@TedPillows 的已结算叫单档案
第 3 / 共 14 位已入榜 KOL 已达可评级样本
✓ 来源巡检:0 不可用检出 · 覆盖 19/19 · 最近巡检 2026-09-07
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
95% 置信区间 [30.6% – 86.3%] · Wilson 95% 区间——真实胜率大致落在这个范围。
最近结算 2026-09-01(6 天前)
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
BTC, ETH
@TedPillows 最近在说什么图表分析师
- 指出山寨币市值尚未突破下行趋势线,意味着大盘走势将跑输比特币。 原话 ↗
- 称以太坊跌破1550美元是“诱空”,重新收复该位置意味着底部大概率确立。 原话 ↗
- 预测比特币可能会先小幅回调至7.5万美元左右,然后才会重新冲向8万美元。 原话 ↗
- 认为行情剧烈震荡是健康的清洗,目的是消灭跟风做多的仓位。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 200 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
实时 8 条 · 补算 90 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:8 / 98 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
最早可计算命中记录:2026-08-20T00:00:09.519350+00:00 · 可计算样本 5/5
按币种
按喊单
按时间窗
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | A very strong case that the bottom is in. | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-09-01T00:00:06.630178+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | This looks good for more upside. | 失误 -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-31T00:00:07.041469+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | We started building our portfolio in the beginning of July. Enjoying this pump. | 命中 +9.9% | +9.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:07.009200+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | Higher. | 命中 +14.0% | +14.0% | 2026-08-27T00:00:07.941313+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH | ↑ 看涨 | I was bearish on $ETH at $4,900. I'm not bearish at the current price. | 命中 +5.3% | +28.7% | 2026-08-23T00:00:05.522182+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | Because once the market starts moving, people will come back. They’ll start paying attention again when Bitcoin is at $80K, $100K or higher | 命中 +24.3% | +24.3% | 2026-08-22T00:00:03.759312+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | Max pain is to the upside for Bitcoin. | 命中 +9.2% | +9.2% | 2026-08-20T00:00:09.519350+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | This happened in April 2025 and March 2026, and in both instances, Bitcoin rallied 30% or more. | 失误 +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T00:00:13.062624+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My longs are loaded, now send Ethereum to $4,000. | 失误 -1.6% | -4.8% | 2026-08-18T21:30:14.696336+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I'm longing every Ethereum dip. | 命中 +5.8% | +5.0% | 2026-08-18T21:30:08.123172+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Ethereum to $4,000 is next. | 命中 +21.6% | +22.0% | 2026-08-18T21:00:28.660552+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Alts have started to look really good here. | 失误 +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T21:00:27.871519+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Ethereum is going to $4,000. 🚀 | 命中 +19.5% | +19.9% | 2026-08-18T21:00:27.532994+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I think it's time Ethereum visits the range-high this week. | 命中 +7.1% | +18.5% | 2026-08-18T21:00:23.883890+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Pump it. | 失误 -5.6% | -8.9% | 2026-08-18T20:30:17.538771+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The dump below $76K was bottom and now BTC is heading higher. | 命中 +6.3% | +6.3% | 2026-08-18T19:00:18.526402+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Will something similar happen again? | 命中 +9.2% | +19.6% | 2026-08-18T17:00:21.812025+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I think this time won't be any different for Ethereum. | 失误 +1.2% | +7.0% | 2026-08-18T17:00:14.548605+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | If you believe in $SOL, now is the time to bid. | 失误 -3.9% | -3.8% | 2026-08-18T17:00:13.525580+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Time for that final leg up! | 失误 -0.3% | -0.3% | 2026-08-18T17:00:12.163055+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Exciting times ahead for Ethereum! | 失误 -6.8% | -11.4% | 2026-08-18T16:30:07.758202+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher. | 失误 +2.1% | -0.9% | 2026-08-17T13:00:27.267598+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Max pain is still to the upside for $ETH | 失误 +1.3% | -1.7% | 2026-08-17T13:00:13.104027+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Spot buyers are pushing $BTC higher. | 失误 -1.3% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T13:00:08.739664+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish. | 失误 +0.3% | -1.5% | 2026-08-17T13:00:07.320638+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This should continue for more upside. | 失误 -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-17T12:30:14.270305+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Today's crypto move is narrow, not broad: Solana is up 4.8% and Chainlink up 1.6%, while XRP, Dogecoin and SUI are flat to lower. | 失误 -1.7% | -2.4% | 2026-08-17T12:30:04.203398+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Pump this baby. | 失误 -1.3% | -1.7% | 2026-08-17T12:00:10.991009+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher. | 失误 -2.8% | -2.8% | 2026-08-17T12:00:10.262877+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher. | 失误 -0.8% | -3.5% | 2026-08-17T12:00:10.241871+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | As compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum is looking strong, and I think the rally isn't done yet. | 失误 +0.8% | -1.6% | 2026-08-17T12:00:08.688780+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It seems like BTC wants more pump here. | 失误 -2.0% | -2.0% | 2026-08-17T12:00:04.868426+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | more room for a pump before euphoria. | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-17T11:30:12.790774+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | IMO, Ethereum could begin its next move up in a few days. | 失误 +2.6% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T11:30:12.767916+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Pump this baby. | 失误 +2.1% | -1.2% | 2026-08-17T11:30:09.972591+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $BTC price and RSI still have room to grow. | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-17T11:30:07.290477+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | ETH