CoinVerdict
EN 战绩

@CryptoTony__ 的已结算叫单档案

第 5 / 共 14 位已入榜 KOL 已达可评级样本

✓ 来源巡检:0 不可用检出 · 覆盖 18/18 · 最近巡检 2026-09-12

31% 命中率 · 4 中 · 9 错 · n=13 命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) ±14.2% (可计算样本 4/4)

记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →

95% 置信区间 [12.7% – 57.6%] · Wilson 95% 区间——真实胜率大致落在这个范围。

最近结算 2026-08-31(12 天前)

样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。

BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP

三句话看懂

@CryptoTony__ 最近在说什么波段带单

AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 200 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。

如果你跟了

跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?

+$17跟他每一条
-$18什么都不做拿 BTC
+$35差额

实时 11 条 · 补算 92 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。

这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:11 / 103 条。

每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →

评分与基准
66 评分 领先 66%,共 22 人已够格 超基准 +0.6pp

方向命中率(全部方向记录) 27.5% (n=109 · 追踪 538 天)

同方向基准 26.9% (截至 2026-09-12)

全体中位数 26.2% (共 22 人已够格)

百分位排名(命中率) 56.8 (共 22 人已够格)

四分位标签 一般 ★★★

盈亏比 6.01% / 2.59% = 2.3 : 1 (盈亏平衡命中率 30.1%)

多空分布 ↑ 62 · ↓ 41 · → 6

评分吃的是全部已结算方向记录:前瞻与回测合在一起。上方那条线仍是纯前瞻口径,两者永不相加。

评分衡量的是同一把尺下各账号之间的相对名次,既不是预测,也不代表跟着谁做能赚到多少。

记分规则:kol_rating_v1 —— 看规则全文 →

最佳喊单(绝对幅度对美元,可计算样本内)
SOL +24.5% 结算于 2026-08-28T00:00:07.370632+00:00

最早可计算命中记录:2026-08-20T00:00:09.542701+00:00 · 可计算样本 4/4

命中率走势
50%31%2026-08-182026-08-31
分维度战绩

按币种

BTC: 43% n=7 · 样本少 SOL: 33% n=3 · 样本少 ETH: 0% n=2 · 样本少 XRP: 0% n=1 · 样本少

按喊单

—: 31% n=13

按时间窗

30d: 31% n=13 90d: 31% n=13 全部: 31% n=13
方向战绩
币种叫单原话 相对口径(计入榜单) † 绝对口径(对美元) † 结算日来源
BTC ↑ 看涨 To pump from here is what everyone expects. ... before we pump again. 失误 -0.1% -0.1% 2026-08-31T00:00:03.834005+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC ↑ 看涨 BlackRock ETF has bought... $239.30 million worth of Bitcoin... BULLISH 失误 +1.5% +1.5% 2026-08-30T00:00:07.109238+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH ↑ 看涨 BlackRock ETF has bought $150.83 million worth of Ethereum... BULLISH 失误 -0.1% +1.4% 2026-08-30T00:00:07.085009+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC → 看平 $74,200 - $78,200 is our next short term range. Trade the range. 命中 -0.6% -0.6% 2026-08-29T00:00:06.857735+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC ↓ 看跌 $71,500 - $72,500 is my short term top zone. Lot's of confluence there and resistance. Tough cookie to get through. 失误 +9.9% +9.9% 2026-08-28T00:00:09.276120+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL ↑ 看涨 As a minimum we should hit $78.50. I remain long 命中 +13.3% +24.5% 2026-08-28T00:00:07.370632+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL → 看平 Expect a lot of chop over next few days. 失误 +4.9% +19.5% 2026-08-27T00:00:05.714115+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC ↑ 看涨 Beauty pump off those lows last night. 命中 +22.4% +22.4% 2026-08-25T00:00:06.270322+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC ↑ 看涨 Give us that 10% pump Bitcoin 命中 +9.2% +9.2% 2026-08-20T00:00:09.542701+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
XRP ↓ 看跌 I do still think we test lower on XRP. 失误 +0.7% +10.0% 2026-08-20T00:00:06.833655+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC ↓ 看跌 So now will look for shorts on weakness 失误 +1.8% +1.8% 2026-08-19T00:00:32.387242+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH ↓ 看跌 A dump to $1820 - $1825 would make sense to form the new base for the next bigger leg up 失误 +0.1% +1.9% 2026-08-19T00:00:30.816951+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL ↑ 看涨 As a minimum $79.50 to be tested on resistance next. 失误 -0.8% +0.0% 2026-08-18T00:00:13.172892+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →

