.5% | 2026-08-18T18:30:04.209230+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin bounce with double bottom and this indicates that bitcoin is ready to check major resistance at $87,000. | HIT +6.7% | +6.7% | 2026-08-18T17:00:22.370947+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin macro chart remains bullish | HIT +4.2% | +4.2% | 2026-08-18T17:00:13.790633+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bullish for SOL holders. | MISS +2.1% | -0.9% | 2026-08-17T13:00:27.306033+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | You are not bullish enough on crypto. | MISS -2.9% | -2.9% | 2026-08-17T13:00:13.184664+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin is breaking out. | MISS -1.3% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T13:00:07.708339+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | The Bitcoin catch-up rally is going to be insane. | MISS -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-17T13:00:03.390205+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BNB backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BNB just broke out of its downtrend for the first time in 45 days. Bullish | MISS +0.8% | +0.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:05.901163+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH is moving towards $1,950 | MISS -0.8% | -3.5% | 2026-08-17T12:00:10.412077+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin catch up rally will be insane. | MISS -3.2% | -3.2% | 2026-08-17T11:30:10.531057+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bullish sign for alts. | MISS +2.1% | -1.2% | 2026-08-17T11:30:09.894781+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| XRP backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bullish for XRP holders. | MISS -2.7% | -6.5% | 2026-08-17T11:30:08.145260+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bullish 🚀 | MISS +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-17T11:00:17.776394+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | You are not Bullish enough. | MISS +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T11:00:15.893386+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | Giga Bullish for both $SOL and $ETH. | MISS -2.0% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T11:00:13.790916+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Giga Bullish for both $SOL and $ETH. | MISS -0.3% | +2.0% | 2026-08-17T11:00:11.977542+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH/BTC is breaking out from an 11-month downtrend on the weekly. | MISS +2.1% | +3.6% | 2026-08-17T11:00:07.126485+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH is pumping hard against Bitcoin. | MISS +2.6% | +4.2% | 2026-08-17T11:00:06.541382+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Let’s see if we hold and get the historical summer pump in July-August. | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T10:30:14.474520+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH has broken $1,800 level. | MISS +1.4% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T10:30:09.971219+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH is moving towards $1,800. | MISS -0.7% | +0.4% | 2026-08-17T10:30:07.635288+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin just hit $63,000. | MISS +1.1% | +1.1% | 2026-08-17T10:30:07.607374+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | He will definitely pump his bags. | HIT +4.3% | +12.7% | 2026-08-17T10:00:14.834425+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | He will definitely pump his bags. | HIT +8.1% | +8.1% | 2026-08-17T10:00:14.803555+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | This means Strategy can now sell small amounts of Bitcoin to cover its $1.5 billion in yearly dividend payments, a shift from Saylor’s long standing “never sell” stance. | MISS +6.3% | +6.3% | 2026-08-17T10:00:12.122668+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | Projects like $LINK , $HYPE and $SOL that are consistently leading in tokenized equities and payment rails while creating value will be the biggest winners. | HIT +10.3% | +16.0% | 2026-08-17T10:00:08.906665+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| LINK backtested | ↑ Bullish | Projects like $LINK , $HYPE and $SOL that are consistently leading in tokenized equities and payment rails while creating value will be the biggest winners. | HIT +4.3% | +9.7% | 2026-08-17T10:00:07.430820+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| USDC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bullish for the growth of stablecoins like USDT and USDC, which can now thrive without direct competition from the Fed. | MISS +1.7% | -0.1% | 2026-08-17T09:30:13.789743+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | And bitcoin is still down -50% from its October peak, which arguably UNDERVALUED right now. | MISS -5.4% | -5.4% | 2026-08-17T09:30:07.185468+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Looking at the macro, several things are aligned together, which has historically been bullish for crypto. | HIT +3.2% | +3.2% | 2026-08-17T07:00:20.824489+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bulls are getting in control. | MISS -3.1% | -3.1% | 2026-08-17T07:00:02.832401+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | BTC is still trading in a sideways range and will continue to move based on positive and negative media headlines. | MISS +4.3% | +4.3% | 2026-08-17T06:30:06.767041+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | The next 7–10 days after FOMC have historically been weak for Bitcoin. | MISS +0.1% | +0.1% | 2026-08-17T06:00:12.666853+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH has a strong support at $0 | MISS +1.8% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T05:30:11.567343+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Price-target record
Hit rate: 50%
3 hits · 3 misses · n=6
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-31 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-31 | verdict → |
| SOL | — | HIT | 2026-08-29 | verdict → |
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-26 | verdict → |
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-21 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-19 | verdict → |
Backtested records
Hit rate: 18%
3 hits · 14 misses · n=17
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | >= $200000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | >= $125000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | >= $180000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | > $109000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | >= $5000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | <= $6000 | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | > $10000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | >= $4000 | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BNB backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| LINK backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| XRP backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | > $82000 | MISS | 2026-08-16 | verdict → |
Related accounts
@CryptoMichNL
42%
n=19 · 3 coins in common
@CryptoTony__
31%
n=13 · 3 coins in common
@blknoiz06
67%
n=9 · 3 coins in common
@CredibleCrypto
12%
n=8 · 3 coins in common
@BigCheds
30%
n=10 · 2 coins in common
Side by side with CoinVerdict
CoinVerdict win rate (settle_v1 vs BTC): 64%
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
Embed this scorecard
Paste this into your site. The badge updates itself as new calls settle. · Share card (PNG for X)
Live preview — real data, the same script your site loads.
Inline pill · data-cv-style="pill"
Light card · data-cv-style="card"
Dark card · data-cv-style="dark"
Big number · data-cv-style="stat"
Media and creators may cite CoinVerdict data with attribution and a link back.
Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.