UNI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
UNI at $3.722 is pressing toward the $3.846 resistance after a 24.8% 30-day surge
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 08:57 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — +35.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — +30.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — +39.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +24.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +15.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +19.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +14.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — +4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Neutral — -16.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Neutral — -12.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -5.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -10.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +6.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Overweight — +16.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +18.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +8.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Overweight — +7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Neutral — +4.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +10.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — +3.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — +3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A daily close below $3.653, reinforced by RSI below 50, invalidates the bullish swing call.. Cautious read: a break below $3.65 voids this research. Confidence Low — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your momentum stack is leaning on the exact level that can break its neck: $3.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I’ll concede the ugliest number: SMA50 is 14. Resistance to clear sits near $3.85. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: SMA50 is 14.9% under SMA200, a slow-moving bear skeleton in the closet. But Leo sees that structure as stale ballast when UNI is 7.0% above SMA20, 21.0% above SMA50, up 24.8% in 30 days, and printing an expanding MACD histogram at +0.005975. The $3.846 ceiling is close enough to test, and Fear&Greed at 33 says the crowd hasn’t priced in much hopium.
Leo, your momentum stack is leaning on the exact level that can break its neck: $3.846 is only 3.2% away. RSI 66.5 is already hot, the 58.0% long-account share and 1.38 L/S ratio show crowded optimism, and the SMA50-versus-SMA200 gap says the larger trend still disagrees. Calling that stale is how traders turn a 3.2% ceiling into a 60.8% slide toward $2.314.
· Rejection at $3.846
· Crowded 1.38 L/S positioning
· Bitcoin below $66,000
Invalidation: A daily close below $3.653, reinforced by RSI below 50, invalidates the bullish swing call.
Mara, a nearby resistance level is a target before it’s a tombstone. Price is above every listed moving average, and MACD is expanding while the 30-day move reaches 24.8%.
Leo, above-average positioning makes that breakout fragile. With RSI at 66.5 and longs at 58.0%, you’re asking marginal buyers to absorb supply directly under $3.846.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, a nearby resistance level is a target before it’s a tombstone. Price is above every listed moving average, and MACD is expanding while the 30-day move reaches 24.8%.
Leo, above-average positioning makes that breakout fragile. With RSI at 66.5 and longs at 58.0%, you’re asking marginal buyers to absorb supply directly under $3.846.
I’m with Leo on the asymmetry in sentiment: Fear&Greed at 33 is fear, not euphoria. But taker buy/sell at 1.02 is barely constructive, so the flow tape has not yet delivered a decisive breakout vote.
And the macro backdrop is a cold wind, colleagues: Bitcoin is under $66,000 while traders wait on Alphabet earnings. UNI can rally against that regime, but liquidity cynicism says a resistance test is not the same as a sustained trend.
I award the near-term win to the bulls, chiefly on the decisive exhibit of price sitting 21.0% above SMA50 while MACD expands and Fear&Greed remains 33. I rate the call low-confidence because $3.846 is immediate resistance and the SMA50/SMA200 structure remains bearish. I overturn this ruling on a daily close below $3.653, the latest candle’s low, especially if RSI falls beneath 50.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI 66.5, expanding MACD histogram at +0.005975, and price above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 support bullish momentum. The conflict is structural: SMA50 sits 14.9% below SMA200, while $3.846 is only 3.2% overhead.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bullish. Evidence families: Fear&Greed 33, long accounts 58.0% with a 1.38 L/S ratio, and taker buy/sell at 1.02. Conflict: fear supports contrarian upside, but the long bias creates liquidation exposure. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
UNI-specific headlines focus on governance moves, momentum, and forecasts for continued gains. The broader tape is less friendly, with Bitcoin below $66,000 and traders waiting on Alphabet earnings to price the AI trade.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack offers no token-economics, revenue, valuation, or protocol-usage figures, so the fundamental case cannot carry a months-long verdict. Governance activity is a narrative catalyst, not proof of durable value capture.
0a94149acca9ef00e447eca51a67a08ca682cf93b9164df9c89af40895e34307d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24