UNI / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
UNI at $3.561 has momentum, but the bearish SMA structure still caps the swing
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-19 06:15 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Mixed
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Mixed
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A+
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Overweight — +35.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Overweight — +30.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Overweight — +39.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +24.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +15.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +19.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +14.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Neutral — +4.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +9.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -5.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -5.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — -10.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Neutral — -16.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Neutral — -16.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Neutral — -12.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Overweight — -5.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Overweight — -5.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Overweight — -10.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Overweight — -9.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Overweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Neutral — +6.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Overweight — +9.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — +14.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-25 — Overweight — +16.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Neutral — +18.5% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — +8.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Overweight — +7.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-21 — Neutral — +4.4% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-20 — Underweight — +10.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-19 — Neutral — +3.7% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-17 — Neutral — +3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions
Invalidation: A confirmed close above $3.846 would invalidate the bearish-structure ruling and shift the verdict bullish.. Cautious read: a break below $3.51 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your 15.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Mixed, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your 15. Key support to defend sits near $3.51. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number, Mara: UNI is still 2.4% below SMA200 and SMA50 trails SMA200 by 16.9%. But RSI at 62.0, price 17.5% above SMA50, and a 30-day gain of 15.6% say the rebound has real thrust; the old bearish structure may be stale overhead rather than fresh evidence of collapse.
Leo, your 15.6% monthly gain is exactly the number that makes this bounce vulnerable to profit-taking. MACD histogram is already contracting at +0.00763, takers sell at 0.91, and UNI remains 7.4% below the 60-day high of $3.846—your rebound has not reclaimed the trend.
· Break below $3.512
· Long-account unwind
· Contracting MACD momentum
Invalidation: A confirmed close above $3.846 would invalidate the bearish-structure ruling and shift the verdict bullish.
Mara, Fear&Greed at 28 is a wall of skepticism, not confirmation of a crowded top. If UNI holds $3.512, the market is showing buyers defending the latest range.
Leo, 57.1% long accounts and a 1.33 long/short ratio puncture that fear narrative. Those longs are fuel for a flush if $3.512 breaks.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, Fear&Greed at 28 is a wall of skepticism, not confirmation of a crowded top. If UNI holds $3.512, the market is showing buyers defending the latest range.
Leo, 57.1% long accounts and a 1.33 long/short ratio puncture that fear narrative. Those longs are fuel for a flush if $3.512 breaks.
I’m with Mara on the positioning arithmetic: taker buy/sell at 0.91 confirms sellers are more aggressive at the market. But there’s no funding-rate data here, so nobody gets to claim leveraged longs are definitively paying the bears.
Both of you are arguing inside a narrow box. Until UNI clears $3.846, the macro tape has no verified catalyst in this pack to overpower a price still 2.4% under SMA200.
I side with the bears for the weeks-ahead structure, and my decisive exhibit is UNI’s position 2.4% below SMA200 while SMA50 remains 16.9% beneath it. I would overturn that ruling on a confirmed break above $3.846, especially if RSI holds above 62.0 rather than rolling over.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Kai Nakamura: UNI trades 5.9% above SMA20 and 17.5% above SMA50, with RSI at 62.0. But price remains 2.4% below SMA200, while SMA50 sits 16.9% below SMA200; MACD histogram at +0.00763 is contracting.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Sofia Reyes: Fear&Greed is 28, so the crowd is still fearful. Yet 57.1% of long accounts and a 1.33 long/short ratio show that fear is not cleanly bearish positioning; taker buy/sell at 0.91 tilts execution toward sellers.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: The headlines are dominated by payments, privacy, regulation, and broader crypto governance—not UNI-specific catalysts. Nothing in the pack supplies a direct fundamental news impulse for UNI.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: The data pack provides no UNI-specific revenue, fee, governance, supply, or valuation figures. A durable months-long fundamental verdict cannot be justified from these exhibits.
bad87dbcbaf5ac04f90019770d90b9196d7549630a5fe1ae42aa529e76302bd1f4fc7312c5be5f7d7eea56f69a8be2b8607d9ddd9672db388d49defd4b1498d1Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24