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UNI / The Verdict

generated 2026-08-23 00:35 UTC
$4.34
+3.62% · 24h
price as of 2026-08-23 00:35 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-08-23 — latest verdict → UNI
The Verdict
Hold

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

UNI’s 67.2 RSI and 33.0% seven-day surge meet resistance 4.575

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-23 00:35 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bullish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Mixed C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
8W–9L–4P · 13 neutral · since 2026-07-14
95% CI 26.2–69.0% · n=17 · early sample
2026-08-31 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-29 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-05
2026-08-28 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-04
2026-08-27 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-03
2026-08-26 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-02
2026-08-25 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-01
2026-08-24 — Overweight — +15.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · UNI price $4.523 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · UNI price $5.223 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+15.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-23 — Neutral — +19.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · UNI price $4.345 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-31 · UNI price $5.223 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
+19.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-22 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-08-29
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +14.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · UNI price $3.783 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · UNI price $4.738 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+14.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · UNI price $3.693 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · UNI price $4.373 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-16 — Underweight — +9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · UNI price $3.243 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · UNI price $4.345 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
+9.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · UNI price $3.478 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · UNI price $3.783 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-5.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · UNI price $3.56 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · UNI price $3.693 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-5.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-12 · UNI price $3.746 · BTC $63546
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-20 · UNI price $3.693 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-10.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-11 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-11 · UNI price $3.945 · BTC $63941.5
Settled (T+9d)
2026-08-20 · UNI price $3.693 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-14.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · UNI price $3.989 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · UNI price $3.243 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-16.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Neutral — -16.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · UNI price $3.984 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · UNI price $3.233 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-16.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Neutral — -12.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · UNI price $4.037 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · UNI price $3.478 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-12.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-06 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · UNI price $4.109 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · UNI price $3.56 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-12.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · UNI price $3.83 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · UNI price $3.746 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · UNI price $3.9181 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · UNI price $3.945 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
+0.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · UNI price $4.133 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · UNI price $4.005 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-5.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Overweight — -5.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · UNI price $4.096 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · UNI price $3.989 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Overweight — -10.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · UNI price $4.331 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · UNI price $3.984 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-10.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Overweight — -9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · UNI price $4.42 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · UNI price $4.037 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-9.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · UNI price $4.01 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · UNI price $4.109 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+1.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Overweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · UNI price $3.897 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · UNI price $3.83 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-28 — Neutral — +6.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · UNI price $3.702 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · UNI price $3.9181 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+6.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-27 — Overweight — +9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · UNI price $3.869 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · UNI price $4.133 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+9.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-07-26 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · UNI price $3.675 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · UNI price $4.096 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
+14.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-07-25 — Overweight — +16.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · UNI price $3.7991 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · UNI price $4.331 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
+16.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-24 — Neutral — +18.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · UNI price $3.74 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · UNI price $4.42 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+18.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Neutral — +8.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · UNI price $3.817 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · UNI price $4.01 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
+8.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-22 — Overweight — +7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · UNI price $3.722 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · UNI price $3.897 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
+7.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-21 — Neutral — +4.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · UNI price $3.629 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · UNI price $3.702 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
+4.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-20 — Underweight — +10.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · UNI price $3.42 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · UNI price $3.869 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
+10.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-19 — Neutral — +3.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · UNI price $3.561 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · UNI price $3.675 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
+3.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Neutral — +3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · UNI price $3.545 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · UNI price $3.74 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
+3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-07-16 — Underweight — +3.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · UNI price $3.625 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · UNI price $3.817 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
+3.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$4.34 +3.6% 24h
60d high4.58 -4.9%
60d low2.71 +60.2%
RSI(14)67.2
vs 200d SMA +26.8%
30d change +15.0%
Funding (net) +1.00 bp/8h
Fear & Greed66 · Greed
Long accounts54.5% long
StockTwits (self-tagged)9 bull / 0 bear · 16 msgs

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained close above 4.575 overturns the cautious ruling; a break below 4.300 confirms downside control.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionMixed
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$4.30
Key resistance$4.58
InvalidationA sustained close above 4.575 overturns the cautious ruling; a break below 4.300 confirms downside control.
Main risksrejection near 4.575overheated momentum at RSI 67.2weak taker buy/sell at 0.89
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down
CryptoMichNL — 28.6% hit rate (n=170)
CryptoTony__ — 22.2% hit rate (n=114)
BigCheds — 0.0% hit rate (n=44)

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. UNI is above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 by 15.9%, 17.0%, and 26.8%, while the bullish MA structure and expanding MACD histogram support momentum. RSI 67.2 is hot, and 4.575 is the immediate ceiling.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Greed is already at 66, long accounts lead at 54.5% with a 1.20 long/short ratio, and StockTwits shows 9 bullish tags versus 0 bearish. But taker buy/sell is only 0.89, so enthusiasm is louder than aggressive demand.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The strongest UNI-specific headline is a record daily burn of $590K, while several headlines speculate about a distant $100 target. The broader tape carries exchange-restart and bridge-exploit stress, which offers no clean macro tailwind.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. A $590K record daily UNI burn is a constructive token-economics datapoint. The pack provides no supply schedule, valuation, fee-revenue, or governance-capture figures, so fundamentals cannot justify a months-long target.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
e0251068e320abac388cbf72e60de9ee62e2017cc1d086948e785a81aebb848c
UTC date
2026-08-23
Chain head
8dcc587613f29d0d57db9e6584607b513023911e8f47308581cffaaf7659dcc3

Committed 2026-08-24T00:20:00+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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