broke above $1,900 to $1,933, a six-week high, confirming the bullish setup I'd been watching rather than just testing it | 命中 +3.7% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T11:30:07.200138+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | A pump to trap late buyers and then the final capitulation. | 失误 -0.7% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T11:00:21.320299+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Now watching for opportunities to buy back lower. | 失误 +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T11:00:19.105905+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | This looks like the start of a correction. | 失误 -1.2% | +0.7% | 2026-08-17T11:00:17.752304+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Even so, I still believe $66,000 is the magnet. | 命中 +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T11:00:08.797494+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Even so, I still believe $66,000 is the magnet. | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-17T11:00:08.487368+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Which Altcoin deserves to be in Top 3? $SUI | 失误 +0.4% | +1.8% | 2026-08-17T11:00:08.466017+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | IMO, Ethereum will tap the upside liquidity first | 失误 +2.1% | +3.6% | 2026-08-17T11:00:07.917387+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | This looks bad in the short term. | 失误 +2.7% | +2.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:11.718324+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Dump. | 失误 -2.7% | -2.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:09.492458+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | If this structure continues to hold, more upside coming. | 失误 +0.2% | +0.2% | 2026-08-17T10:30:09.146816+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Spot demand is pushing $ETH higher. | 失误 -0.7% | +0.4% | 2026-08-17T10:30:08.527919+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Now, there are huge long-side liquidity clusters forming below $75. | 命中 -7.4% | -5.1% | 2026-08-17T10:30:05.834883+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | This is just a relief rally | 失误 +2.7% | +2.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:03.869587+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks good in the short-term. | 命中 +5.0% | +11.6% | 2026-08-17T10:00:12.304365+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $BTC is currently trading at one of the most historically oversold levels we’ve ever seen. | 命中 +5.9% | +5.9% | 2026-08-17T09:00:07.137072+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The lower low is still coming. | 失误 -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T08:30:07.882863+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | This is the last support zone for Ethereum before new lows. | 命中 -6.7% | -10.6% | 2026-08-17T08:30:07.586268+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | IMO, Bitcoin will tap this zone before more weakness. | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-17T08:00:06.079825+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Also, ETH is way oversold on the 4H timeframe, so a bounceback is expected. | 失误 -1.2% | -0.8% | 2026-08-17T07:30:11.378004+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Not looking good for $ETH and alts. | 失误 -2.7% | -7.2% | 2026-08-17T07:30:07.215328+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH is looking weak here. | 失误 -1.3% | +1.9% | 2026-08-17T07:00:21.096906+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | IMO, BTC is now very close to its local top, and the chances of another downside are very high. | 失误 +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-17T06:30:09.421744+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | A reclaim means Bitcoin will tap March highs. | 命中 +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-17T06:30:05.219434+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $BTC got rejected from the $69,000-$70,000 resistance zone. | 失误 +4.3% | +4.3% | 2026-08-17T06:00:22.660273+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Not looking good for Bitcoin. | 失误 -2.8% | -2.8% | 2026-08-17T06:00:20.116958+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | IMO, Ethereum will have a fakeout above the $2,400 level before the next downtrend. | 失误 -2.5% | -7.0% | 2026-08-17T06:00:11.574503+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin will break above this zone and pump towards $76,000-$78,000 before the next leg down. | 失误 -6.8% | -6.8% | 2026-08-17T06:00:09.701551+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I expect a pump above the resistance zone to convince everyone that the bottom is in. | 失误 +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-17T05:30:29.884584+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH has broken down from its bear flag pattern. | 失误 +2.6% | +9.2% | 2026-08-17T05:30:24.657408+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The next major resistance zone is around $74,000-$76,000 | 失误 -2.1% | -2.1% | 2026-08-17T05:30:13.749519+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | yeah just grinding around support rn | 失误 +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-17T05:30:10.944790+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $BTC and alts aren't gonna like this. | 命中 -6.0% | -6.0% | 2026-08-17T05:00:41.504066+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | At this point, a sweep of the $2,800-$2,850 support level before the next rally seems highly likely for Ethereum. | 失误 -2.6% | -8.4% | 2026-08-17T05:00:41.480380+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bearish bias, no invalidation yet | 失误 +1.1% | +1.0% | 2026-08-17T05:00:40.123702+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is not the time to be bearish. | 失误 -6.2% | -6.2% | 2026-08-17T05:00:37.696597+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | so a bounceback is expected. | 失误 +2.0% | +7.3% | 2026-08-17T05:00:34.403070+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL have lost their short-term uptrend. | 失误 +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-17T05:00:08.551607+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL have lost their short-term uptrend. | 失误 +0.7% | +2.7% | 