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MANA / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-22 09:28 UTC
$0.07
-0.40% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-22 09:28 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-22 — latest verdict → MANA
The Verdict
Sell

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

MANA sits at $0.06996 with RSI 49.9 while its 50/200-day moving-average spread stays deeply bearish

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-22 09:28 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Bearish C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Longs pay A
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
7W–0L–26P · 1 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 64.6–100.0% · n=7 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
2026-08-30 — Underweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · MANA price $0.074 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · MANA price $0.07411 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · MANA price $0.0756 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · MANA price $0.07411 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Underweight — -1.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · MANA price $0.07437 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · MANA price $0.07411 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-1.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-26 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-25 — Underweight — -3.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · MANA price $0.07524 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · MANA price $0.0724 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-3.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-24 — Underweight — -2.9% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · MANA price $0.0743 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · MANA price $0.072 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-2.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Underweight — -3.1% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · MANA price $0.07459 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · MANA price $0.0733 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
-3.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-22 — Neutral — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-21 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · MANA price $0.0707 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · MANA price $0.0756 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -4.3% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · MANA price $0.06378 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · MANA price $0.07459 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-4.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Underweight — -4.6% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · MANA price $0.06416 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · MANA price $0.0707 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-13 — Underweight — -4.5% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · MANA price $0.0642 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-21 · MANA price $0.0707 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-4.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-12 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-09 — Underweight — -1.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-09 · MANA price $0.06672 · BTC $64963.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-16 · MANA price $0.06378 · BTC $63070.5
vs BTC
-1.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-08 — Underweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · MANA price $0.06634 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · MANA price $0.06465 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
+0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-07 — Underweight — -2.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-07 · MANA price $0.06687 · BTC $64381
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-14 · MANA price $0.06416 · BTC $63504.5
vs BTC
-2.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Underweight — -2.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · MANA price $0.06687 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · MANA price $0.0642 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · MANA price $0.0667 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · MANA price $0.06663 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
+0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-04 — Underweight — -1.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · MANA price $0.06705 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · MANA price $0.06653 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-1.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Underweight — -3.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · MANA price $0.06721 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · MANA price $0.0667 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-3.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-02 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · MANA price $0.0662 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-09 · MANA price $0.06672 · BTC $64963.4
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-01 — Underweight — -2.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · MANA price $0.06591 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · MANA price $0.06634 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-2.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-31 — Underweight — -2.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · MANA price $0.06766 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-07 · MANA price $0.06687 · BTC $64381
vs BTC
-2.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-30 — Underweight — -1.8% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · MANA price $0.0675 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · MANA price $0.06687 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
-1.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — -0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · MANA price $0.0672 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · MANA price $0.0667 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
-0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +0.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · MANA price $0.06667 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · MANA price $0.06705 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+0.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — +0.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · MANA price $0.0687 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · MANA price $0.06721 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+0.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-26 — Underweight — -0.5% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · MANA price $0.0681 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · MANA price $0.0662 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-0.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-24 — Underweight — +1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · MANA price $0.0667 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · MANA price $0.06766 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
+1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-23 — Underweight — -0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · MANA price $0.07004 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · MANA price $0.0675 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-22 — Underweight — -1.1% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · MANA price $0.06996 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · MANA price $0.0672 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-1.1% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Underweight — -2.6% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · MANA price $0.07006 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · MANA price $0.06667 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · MANA price $0.06866 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · MANA price $0.0687 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Underweight — -1.7% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · MANA price $0.06957 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · MANA price $0.0681 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
-1.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-17 — Underweight — -9.0% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-17 · MANA price $0.07197 · BTC $63739.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-24 · MANA price $0.0667 · BTC $64928
vs BTC
-9.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-16 — Underweight — -2.2% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-16 · MANA price $0.07009 · BTC $64777.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-23 · MANA price $0.07004 · BTC $66209
vs BTC
-2.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-15 — Neutral — -1.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-15 · MANA price $0.06944 · BTC $65000.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-22 · MANA price $0.06976 · BTC $66588
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$0.06996 -0.4% 24h
60d high0.0884 -20.9%
60d low0.0608 +15.1%
RSI(14)49.9
vs 200d SMA -25.4%
30d change -3.1%
Funding (net) +1.00 bp/8h
Fear & Greed33 · Fear
Long accounts53.8% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: A sustained close above $0.0884 would overturn the bearish swing ruling.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceHigh
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$0.0608
Key resistance$0.0884
InvalidationA sustained close above $0.0884 would overturn the bearish swing ruling.
Main risksEpic Games and Google Play adoption acceleratesFear-driven rebound from $0.0608Broad crypto liquidity improves
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

Bearish. Kai Nakamura: MANA trades 25.4% below its SMA200, while SMA50 sits 26.7% below SMA200. RSI 49.9 and a contracting positive MACD histogram suggest no forceful reversal; the chart remains structurally damaged.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

Bearish. Sofia Reyes: Fear & Greed is 33, long accounts still lead at 53.8%, and taker buy/sell is only 0.95. That is fearful crowd psychology with buyers failing to prove conviction.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

Bearish. Ed Walsh: The headlines lean on speculative $1 and $100 prediction pieces, while the Epic Games and Google Play launch is the only clearly constructive item. Broader tape pressure—Bitcoin below $66,000 and a stablecoin exploit—does little to support a fragile metaverse token.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

Neutral to mildly bullish. Priya Anand: Wider distribution through Epic Games and Google Play is a credible adoption channel for Decentraland. The data pack provides no revenue, usage, token-supply, or valuation figures to establish that this catalyst can overpower MANA’s bearish market structure.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
76b4680e9a7b381ebd5b8b6bc34d1c9d431d2643eb3def10330c2e5b80cee92a
UTC date
2026-07-22
Chain head
d60befb007b8b2c9bb2f3e860a595495bb4427a42c1d8f8851947ca5b9c4caf9

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 98 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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