@Trader_XO 的已结算叫单档案
✓ 来源巡检:0 不可用检出 · 覆盖 1/1 · 最近巡检 2026-09-01
0%
命中率 · 0 中 · 1 错 · n=1
档案积累中(n < 10)
命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) —
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
95% 置信区间 [0.0% – 79.3%] · Wilson 95% 区间——真实胜率大致落在这个范围。
最近结算 2026-08-27(5 天前)
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
BTC
三句话看懂
@Trader_XO 最近在说什么技术实用主义者
- 认为当前市场结构是震荡区间，可在多空双向交易，可能是派发也可能是在重新吸筹。 原话 ↗
- 建议在成功手动执行足够多次之前，不要急于将工作流程自动化。 原话 ↗
- 强调不要只依赖助记词，强烈建议配合使用密码（第25个词）来保护资产。 原话 ↗
- 重视“拍卖语境”和市值图概念，利用价值区域等工具来判断市场周期阶段。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 16 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
如果你跟了
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
+$53跟他每一条
-$1什么都不做拿 BTC
+$55差额
实时 0 条 · 补算 20 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:0 / 20 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
分维度战绩
按币种
BTC: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
按喊单
—: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
按时间窗
30d: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
90d: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
全部: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
方向战绩
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | → 看平 | Still a range imo - distribution or re accumulation ? Either way it’s there to be traded on both sides… | 失误 +14.0% | +14.0% | 2026-08-27T00:00:07.590333+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
回测记录
命中率: 44%
11 中 · 14 错 · n=25
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | But price proceeds to shit through support.... | 命中 -4.6% | -4.6% | 2026-08-18T21:30:12.615400+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | @Traderguru77 Short at support stop at the resistance | 失误 +2.3% | +2.3% | 2026-08-18T20:30:23.841186+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | → 看平 | Looks like a range, trades like a range ? then it probably is a range. | 命中 -1.3% | +2.8% | 2026-08-18T20:30:08.179193+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | → 看平 | The $4 level continues to prove itself as significant resistance - low 3's being key support. | 失误 -4.2% | -7.2% | 2026-08-18T20:00:41.857301+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | Expectations is a bracketed environment until theres a level of acceptance either side of the probable trading range here | 失误 +6.7% | +6.7% | 2026-08-18T17:00:22.342959+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $es $nq and $btc into a key levels of resistance particularly es and nq hence positioning for a rotation down | 命中 -5.1% | -5.1% | 2026-08-18T17:00:17.416067+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | bounces are for shorting. | 失误 +8.2% | +15.7% | 2026-08-18T16:30:09.898639+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My focus has shifted back toward spot accumulation, where I believe the more attractive asymmetric play lies in identifying high-quality buying opportunities for the longer-term move over the next several quarters. | 失误 +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T12:00:12.406396+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | Overall I'm looking to trade the 2024 range value area / rotational trade with the poc as the 1st objective. | 失误 +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T10:00:16.630337+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The game now shifts from pressing aggressive shorts to identifying perceived value, chipping in gradually, and adding size only once momentum confirms over the next several quarters... As a prospective buyer... embrace the downside... And eventually... the next cycle begins... | 命中 +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-17T10:00:06.595950+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Overall regime remains down... | 失误 -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T08:30:07.904781+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | No doubt it goes much higher over the coming years - can’t complain about the volatility - hope it remains tbh. | 失误 -7.5% | -7.5% | 2026-08-17T08:30:06.020207+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Both weekly and daily 12/25 ema bands exhibit sellers still continue to remain in control. When both are shaped this way, its generally the direction I want to flow with not against - until theres a meaningful push away from the bands into a key level, often confluent with a decent enough liquidation event. | 命中 -16.9% | -16.9% | 2026-08-17T08:30:03.151720+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Offloading my spot at the high 4k and switching into swing shorts | 失误 +3.9% | -10.5% | 2026-08-17T08:00:10.135271+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | ...belief that we see an impulsive move lower towards monthly value area lows around 71. | 命中 -3.7% | -3.7% | 2026-08-17T08:00:07.655426+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Would like to see a move up into supply at 83/84 | 失误 -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.721495+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Over the long run Bitcoin is an asset that I believe will continue going up and to the right. | 失误 +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-17T07:00:34.669341+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | I don’t have a particularly strong directional view tbh, price largely remains rotational. | 命中 -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-17T06:00:13.507971+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Expectation is for price to gravitate towards 85s as the first objective | 命中 -16.2% | -16.2% | 2026-08-17T05:30:03.485736+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I remain short until I have a reason to exit | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-17T04:30:03.186924+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Long from 112 again with a view of this potentially being a local three drives into support. | 命中 +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T03:30:05.124648+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | looking towards a corrective rotation down. | 失误 +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T03:00:21.406082+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Also scaled into eth as well… | 失误 +0.0% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T03:00:17.147123+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | 117.2 - 117.6s continues to be resistance and I remain positioned from 117s for a rotation down until proven otherwise. | 命中 -5.2% | -5.2% | 2026-08-17T03:00:10.304951+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Strong move up off the recent lows. | 命中 +4.5% | +5.4% | 2026-08-17T02:00:17.989989+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
点位战绩
命中率: 0%
0 中 · 1 错 · n=1
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-27 | 研报 → |
回测记录
命中率: 42%
5 中 · 7 错 · n=12
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $97500 | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $60500 | 失误 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | <= $57500 | 失误 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | > $84000 | 失误 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | <= $84000 | 命中 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
相关账号
@CryptoMichNL
40%
n=20 · 1 个共同币种
@CryptoTony__
31%
n=13 · 1 个共同币种
@BigCheds
27%
n=11 · 1 个共同币种
@blknoiz06
67%
n=9 · 1 个共同币种
@CredibleCrypto
12%
n=8 · 1 个共同币种
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 64%
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 64% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
嵌入这张战绩卡
把这段代码粘到你的站点。新的结算产生后,徽章会自动更新。 · 分享图卡(发 X 用 PNG)
实时预览 —— 真实数据,与你站点加载的是同一个脚本。
行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"
浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"
暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"
大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"
媒体与创作者可引用 CoinVerdict 数据,需署名并回链。
数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。