2026-08-17T05:00:08.483340+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Ethereum is now going down, and the next support zone is around the $3,000-$3,100 level. | 命中 -5.5% | -12.6% | 2026-08-17T04:30:24.227733+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It seems like the Sunday pump has started | 失误 +0.0% | +0.0% | 2026-08-17T04:30:16.778305+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | we could see a CME gap fill followed by a bounce. | 失误 -9.8% | -9.8% | 2026-08-17T04:30:07.314391+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | $ETH failed to reclaim the $3,700 level and is now going down. | 失误 +1.3% | -8.6% | 2026-08-17T04:30:07.291172+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, a retest of $100,000 will just be a matter of time. | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-17T04:00:39.811312+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I don't see a way for Solana to rally until treasury companies start aggressive buying. | 命中 -10.1% | -15.9% | 2026-08-17T04:00:37.547004+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $111k zone looks like solid support so far | 失误 -6.4% | -6.4% | 2026-08-17T04:00:37.016005+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | before we jump to new ATHs. | 失误 -10.1% | -10.1% | 2026-08-17T04:00:35.676074+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Ethereum is still consolidating below the $4,000 resistance level, which means bears are still dominating. | 失误 -2.6% | -6.1% | 2026-08-17T04:00:34.504337+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | On the upside, there isn't much resistance until $112,000 level. | 命中 +5.4% | +5.4% | 2026-08-17T04:00:32.026140+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Now there's little to no support until $101,000-$102,000. | 失误 +4.3% | +4.3% | 2026-08-17T04:00:30.122143+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The next support region is around $3,600, which will most likely get retested. | 失误 -1.5% | +2.7% | 2026-08-17T04:00:30.099405+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is the level I'm eyeing to load heavily on Ethereum. | 失误 -5.0% | -7.2% | 2026-08-17T03:30:03.941481+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | If support cracks, new bull run has to wait | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-17T03:00:15.042408+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | → 看平 | Nothing has changed for Ethereum, so expect sideways price action. | 失误 -4.8% | -9.8% | 2026-08-17T03:00:14.741623+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The next resistance zone for Ethereum is around $4,700 before a new ATH. | 失误 -4.8% | -5.2% | 2026-08-17T02:30:16.816937+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | @jobier72 $3,800 really is standing out as key support right now | 失误 -4.2% | -2.3% | 2026-08-17T02:30:10.937833+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Whales are taking profit vs. cost basis, with flows rotating into $ETH. | 失误 -5.5% | -6.0% | 2026-08-17T02:30:05.341684+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | When this compression breaks out, a new ATH is probably next. | 失误 -3.7% | -8.1% | 2026-08-17T02:30:03.529443+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $ETH is really strong this morning. | 失误 -5.5% | -11.2% | 2026-08-17T02:00:24.649209+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Ethereum is ready to go higher, 1st target is ATH. | 命中 +6.9% | +5.2% | 2026-08-17T02:00:19.548974+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I think it can be a lot higher but for the first target I have 140k | 失误 -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-17T02:00:18.290430+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | And it happened exactly as predicted. Ethereum has smashed through its resistance and is now heading higher. | 失误 +3.0% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T02:00:18.020805+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Deeper Ethereum dips are for buying. | 命中 +20.7% | +27.1% | 2026-08-17T02:00:14.019225+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Send ETH above $4,000 now. 🚀 | 命中 +10.0% | +13.5% | 2026-08-17T02:00:12.909005+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | >= $71000 | 命中 | 2026-09-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-09-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-31 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 命中 | 2026-08-28 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 命中 | 2026-08-27 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $100000 | 失误 | 2026-08-26 | 研报 → |
| ETH | — | 命中 | 2026-08-23 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 命中 | 2026-08-22 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 命中 | 2026-08-20 | 研报 → |
| BTC | <= $66800 | 命中 | 2026-08-16 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $66000 | 失误 | 2026-08-01 | 研报 → |
| ETH | >= $2000 | 失误 | 2026-07-28 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $64000 | 失误 | 2026-07-28 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $66000 | 命中 | 2026-07-21 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $68000 | 失误 | 2026-07-21 | 研报 → |
| BTC | > $65000 | 命中 | 2026-07-20 | 研报 → |
| ETH | > $1850 | 失误 | 2026-07-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC | <= $62500 | 失误 | 2026-07-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC | <= $65000 | 命中 | 2026-07-14 | 研报 → |
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $125000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4000 | 失误 | 2026-08-01 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | <= $4000 | 命中 | 2026-07-31 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $150000 | 失误 | 2026-07-30 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | <= $3900 | 失误 | 2026-07-30 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4000 | 失误 | 2026-07-30 | 研报 → |
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 63% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
把这段代码粘到你的站点。新的结算产生后,徽章会自动更新。 · 分享图卡(发 X 用 PNG)
实时预览 —— 真实数据,与你站点加载的是同一个脚本。
行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"
浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"
暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"
大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"
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数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。