UNI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
UNI holds 3.545 USD, but the -18.0% SMA50/SMA200 gap keeps the swing verdict balanced
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-17 00:17 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — +35.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — +30.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — +39.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +24.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +15.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +19.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +14.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — +4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Neutral — -16.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Neutral — -12.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -5.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -10.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +6.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Overweight — +16.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +18.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +8.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Overweight — +7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Neutral — +4.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +10.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — +3.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — +3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A decisive close above 3.846 USD overturns the bearish swing read; a break below 3.517 USD confirms downside control.. Cautious read: a break below $3.52 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo’s repair job is built on a 10.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo’s repair job is built on a 10. Key support to defend sits near $3.52. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: UNI is still 3.3% under the SMA200 and the SMA50 sits 18.0% below it. But that damage is stale chart baggage; price is 18.0% above SMA50, RSI is a healthy 63.7, and the 30-day gain is already 10.1%—the tape is repairing faster than the old averages can turn.
Leo’s repair job is built on a 10.1% monthly bounce that has already stalled beneath the 3.846 USD 60-day high. The key number is not the 18.0% lift over SMA50; it’s the contracting +0.0215 MACD histogram alongside a 0.94 taker ratio, which says his momentum is losing fuel while longs crowd the trade.
· crowded 61.8% long accounts and 1.62 L/S ratio
· contracting MACD histogram at +0.0215
· no confirmed UNI-specific catalyst
Invalidation: A decisive close above 3.846 USD overturns the bearish swing read; a break below 3.517 USD confirms downside control.
Mara, you’re treating a 0.94 taker ratio as a death certificate, but Fear&Greed at 27 means the broader crowd hasn’t chased this move. A fearful tape can squeeze a 61.8% long-account base before it breaks.
Leo, that 61.8% is precisely the trap: long accounts are already positioned while buyers are below sellers. If 3.517 USD gives way, your squeeze story turns into forced de-risking.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating a 0.94 taker ratio as a death certificate, but Fear&Greed at 27 means the broader crowd hasn’t chased this move. A fearful tape can squeeze a 61.8% long-account base before it breaks.
Leo, that 61.8% is precisely the trap: long accounts are already positioned while buyers are below sellers. If 3.517 USD gives way, your squeeze story turns into forced de-risking.
I’m with Mara on the positioning mechanics, Leo. A 1.62 long/short ratio paired with taker buy/sell at 0.94 gives longs asymmetric liquidation exposure, and funding is unavailable—so nobody gets to invent a carry tailwind.
Leo, sector headlines about a multi-token ETF and stablecoins are not liquidity. Without a UNI-specific flow, the token is still below SMA200; macro optimism is a postcard, not a bid.
I side with the bears on the single decisive exhibit: the contracting +0.0215 MACD histogram while taker buy/sell sits at 0.94 and long accounts reach 61.8%. I’m neutral on outright exposure because the short-term trend is still above SMA20 and SMA50, but the bearish swing structure wins until UNI reclaims 3.846 USD; a decisive break below 3.517 USD invalidates this ruling’s near-term balance and turns it decisively bearish.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: RSI(14) is 63.7 and price sits 7.8% above SMA20 and 18.0% above SMA50, keeping near-term momentum constructive. But price remains 3.3% below SMA200, while the SMA50 trails SMA200 by 18.0%; MACD histogram at +0.0215 is contracting.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed at 27 says the crowd is still fearful, while long accounts at 61.8% and a 1.62 long/short ratio show traders leaning long anyway. Taker buy/sell at 0.94 confirms sellers have the immediate edge; this is fragile bullish positioning, not capitulation.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headlines point to institutional crypto expansion, including T. Rowe Price’s first multi-token ETF and Visa’s Open USD platform. None is a direct UNI catalyst, so headline optimism does not establish a token-specific revaluation case.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack supplies no UNI-specific revenue, governance, valuation, or protocol-usage figures. Institutional crypto adoption is a favorable sector backdrop, but it cannot by itself justify a months-long UNI fundamental verdict.
19569c8d9bc1851adf68bf7188211a71536dcfbc12a41ce905b646a19bf2bc7f70e6e12fe78524df5289beb80d3f4382c89c73b1c7a527091a8c313a2bcf59adCommitted 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24