ASTER / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
Aster surges 21.6% in 30 days as a 97% supply shock overrides the bearish MA structure.
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-09-05 03:51 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bullish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bullish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-29 — Underweight — +3.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Underweight — +3.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Underweight — +0.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Underweight — +6.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -3.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-20 — Underweight — +0.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -11.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-13 — Underweight — -3.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — +2.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — +3.1% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — +2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — +0.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -1.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — +1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — -2.0% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Neutral — -1.7% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Underweight — +2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: Price closes below 0.7292.. Cautious read: a break below $0.7292 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, you're ignoring that the RSI is already at 63.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bullish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: I know the SMA50 is still trading 3. Resistance to clear sits near $0.78. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I know the SMA50 is still trading 3.1% below the SMA200, which looks like a death cross setup, but that structure is ancient history given the 30d surge of 21.6%. The market has already priced in the old bearish trend and is reacting violently to the new supply dynamics.
Leo, you're ignoring that the RSI is already at 63.3 with the MACD histogram contracting to +0.00303; this 21.6% run is exhausting itself against the 0.78 resistance, not launching a new era.
· Bearish SMA structure (-3.1%)
· Contracting MACD momentum
· Extreme greed (73) reading
Invalidation: Price closes below 0.7292.
Exhausting? Mara, the taker buy/sell ratio is 0.92, meaning sellers are actually hitting the bids harder than buyers right now—this isn't a blow-off top, it's a healthy consolidation.
Healthy? With 66.5% of accounts long and a Fear&Greed score of 73, the crowding is extreme; any dip below 0.7292 will flush them out.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(3)
Exhausting? Mara, the taker buy/sell ratio is 0.92, meaning sellers are actually hitting the bids harder than buyers right now—this isn't a blow-off top, it's a healthy consolidation.
Healthy? With 66.5% of accounts long and a Fear&Greed score of 73, the crowding is extreme; any dip below 0.7292 will flush them out.
They aren't just 'longs', they are holders—256,000 of them, five times the nearest rival, which provides a bid that didn't exist in the past.
I'm siding with the bulls. The decisive exhibit is the 97% reduction in token unlocks, which fundamentally alters the supply/demand equation that previous underweight calls relied on. If the price breaks below the recent swing low of 0.7292, this thesis is invalidated.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Price action is bullish despite the SMA50 vs SMA200 spread of -3.1%; the 7d gain of 4.4% shows momentum is accelerating off the 0.7292 low.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Crowd psychology is firmly in Greed territory with a Fear&Greed score of 73, and long accounts dominating at 66.5%.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Headlines focus on massive supply reduction and user growth, specifically the 97% cut in monthly token unlocks and the 256,000 holder milestone.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The switch to staking drastically reduces inflationary pressure, while the holder count suggests strong network adoption relative to competitors.
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f4291702cdc228d1ff64584dc80a33a6bacd9ae5675429f7e18f30ae2f6e38c44910750d35ef228ada15e5324d077ec5e03b15a767441cb6079eaf80baffe165Committed 2026-09-06T00:20:00+00:00 · 76 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25