SKY / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SKY’s 0.05822 rebound sits below the 200-day average, with RSI at 48.5 and the 60-day high 16.1% away
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-31 01:44 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -0.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +4.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-12 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -5.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A sustained break above 0.06938 would invalidate the bearish swing call.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04852 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that 10.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that 10. Key support to defend sits near $0.04852. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugliest number: SKY trades 13.6% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day sits 14.8% beneath it. But the tape has already clawed out a 10.4% 30-day gain, MACD pressure is contracting, and revenue above $100M with sUSDS supply up 149% gives this beaten-down chart a live engine.
Leo, that 10.4% gain is exactly the bait: SKY still sits 2.9% under the SMA20 and 16.1% below the 60-day high of 0.06938. A contracting negative MACD histogram is not a bullish signal by itself, while RSI at 48.5 and taker flow at 0.90 show buyers haven’t seized control.
· Extreme-fear reversal from Fear & Greed 25
· 149% sUSDS supply growth improving demand
· Positive 30-day momentum of +10.4%
Invalidation: A sustained break above 0.06938 would invalidate the bearish swing call.
Mara, you’re treating 0.06938 like a verdict when price is holding 0.05822 and the 60-day floor is 0.04852. Extreme fear at 25 is the kindling shorts hate.
Leo, fear is only kindling if buyers bring a match; just 35.6% of accounts are long, and the 0.55 L/S ratio plus 0.90 taker flow says the match is missing.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating 0.06938 like a verdict when price is holding 0.05822 and the 60-day floor is 0.04852. Extreme fear at 25 is the kindling shorts hate.
Leo, fear is only kindling if buyers bring a match; just 35.6% of accounts are long, and the 0.55 L/S ratio plus 0.90 taker flow says the match is missing.
I’m with Mara on the flow print: positioning is defensive, and no funding-rate data is available to prove crowded shorts are paying for a squeeze. The bear case has cleaner evidence than the contrarian story.
And the macro tape is no friend: Strategy absorbed an $8.2B Q2 Bitcoin loss while Coinbase dropped 5% on weak revenue. SKY’s protocol headlines may be bright, but liquidity risk still sets the weather.
I rule for the bears, and the decisive exhibit is SKY’s bearish moving-average structure: price is 13.6% below SMA200 while SMA50 is 14.8% below SMA200. I would overturn this ruling on a sustained break above 0.06938.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, momentum, multi-horizon price action, support/resistance. Conflicts: 30-day performance is +10.4% and MACD histogram is contracting rather than accelerating lower. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: Fear & Greed at 25, account positioning with only 35.6% long and a 0.55 L/S ratio, taker buy/sell at 0.90. Conflicts: extreme fear can support a contrarian rebound. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Sky Protocol reportedly topped $100M in revenue again while sUSDS supply jumped 149%, but the broader tape includes Strategy booking an $8.2B Q2 Bitcoin loss and Coinbase falling 5% after missing estimates. The headline flow is constructive for protocol traction but sits inside a risk-off crypto backdrop.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The sUSDS supply growth of 149% and reported revenue above $100M are the strongest fundamental positives in the pack. They support adoption, but the data pack provides no valuation, token-capture, dilution, or cash-flow details to outweigh the bearish market structure.
bf548a749b5a7e72f3dce39e4748a3119c9dc742d85ef27d613fcd96c8fada9daaad93392449382ba620b10dc23d021a0aee68e412ac495be7026415dc708c27Committed 2026-08-01T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25