相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。

回测记录
命中率: 27% 26 中 · 70 错 · n=96

从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。

币种叫单原话 相对口径(计入榜单) † 绝对口径(对美元) † 结算日来源
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 $4,000 first target then we can aim for higher 失误 -4.9% -9.3% 2026-08-18T21:30:12.048799+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Holding my long over $2141 失误 +2.5% +3.3% 2026-08-18T21:00:12.235364+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SUI 回测 ↑ 看涨 I am holding above $2.30 support zone 失误 -3.5% -1.8% 2026-08-18T20:30:35.185179+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 I am long from $1,550 失误 +1.4% +1.1% 2026-08-18T19:00:14.796353+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 $161 next resistance zone. 失误 -3.3% -2.7% 2026-08-18T19:00:13.790836+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 I remain long from $113 support zone 失误 -6.4% -11.7% 2026-08-18T17:30:12.862403+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 I have closed my short position and flipped to long. 失误 -4.8% -5.4% 2026-08-18T17:30:10.564929+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↓ 看跌 so i shed more on my short position 失误 +0.2% -0.0% 2026-08-18T17:30:08.237225+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 I am out of my position now as we lost $2100 support zone 命中 -6.8% -11.4% 2026-08-18T17:00:11.371613+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Buy support and sell resistance 失误 -8.8% -8.8% 2026-08-18T17:00:11.341783+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 As a minimum we should hit $78.50. I remain long 失误 +0.9% -2.2% 2026-08-17T13:00:29.730514+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ADA 回测 ↓ 看跌 I do expect us to come down to $0.18c to begin here. 命中 -8.9% -11.5% 2026-08-17T13:00:27.107729+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Got that leg up I talked about on $BTC $ETH 失误 -2.9% -2.9% 2026-08-17T13:00:12.992026+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Still in my ETH long and looking for those highs to be tested before a possible drop. 失误 +1.3% -1.7% 2026-08-17T13:00:12.889010+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Give us that green dildo pump $ETH 失误 +0.3% -1.5% 2026-08-17T13:00:07.396683+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
XRP 回测 ↓ 看跌 new lows before new highs 命中 -4.0% -4.7% 2026-08-17T13:00:06.389662+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Bullish. 失误 -0.8% -0.8% 2026-08-17T12:30:14.293227+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
PEPE 回测 ↑ 看涨 Only a matter of time before we see... $PEPE join the fight 失误 -2.1% -1.4% 2026-08-17T12:30:13.396744+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Still looking for those drops. 失误 +0.7% +0.7% 2026-08-17T12:30:12.778563+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
DOGE 回测 ↑ 看涨 Only a matter of time before we see $DOGE... join the fight 失误 -1.5% -0.8% 2026-08-17T12:30:11.855699+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Market structure is bearish and so we can act this way. 失误 +3.4% +3.4% 2026-08-17T12:30:08.488041+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 The bigger range for Ethereum still looks very much in tact and bullish. 失误 +0.5% +3.9% 2026-08-17T12:30:08.388624+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 We still have those range highs to tap. 命中 +3.2% +3.2% 2026-08-17T12:30:06.647548+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 More pumps to come on Ethereum. 失误 -0.5% +2.8% 2026-08-17T12:30:06.626270+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
UNI 回测 ↑ 看涨 $UNI was on our radar and for good reason. Look at that breakout today 失误 -8.7% -9.4% 2026-08-17T12:30:05.382530+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 Fakeout yesterday i am afraid. ... so again looking for short scalps to take it down on bounces today as they come 命中 -3.0% -2.7% 2026-08-17T12:00:12.586684+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 We failed to reclaim $65,000 so no entry, so this was in fact a short on the rejection. 失误 +0.3% +0.3% 2026-08-17T12:00:12.557720+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
LTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Nice bounce off that support zone at $46. $50.00 remains my target 失误 -3.9% -6.6% 2026-08-17T12:00:10.213919+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Clean those highs then come down to earth again. 失误 -2.8% -2.8% 2026-08-17T12:00:09.677459+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 I am already short from yesterday personally. 失误 -2.4% -2.4% 2026-08-17T12:00:08.710823+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↓ 看跌 Personally i think we are in B wave correction now, looking for those targets down to $70 - $68. 失误 -1.1% -3.4% 2026-08-17T12:00:08.412933+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Easy short if anyone took it 失误 -0.5% -0.5% 2026-08-17T11:30:12.814099+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 I do think $BTC goes higher in the coming days 失误 -2.3% -2.3% 2026-08-17T11:30:05.861100+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
LTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Another long for you guys this morning. Stop loss in profit and shed some profits here please 失误 -0.5% -2.8% 2026-08-17T11:30:05.745963+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Easy long scalp for you all to enjoy today. 失误 +1.7% -0.6% 2026-08-17T11:30:05.203761+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 I was hoping for a drop then pump, but ultimately a pump to $1950 was coming. 失误 -1.2% +0.9% 2026-08-17T11:00:15.955872+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
AAVE 回测 ↓ 看跌 Waiting now for the dip down to $92.00 support zone. 命中 -9.2% -5.0% 2026-08-17T11:00:10.734196+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 Waiting for the next leg down 失误 +2.4% +7.2% 2026-08-17T11:00:09.668387+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 → 看平 No real moves for now. Just remaining stagnant, mid range. 命中 +0.9% +0.9% 2026-08-17T10:30:14.431142+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Short term top to me looks to be in. Will look for shorts on bounces 失误 +4.0% +4.0% 2026-08-17T10:30:13.437569+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
XRP 回测 ↓ 看跌 Looking for new lows as bulls fail to give us that 5th wave up, so we drop following the 3rd wave correction. 失误 -1.8% +2.1% 2026-08-17T10:30:13.409707+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 $ETH SHORT GOING WELL SO FAR 失误 +1.4% -1.3% 2026-08-17T10:30:09.786117+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 then bigger dump later on 失误 +3.8% +3.8% 2026-08-17T10:00:17.271689+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 → 看平 My overall plan is still this triangle consolidation pattern. 失误 +5.0% +11.6% 2026-08-17T10:00:12.075617+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Ascending triangle breakout. FINALLY. $67,500 would be the perfect target to go for. 失误 -3.5% -3.5% 2026-08-17T09:00:28.611283+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
XRP 回测 ↑ 看涨 Will expect relief here. 失误 -0.6% +5.2% 2026-08-17T09:00:08.344554+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 All we need to do is hold $77,700 support zone 失误 -5.2% -5.2% 2026-08-17T08:00:07.040657+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Shorts completely dominating. My next TP from Friday short is $76,100. Long hedges stopped out so just riding the short for now 失误 +0.4% +0.4% 2026-08-17T07:30:10.476306+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 It is not looking good as we lost support and the ascending triangle. 命中 -4.6% -4.6% 2026-08-17T07:30:06.650182+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 We are now on support. 命中 +4.1% +4.1% 2026-08-17T06:30:09.465259+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Took the short yesterday as we failed to make new highs. Now a main target on this dip would be down to $67,900 - $67,700 region 失误 +3.1% +3.1% 2026-08-17T06:30:04.529729+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 → 看平 I expect us to dance and find support around this level until we get a resolution. 命中 +0.1% +0.1% 2026-08-17T06:00:13.215408+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 I remain long again. 失误 -5.3% -5.3% 2026-08-17T06:00:10.649612+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 I was long yesterday and the reaction at $71,700 was not bearish, so we look higher. 失误 -6.8% -6.8% 2026-08-17T06:00:09.725657+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Dump the ponzi. Structure bearish. 失误 +1.5% +1.5% 2026-08-17T06:00:05.911682+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
DOGE 回测 ↓ 看跌 On life support at the moment. 命中 -4.8% -4.4% 2026-08-17T05:30:28.475091+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 $1900 remains my main target on the Ethereum short. 失误 +2.8% +5.2% 2026-08-17T05:30:20.967543+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 The dips will be for buying. 失误 -1.7% -1.7% 2026-08-17T05:30:19.873893+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 Ultimately waiting on lower. 失误 -1.0% +0.1% 2026-08-17T05:30:19.050520+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↓ 看跌 $76 support zone sweep incoming .. 失误 +4.1% +5.2% 2026-08-17T05:30:18.462799+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↓ 看跌 $50 minimum target overall. 失误 -0.2% +0.5% 2026-08-17T05:30:12.963554+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 Decent bounce off the $75.00 support zone i marked out for you all yesterday. 失误 -1.2% -3.6% 2026-08-17T05:30:12.161094+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 We are closing in on my $65k Bitcoin target Let’s get it over with please so we can pump 命中 +5.3% +5.3% 2026-08-17T05:30:11.036313+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 Personally i am looking for a bottoming to come in at $2000 level. 