@Pentosh1 — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 2/2 covered · last sweep 2026-09-01
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 79.3%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-29 (3d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
ETH
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
1 live · 8 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 1 / 9.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Will continue to trade eth, hype, pump. $Eth has been the strongest mover for majors. | MISS -2.3% | -2.9% | 2026-08-29T00:00:05.103207+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | It not one that will persist imo | MISS +1.2% | +3.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:06.402193+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↓ Bearish | Look at sol, and many others that had bearish retests thus far. | MISS -1.3% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T11:30:12.890928+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | → Sideways | We likely need some time sideways with fake outs etc. | HIT -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-17T11:30:12.861956+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↓ Bearish | Look at sol, and many others that had bearish retests thus far. | MISS -0.9% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T11:00:10.203673+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Does that make BTC a bad buy here? No, if anything this general range is a great buy imo long term. | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T10:30:14.453290+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | → Sideways | = no triggers. | MISS +13.1% | +5.7% | 2026-08-17T09:30:12.892303+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | cursed asset, lost decade | MISS -2.5% | -7.7% | 2026-08-17T09:30:08.046666+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | the path of least resistance is generally up. | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.423568+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | the likely path remains higher. | MISS -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-17T07:00:35.016961+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Every dollar raised from BSTR goes straight into more $ETH | MISS -3.8% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T06:30:10.773419+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-29 | verdict → |
| ETH | <= $1799 | MISS | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | <= $70 | MISS | 2026-08-16 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | > $70 | HIT | 2026-08-16 | verdict → |
| AERO backtested | >= $0.74 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
| HYPE backtested | > $70 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.