SKY / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SKY’s 0.05708 price sits 15.4% below its SMA200 as bearish momentum expands
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-29 00:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-09-01 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-31 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -0.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +4.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-12 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -5.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.06000 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04852 voids this research. Confidence High — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you’re treating a 30d +8.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, you’re treating a 30d +8. Key support to defend sits near $0.04852. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number, Mara: SKY sits 15.4% under its SMA200 and the MACD histogram is -0.0006237 and expanding. But Fear&Greed at 29 and just 32.1% long accounts mean the crowd is already hiding under the desk, while the 30d return is still +8.1%; that’s compressed sentiment, not a fresh cliff. With revenue above $100M and sUSDS supply up 149%, the fundamental engine is still running.
Leo, you’re treating a 30d +8.1% snapshot like armor against a broken trend. The decisive number is not the old monthly gain; it’s the 7d -10.2% slide with price below SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, while SMA50 trails SMA200 by 14.9%. Fear at 29 isn’t a reversal signal when MACD deterioration is expanding—it’s the audience watching the trapdoor open.
· short squeeze from 0.47 L/S positioning
· dovish Fed-driven crypto rebound
· Sky revenue and sUSDS growth outperforming sentiment
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.06000 with RSI(14) above 50 would overturn the bearish ruling.
Mara, the 60d low at 0.04852 is 17.4% below spot, so SKY has meaningful room before it revisits the washout zone. A taker buy/sell ratio of 1.05 also says sellers haven’t seized total control.
Leo, 0.04852 is not support until buyers defend it; right now the nearest proven ceiling is the 60d high at 0.0705, 19.2% away. Your 1.05 flow ratio is a rounding error beside a -10.2% weekly move and expanding negative MACD.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, the 60d low at 0.04852 is 17.4% below spot, so SKY has meaningful room before it revisits the washout zone. A taker buy/sell ratio of 1.05 also says sellers haven’t seized total control.
Leo, 0.04852 is not support until buyers defend it; right now the nearest proven ceiling is the 60d high at 0.0705, 19.2% away. Your 1.05 flow ratio is a rounding error beside a -10.2% weekly move and expanding negative MACD.
Leo, I’m not calling the tape constructive: 32.1% long accounts and a 0.47 L/S ratio show positioning is defensive. But Mara, that same short-heavy posture can fuel a squeeze if price reclaims SMA20; the data pack gives no funding rate to confirm whether shorts are paying to stay crowded.
Theo, without funding or a macro liquidity impulse, the squeeze thesis is a weather forecast made from one cloud. Bitcoin is testing its 50-day EMA, and SKY’s beta is already showing up in the -19.2% gap to its 60d high.
I side with Mara: the single decisive exhibit is SKY’s expanding negative MACD histogram at -0.0006237 alongside a 7d loss of 10.2%. I’m ruling bearish over weeks, with 0.04852 as key support and 0.0705 as key resistance. A daily close above 0.06000 with RSI(14) above 50 would invalidate my ruling.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 45.1, while SKY trades 5.1% below SMA20 and 15.4% below SMA200. Direction: bearish; evidence families: moving-average structure, momentum, multi-timeframe performance; conflicts: 30d gain of 8.1% versus a 7d loss of 10.2%; sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 29, and only 32.1% of long/short accounts are long, with an L/S ratio of 0.47. Direction: bearish-to-contrarian; evidence families: fear gauge, account positioning, taker flow; conflicts: taker buy/sell is marginally positive at 1.05; sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Sky Protocol has topped $100M in revenue again while sUSDS supply jumped 149%, which is the cleanest fundamental headline in the pack. But the market-news tape still places Sky among the losses as Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support; that is a weak backdrop for a token already below its major averages.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Revenue above $100M and a 149% rise in sUSDS supply point to real protocol traction, not empty marketing vapor. Still, the data pack gives no valuation, token-supply, or cash-flow detail, so those positives cannot overpower the chart’s bearish structure.
7fb60a64cdf1546ece9209650659004441cb20097aba7e50d98bba55cc9822dae65b9d2c8c3aaa5bbfb44b1c0d548dd39e9b3ad714e19978cc23a37eb1110a92Committed 2026-07-30T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25