SKY / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
SKY sits at $0.05827 with bearish momentum and a 13.5% discount to its 200-day average
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-27 00:48 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Longs pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-31 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-30 — Neutral — — — VOID
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-28 — Neutral — -0.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-27 — Neutral — -2.8% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-26 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Overweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-24 — Overweight — +1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-23 — Neutral — +4.1% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-20 — Overweight — -0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-16 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-12 — Underweight — +4.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-11 — Underweight — +5.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-08 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-08-06 — Underweight — -3.8% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-05 — Underweight — -4.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-04 — Underweight — -6.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-03 — Underweight — -6.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-02 — Underweight — -6.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-08-01 — Underweight — -7.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-31 — Underweight — -5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-30 — Underweight — -3.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
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2026-07-29 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-28 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-27 — Underweight — -1.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-26 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
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2026-07-24 — Underweight — +3.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
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2026-07-23 — Neutral — -5.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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2026-07-22 — Neutral — -8.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
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graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.0705 would invalidate the bearish ruling.. Cautious read: a break below $0.04852 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, that +18.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, that +18. Key support to defend sits near $0.04852. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede Mara’s strongest number: SKY is 13.5% below SMA200, and the -0.0004017 MACD histogram is expanding. But the market has already dragged it from $0.0705 toward $0.05827, while the 30-day gain is still +18.4%; that’s damage priced into the tape, not proof the protocol’s revenue engine is broken. With Fear & Greed at 30 and only 30.8% of accounts long, the fuel for a snapback is sitting in plain sight.
Leo, that +18.4% is backward-looking camouflage, not a reversal. SKY is still 3.0% below SMA20, 13.5% below SMA200, and its SMA50 sits 14.9% beneath SMA200 in a bearish structure; an expanding negative MACD histogram says sellers are accelerating, not exhausted. Your “priced in” claim has no exhibit above $0.05827—only hope beneath $0.0705.
· Positive protocol revenue and sUSDS growth
· Fear-driven contrarian rebound
· Breakdown toward $0.04852
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of $0.0705 would invalidate the bearish ruling.
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 like a gravestone. SKY is only 1.6% above SMA50, and a recovery through $0.0705 would erase the whole bearish script.
Leo, $0.0705 is 17.4% away, not a nearby confirmation level. Until SKY reclaims that resistance, the live evidence is the -5.5% seven-day move and the expanding negative MACD.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
Mara, you’re treating the SMA200 like a gravestone. SKY is only 1.6% above SMA50, and a recovery through $0.0705 would erase the whole bearish script.
Leo, $0.0705 is 17.4% away, not a nearby confirmation level. Until SKY reclaims that resistance, the live evidence is the -5.5% seven-day move and the expanding negative MACD.
Leo, I’ll give you the contrarian angle: Fear & Greed at 30 and a 0.44 long/short ratio mean positioning isn’t euphoric. But taker buy/sell at 0.93 still shows demand failing to overpower sellers; the flow tape doesn’t validate your squeeze thesis.
Mara’s chart case fits the macro tape. Bitcoin is testing 50-day EMA support, and SKY is already among the leading losers; in a fragile liquidity regime, protocol revenue headlines rarely stop beta from leaking.
I rule for the bears, with the decisive exhibit being the expanding -0.0004017 MACD histogram alongside SKY’s 13.5% gap below SMA200. I would overturn this ruling on a decisive reclaim of $0.0705, the 60-day high.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
Direction: bearish. Evidence families: moving-average structure, MACD, RSI, multi-period returns, support/resistance. Conflicts: 30-day performance is positive at +18.4%, and price remains 1.6% above SMA50. Sufficiency: adequate. Kai Nakamura: “SKY is below SMA20 by 3.0% and SMA200 by 13.5%; SMA50 trails SMA200 by 14.9%. MACD histogram is -0.0004017 and expanding, while RSI at 47.2 offers no reversal signal.”
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Direction: bearish, with contrarian support. Evidence families: Fear & Greed, long-account share, long/short ratio, taker flow. Conflicts: Fear & Greed at 30 may indicate an oversold crowd, while only 30.8% of accounts are long. Sufficiency: adequate. Sofia Reyes: “The crowd is fearful, but SKY’s positioning is already defensive: just 30.8% of accounts are long, with a 0.44 long/short ratio. Taker buy/sell at 0.93 still favors sellers, so capitulation has not yet become a bullish reversal.”
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
Ed Walsh: “The constructive headlines are real: Sky Protocol reportedly topped $100M in revenue again, while sUSDS supply jumped 149% and annualized revenue neared $419M. But the broader tape is still defensive, with SKY named among the market’s leading losers as Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support.”
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
Priya Anand: “Revenue near $419M annualized and a 149% increase in sUSDS supply point to meaningful protocol usage and DeFi income. Those fundamentals support the long-term thesis, but the data pack provides no valuation, token-capture, dilution, or balance-sheet metrics to offset the deteriorating chart.”
3476018e161341987aeab67b278429142dd34da779feb4c12305e51cfb97b966ace92be1bfed0b9c7e7a863093b8afefb792907be0285e95e6b33ca637a34faeCommitted 2026-07-28T00:20:00+00:00 · 100 rulings that day · Check the chain
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2026-09-05 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25