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@PeterSchiff — settled call record

✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 5/5 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31

0% Hit rate · 0 hits · 5 misses · n=5 Archive building (n < 10) avg |move| of hits (absolute, vs USD)

Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →

95% CI [0.0% – 43.4%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.

Last settled 2026-08-31 (0d ago)

Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.

BTC

In three sentences

What @PeterSchiff has been sayinggold standard advocate

AI-distilled — our read of 123 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.

If you had followed

Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?

-$65following every call
-$6just holding BTC
-$59the difference

5 live · 14 backtested — never merged into one number.

Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →

Rating and benchmarks
Rating Sample building (19/20)

Rating rule: kol_rating_v1 — read the full rule →

Hit rate over time
50%0%2026-08-182026-08-31
Breakdown

By coin

BTC: 0% n=5 · thin

By call

—: 0% n=5 · thin

By window

30d: 0% n=5 · thin 90d: 0% n=5 · thin All time: 0% n=5 · thin
Directional record
CoinCallWhat they said Relative (ranked) Absolute (vs USD) SettledSource
BTC ↓ Bearish AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it. MISS -0.1% -0.1% 2026-08-31T00:00:07.145011+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC ↓ Bearish Sell Bitcoin, buy gold. MISS +9.9% +9.9% 2026-08-28T00:00:07.034837+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC ↓ Bearish In contrast, Bitcoin is a sell. MISS +14.0% +14.0% 2026-08-27T00:00:07.518626+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC ↓ Bearish There isn't much upside above that level, but plenty of downside below. MISS +22.4% +22.4% 2026-08-25T00:00:06.369449+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC ↓ Bearish Gold and silver are rallying as stocks, bonds, and Bitcoin are selling off. Get used to it. MISS +0.9% +0.9% 2026-08-18T00:00:13.249691+00:00 source post → · verdict →

Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.

Backtested records
Hit rate: 21% 3 hits · 11 misses · n=14

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

CoinCallWhat they said Relative (ranked) Absolute (vs USD) SettledSource
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Long term Bitcoin will go much lower than $50K MISS +1.7% +1.7% 2026-08-18T23:30:03.157891+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish By the time he finishes his weekly buying and reports what he bought on Monday, the price has already declined without his continued buying to support it. MISS +2.5% +2.5% 2026-08-18T23:00:36.087581+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish How ironic that the main reason to buy Bitcoin is that politicians who were paid to support it are doing favors for those who helped get them elected. HIT -6.3% -6.3% 2026-08-18T23:00:33.272022+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish Time to sell your Bitcoin and buy gold. HIT -8.5% -8.5% 2026-08-18T23:00:10.717732+00:00 source post → · verdict →
ETH backtested ↓ Bearish Get out now! MISS +6.0% +0.0% 2026-08-18T22:30:12.346697+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish I would expect the near term support to be lower down. MISS +7.5% +7.5% 2026-08-18T17:30:02.294016+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish The Bitcoin party is over. MISS -0.8% -0.8% 2026-08-17T13:00:03.517741+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish I also expect a much bigger selloff in Bitcoin. MISS +0.3% +0.3% 2026-08-17T12:00:12.383586+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish There will not enough net new buying to support the price when Strategy is selling so much. MISS +8.1% +8.1% 2026-08-17T10:00:14.959763+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish The most likely resolution is a retest of the longer-term uptrend off the Dec. 2018 low. MISS +5.9% +5.9% 2026-08-17T09:00:07.088813+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish I said the conference likely represented the peak of the mania. A blow-off top. HIT -4.1% -4.1% 2026-08-17T08:30:06.998125+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish There's too much overhead resistance to justify even speculative buys at these prices. The upside potential is limited, whereas the downside risk is significant. MISS +8.1% +8.1% 2026-08-17T06:30:04.191869+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↑ Bullish It's bascially building a support base around $5K, getting ready for its next big rally. MISS -5.3% -5.3% 2026-08-17T06:00:10.670464+00:00 source post → · verdict →
BTC backtested ↓ Bearish The $126K ATH may have been the final ATH. MISS -1.8% -1.8% 2026-08-17T05:30:14.045035+00:00 source post → · verdict →

Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.

Price-target record
Hit rate: 0% 0 hits · 4 misses · n=4

Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.

CoinCallResult SettledSource
BTC MISS 2026-08-31 verdict →
BTC MISS 2026-08-28 verdict →
BTC MISS 2026-08-27 verdict →
BTC MISS 2026-08-25 verdict →
Backtested records
Hit rate: 0% 0 hits · 3 misses · n=3

Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.

CoinCallResult SettledSource
BTC backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
ETH backtested MISS 2026-08-18 verdict →
BTC backtested MISS 2026-08-17 verdict →
Related accounts
@CryptoMichNL 42% n=19 · 1 coin in common @CryptoTony__ 31% n=13 · 1 coin in common @BigCheds 30% n=10 · 1 coin in common @blknoiz06 67% n=9 · 1 coin in common @CredibleCrypto 12% n=8 · 1 coin in common
Side by side with CoinVerdict
CoinVerdict win rate (settle_v1 vs BTC): 64%

Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →

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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.