失误 -1.4% -9.6% 2026-08-17T05:30:09.517598+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↓ 看跌 Major support next is $50.00. With Bitcoin yet to find a bottom, this looks all to obvious for me. 命中 -6.1% -13.9% 2026-08-17T05:30:08.975868+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 ALL EYES ON THE $94,400 RESISTANCE ZONE ON Bitcoin 失误 -7.3% -7.3% 2026-08-17T05:00:36.032607+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 → 看平 For now we are holding support on Ethereum. 命中 +1.5% +3.0% 2026-08-17T05:00:35.687195+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 Finally got that dump i was calling for this morning. 失误 +1.8% +1.8% 2026-08-17T05:00:32.214252+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 I am now watching for the lower range to hit. 失误 +4.1% +4.1% 2026-08-17T05:00:14.272599+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 $2900 support loss, and we are dropping to $2850 失误 +0.8% +0.8% 2026-08-17T05:00:13.679547+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 i am holding my long from the range lows at $86,500 失误 -0.4% -0.4% 2026-08-17T05:00:07.689788+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 we are effectively more bullish 失误 -1.0% +1.5% 2026-08-17T05:00:07.398635+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 i am looking for one more macro push up before the bigger correction 失误 -2.4% -4.4% 2026-08-17T05:00:06.328239+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 @MizerXBT At resistance. Nice 命中 -7.6% -7.6% 2026-08-17T05:00:02.559397+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 For now we have a lower low, so this is bearish. 失误 +1.1% +1.1% 2026-08-17T04:30:21.858035+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
LINK 回测 ↓ 看跌 We have attacked resistance, now we want that juicy dip below. 失误 -2.2% -3.7% 2026-08-17T04:30:20.080624+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Gib $22,760 bounce please. 命中 +9.1% +10.7% 2026-08-17T04:30:19.255981+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 The long from last night still in profit. 失误 +0.8% +0.8% 2026-08-17T04:30:15.703885+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 I remain long from my $108,000 zone shared yesterday 命中 +3.2% +3.2% 2026-08-17T04:00:32.318974+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 We are on support now mate :) 命中 +4.2% +4.2% 2026-08-17T04:00:31.216813+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 $105,000 next level to watch on 👀👀 命中 +4.3% +4.3% 2026-08-17T04:00:30.167000+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
SOL 回测 ↑ 看涨 Now i am looking for us to tap up to $203 followed by a wave 2 / B wave pullback. 失误 -5.3% -9.1% 2026-08-17T04:00:27.932971+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Pump it up. $116,000 first target and will evaluate from there. 失误 -5.5% -5.5% 2026-08-17T04:00:17.704781+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↓ 看跌 I do think we head lower before we head higher 命中 -5.6% -5.6% 2026-08-17T04:00:17.433924+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
XRP 回测 ↑ 看涨 Holding my long at $2.74 support zone. 失误 -6.8% -16.3% 2026-08-17T04:00:15.992451+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BNB 回测 ↑ 看涨 Next target $1300 for me. 命中 +9.1% -1.4% 2026-08-17T04:00:08.521117+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 $110,000 entry came and we longed. Shed profit here at resistance and moved stop loss into profit. Next target $112,000. 命中 +9.1% +9.1% 2026-08-17T03:00:20.244514+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BNB 回测 ↑ 看涨 $740 long still looking good right now. $1,000 next target for us to reach 命中 +5.7% +2.9% 2026-08-17T03:00:08.405347+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↓ 看跌 A dip to $4,000 - $3,900 is definitely on the cards. 失误 -0.5% +3.8% 2026-08-17T02:30:12.611341+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ADA 回测 ↑ 看涨 I am still long from the support zone i shared at 0.64c. 命中 +5.9% +10.5% 2026-08-17T02:30:12.577909+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 $100,000 really feels possible. I am using $110,000 as my resistance mark now. 失误 +1.3% +1.3% 2026-08-17T02:30:08.422376+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Floodgates to my lower target at $100,000 are open. 失误 +2.1% +2.1% 2026-08-17T02:30:07.902147+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 But holding my main swing long from $93,500 失误 -1.0% -1.0% 2026-08-17T02:00:37.370832+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
LINK 回测 ↑ 看涨 $26.70 next target on my #Chainlink long position 命中 +4.2% +0.7% 2026-08-17T02:00:36.456375+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
BTC 回测 ↑ 看涨 Next resistance is 10% away. 失误 -7.3% -7.3% 2026-08-17T02:00:28.327314+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →
ETH 回测 ↑ 看涨 Creeping up to $4,000 resistance zone now. 命中 +4.2% +5.7% 2026-08-17T02:00:07.318862+00:00 源帖 → · 研报 →

