INJ / The Verdict
Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.
INJ sits at $4.098 with RSI 34.3, but the $3.948 floor is only 3.7% below
⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-08-19 01:19 UTC
Technicalsignal strength
Bearish
C
Sentimentsignal strength
Bearish
C
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction
Shorts pay
A
KOL Consensussettled-record quality
—
Archive building
Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-23 — Overweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-08 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-06 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-05 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-03 — Overweight — -16.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-02 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-31 — Overweight — -11.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +4.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-29 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-28 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-26 — Neutral — -1.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-25 — Neutral — -5.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-24 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -7.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-22 — Overweight — -9.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-21 — Overweight — -9.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-20 — Overweight — -4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-19 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
2026-07-17 — Underweight — +6.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.
graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →
coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read
snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions · price = median of 5 exchanges
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of SMA50 would overturn the bearish ruling; the exact SMA50 price is not supplied, so $4.119 is the nearest stated resistance trigger.. Cautious read: a break below $3.95 voids this research. Confidence Medium — when unsure, stand aside. Bears' core: Leo, your “losing torque” is doing heroic work for a chart sitting only 3.
Balanced read: the ruling below stands as the base case. Direction Bearish, horizon Weeks (swing).
Bold case: Leo, your “losing torque” is doing heroic work for a chart sitting only 3. Key support to defend sits near $3.95. Horizon: Weeks (swing).
Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.
I’ll concede the ugly number: INJ is down 23.4% over 30 days and trades 14.0% beneath SMA50. But RSI at 34.3 and a contracting -0.04468 MACD histogram say the selling engine is losing torque, while SMA50 still stands 15.5% above SMA200. The recent overweight calls on August 4 and August 3 lost 12.0% and 16.5% versus BTC, respectively; that history is a warning, but today’s washed-out momentum is a different exhibit from chasing strength.
Leo, your “losing torque” is doing heroic work for a chart sitting only 3.7% above the 60-day low at $3.948. A contracting negative MACD histogram is not a reversal, and price remains below SMA20, SMA50, and barely below SMA200 by 0.7%. The August 4 and August 3 overweight losses—12.0% and 16.5% versus BTC—show how quickly this tape punishes optimistic structure.
I think the downside still has more room than the ruling admits: a break of $3.948 would expose a fresh price-discovery leg after a 23.4% 30-day fall. The 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio and price at -14.0% versus SMA50 leave little evidence of imminent demand.
The fastest failure is a snapback from RSI 34.3, especially because SMA50 remains 15.5% above SMA200 and the MACD histogram is contracting. That momentum exhaustion exhibit is the fragile one; funding is absent, so crowding cannot validate either direction.
I overreached on the bearish side if I treat $3.948 as already broken; Mara overreached if she treats a negative MACD histogram as proof of acceleration. The deciding condition is whether INJ holds $3.948 or reclaims the missing SMA50 level.
· RSI 34.3 mean-reversion bounce
· contracting negative MACD histogram
· bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure
Invalidation: A decisive reclaim of SMA50 would overturn the bearish ruling; the exact SMA50 price is not supplied, so $4.119 is the nearest stated resistance trigger.
Mara, the 60-day low at $3.948 is support, not a guaranteed trapdoor. RSI 34.3 gives the market room to mean-revert before that level is tested.
Leo, support is meaningful only while it holds; $4.098 is a thin 3.7% cushion after a 23.4% monthly drawdown. Your mean reversion has no confirmation from the 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio.
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(5)
Mara, the 60-day low at $3.948 is support, not a guaranteed trapdoor. RSI 34.3 gives the market room to mean-revert before that level is tested.
Leo, support is meaningful only while it holds; $4.098 is a thin 3.7% cushion after a 23.4% monthly drawdown. Your mean reversion has no confirmation from the 0.94 taker buy/sell ratio.
I’m with Mara on confirmation: long accounts are 42.3%, L/S is 0.73, and taker flow is seller-leaning. That lowers crowded-long stress, but it also says demand has not arrived; funding is unavailable, so no funding-based squeeze case is supportable.
The macro tape is no rescue raft here. Tokenized-stock and stablecoin-accounting headlines may help the sector, but the pack gives no INJ-specific transmission mechanism, while the August 2 neutral call still underperformed BTC by 14.0%.
Fair, Dmitri, but that same absence of euphoria matters: Fear&Greed is 46, not greed, and the bullish SMA50/SMA200 structure has not broken. A bounce can begin before the headlines catch up.
I rule for the bears: INJ is bearish over a weeks-long swing horizon, and the decisive exhibit is price sitting at $4.098—only 3.7% above the $3.948 60-day low while below SMA20 and SMA50. This differs from the August 3 and August 4 losing overweight calls because the current call is aligned with the prevailing downtrend and demands no rebound thesis. I overturn this ruling on a decisive reclaim of SMA50, whose exact price is not provided, or on a break below $3.948 followed by immediate recovery above that level.
Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)
RSI(14) is 34.3 and MACD histogram remains negative at -0.04468, though contraction hints at fading downside momentum. Price is 9.4% below SMA20 and 14.0% below SMA50; the bullish SMA50/SMA200 spread of +15.5% is the lone structural counterweight. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: RSI/MACD momentum; moving-average structure; multi-timeframe returns; 60-day support/resistance. Conflicts: bullish SMA structure and contracting MACD versus weak price location and -23.4% over 30 days. Sufficiency: adequate.
Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)
Fear&Greed is 46, long accounts are just 42.3% with an L/S ratio of 0.73, and taker buy/sell is 0.94. That is defensive rather than euphoric, but it has not produced decisive demand; StockTwits has 0 bullish and 0 bearish messages from 0 posts. Direction: bearish. Evidence families: fear gauge; account-side balance; taker flow; social activity. Conflicts: subdued long exposure may reduce crowded-long risk, while taker flow still favors sellers. Sufficiency: adequate.
Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)
The INJ-specific headlines are dominated by rebound speculation, a drop amid broad crypto selling, and price-prediction framing. The broader headlines on tokenized stocks and stablecoin accounting are constructive for crypto infrastructure in general, but they offer no direct near-term catalyst for INJ. Direction: bearish-to-neutral.
Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)
The data pack provides no fresh Injective revenue, usage, token-supply, or valuation metrics. I therefore cannot establish a fundamental rerating case from these exhibits; the current verdict rests on price structure and market behavior. Direction: limited/neutral.
e3d45922b2be7d3b9eb08f08d2c68940568e8128e774efe2e04066ec5cd84fc30f1b74c5d5aa8bd9fe0e079b811d2482b9bd27566afea1ff19e554ca5230c439Committed 2026-08-20T00:20:00+00:00 · 73 rulings that day · Check the chain
SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.
2026-08-31 · 2026-08-30 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-23 · 2026-08-22