相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。

点位战绩
命中率: 28% 5 中 · 13 错 · n=18

按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。

币种叫单结果 结算日来源
BTC — 失误 2026-08-31 研报 →
BTC — 失误 2026-08-30 研报 →
ETH — 失误 2026-08-30 研报 →
BTC — 命中 2026-08-29 研报 →
BTC — 失误 2026-08-28 研报 →
SOL — 命中 2026-08-28 研报 →
BTC == $76200 失误 2026-08-28 研报 →
SOL — 失误 2026-08-27 研报 →
BTC <= $76000 失误 2026-08-25 研报 →
BTC — 命中 2026-08-25 研报 →
BTC — 命中 2026-08-20 研报 →
XRP — 失误 2026-08-20 研报 →
BTC — 失误 2026-08-19 研报 →
ETH — 失误 2026-08-19 研报 →
BTC >= $64600 失误 2026-08-05 研报 →
BTC > $65000 失误 2026-08-03 研报 →
ETH >= 0.0296 BTC 命中 2026-07-30 研报 →
PEPE >= $3.03e-05 失误 2026-07-29 研报 →
回测记录
命中率: 21% 5 中 · 19 错 · n=24

从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。

币种叫单结果 结算日来源
SUI 回测 — 失误 2026-08-18 研报 →
BTC 回测 — 失误 2026-08-18 研报 →
ETH 回测 — 失误 2026-08-18 研报 →
SOL 回测 — 失误 2026-08-18 研报 →
AAVE 回测 — 命中 2026-08-17 研报 →
BNB 回测 — 命中 2026-08-17 研报 →
BTC 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
ADA 回测 — 命中 2026-08-17 研报 →
LINK 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
DOGE 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
ETH 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
LTC 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
XRP 回测 — 命中 2026-08-17 研报 →
SOL 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
UNI 回测 — 失误 2026-08-17 研报 →
BTC 回测 >= $68300 失误 2026-08-02 研报 →
BTC 回测 >= $88000 失误 2026-08-01 研报 →
ETH 回测 >= $3250 失误 2026-08-01 研报 →
SOL 回测 >= $145 失误 2026-08-01 研报 →
BTC 回测 >= $75700 失误 2026-07-28 研报 →
BTC 回测 >= $73800 命中 2026-07-28 研报 →
BTC 回测 == $63800 失误 2026-07-08 研报 →
BTC 回测 == $63500 失误 2026-07-08 研报 →
BTC 回测 <= $53000 失误 2026-07-08 研报 →
相关账号
@CredibleCrypto 11% n=9 · 4 个共同币种 @CryptoMichNL 35% n=23 · 3 个共同币种 @BigCheds 27% n=11 · 3 个共同币种 @blknoiz06 60% n=10 · 3 个共同币种 @AshCrypto 43% n=7 · 3 个共同币种
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 63%

两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 63% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →

嵌入这张战绩卡

把这段代码粘到你的站点。新的结算产生后,徽章会自动更新。 · 分享图卡(发 X 用 PNG)

实时预览 —— 真实数据,与你站点加载的是同一个脚本。

行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"

@CryptoTony__ · 31% (13 settled) · verified by CoinVerdict

浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"

@CryptoTony__ · 31% (13 settled) · verified by CoinVerdict

暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"

@CryptoTony__ · 31% (13 settled) · verified by CoinVerdict

大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"

@CryptoTony__ · 31% (13 settled) · verified by CoinVerdict

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数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。