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INJ / The Verdict

generated 2026-07-17 00:26 UTC
$4.86
-4.89% · 24h
price as of 2026-07-17 00:26 UTC
Price source
📜 Archived verdict of 2026-07-17 — latest verdict → INJ
The Verdict
Underweight

Display tier = stance × judge confidence. Settlement is always three-way.

INJ at $4.863 is under pressure after a 4.889% daily drop

⚖ Verdict rendered 2026-07-17 00:26 UTC

Technicalsignal strength Mixed C
Measures how strong the directional signal from price structure is. An analyst lists independent evidence families (trend, momentum, structure) from the data pack; code converts the count to a letter — 3+ families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicting evidence caps the grade at C; insufficient information gets no grade at all. The letter is signal strength — direction is shown separately. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Sentimentsignal strength Bearish C
Same scale as Technical, applied to crowd evidence — fear/greed, positioning, and flow. 3+ independent evidence families with no conflict = A+, 2 = B, 1 = D; conflicts cap at C; not enough information, no grade. The letter says how loud the crowd signal is, not which way price will go. (evidence_rule_v1) full scales →
Fundingrate pressure — grade is risk, not direction Shorts pay A+
Measures perpetual funding-rate pressure — risk, not direction. The smaller the 8-hour normalized rate, the calmer the market: under 0.5 bp = A+, then A, B, C, D as pressure grows, F beyond 10 bp (extreme crowding). Who pays (longs or shorts) is shown separately. Read A+ as “calm”, never as “bullish”. (funding_rule_v1) full scales →
KOL Consensussettled-record quality Archive building
Measures the quality and strength of on-record KOL consensus. Only authors with 20+ settled calls count. The majority share sets the base letter (85%+ = A+ down to 55%+ = D), but few qualified authors cap it — under 5 authors we show the direction and withhold the grade while the record builds. (kol_rule_v1) full scales →

Each grade is scored on its own scale — they are not averaged, by design.

Track record
4W–16L–3P · 11 neutral · since 2026-07-15
95% CI 8.1–41.6% · n=20 · early sample
2026-09-05 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-12
2026-09-01 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-08
2026-08-31 — Neutral · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-07
stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-30 — Overweight · Settling — verdict due 2026-09-06
2026-08-29 — Overweight — -9.2% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-29 · INJ price $5.146 · BTC $77872.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-05 · INJ price $4.781 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-9.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-28 — Overweight — -12.4% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-28 · INJ price $5.492 · BTC $80168.1
Settled (T+8d)
2026-09-05 · INJ price $4.781 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-12.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-27 — Overweight — -14.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-27 · INJ price $5.563 · BTC $78922
Settled (T+9d)
2026-09-05 · INJ price $4.781 · BTC $79665.6
vs BTC
-14.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-25 — Neutral — -14.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-25 · INJ price $5.811 · BTC $78968.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-09-01 · INJ price $4.93 · BTC $78717.1
vs BTC
-14.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-24 — Overweight — -6.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-24 · INJ price $5.354 · BTC $77645.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-31 · INJ price $4.982 · BTC $77473.2
vs BTC
-6.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-23 — Overweight — +2.3% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-23 · INJ price $4.942 · BTC $77094.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-30 · INJ price $5.126 · BTC $78171.7
vs BTC
+2.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-22 — Overweight — — — VOID
2026-08-21 — Overweight — +5.7% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-21 · INJ price $4.75 · BTC $73322.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-28 · INJ price $5.492 · BTC $80168.1
vs BTC
+5.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-20 — Neutral — +5.9% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-20 · INJ price $4.634 · BTC $69631.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-27 · INJ price $5.563 · BTC $78922
vs BTC
+5.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-19 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-16 — Underweight — -4.2% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-16 · INJ price $4.219 · BTC $63070.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-23 · INJ price $4.942 · BTC $77094.1
vs BTC
-4.2% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-15 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-14 — Neutral — -10.3% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-14 · INJ price $4.585 · BTC $63504.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-21 · INJ price $4.75 · BTC $73322.8
vs BTC
-10.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-13 — Underweight — -9.4% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-13 · INJ price $4.669 · BTC $63588.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-20 · INJ price $4.634 · BTC $69631.8
vs BTC
-9.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-08-12 — Overweight — — — VOID
stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-08-11 — Underweight — — — VOID
2026-08-10 — Underweight — — — VOID
stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-08-08 — Neutral — -3.6% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-08 · INJ price $4.567 · BTC $64896.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-15 · INJ price $4.276 · BTC $63021.6
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-06 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-06 · INJ price $4.87 · BTC $64604.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-13 · INJ price $4.669 · BTC $63588.5
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-05 — Neutral — -2.6% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-05 · INJ price $4.845 · BTC $64023.8
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-12 · INJ price $4.686 · BTC $63546
vs BTC
-2.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-08-04 — Overweight — -12.0% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-04 · INJ price $4.943 · BTC $63558.1
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-11 · INJ price $4.375 · BTC $63941.5
vs BTC
-12.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-08-03 — Overweight — -16.5% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-03 · INJ price $5.063 · BTC $63435.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-10 · INJ price $4.335 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-16.5% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-08-02 — Neutral — -14.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-02 · INJ price $4.873 · BTC $62914.5
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-10 · INJ price $4.335 · BTC $65054
vs BTC
-14.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Neutral
2026-08-01 — Underweight — -8.9% — WIN Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-08-01 · INJ price $4.863 · BTC $62954.5
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-08 · INJ price $4.567 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-8.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Underweight
2026-07-31 — Overweight — -11.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-31 · INJ price $5.089 · BTC $63805
Settled (T+8d)
2026-08-08 · INJ price $4.567 · BTC $64896.5
vs BTC
-11.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Underweight → Overweight
2026-07-30 — Underweight — +4.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-30 · INJ price $4.606 · BTC $64044.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-06 · INJ price $4.87 · BTC $64604.5
vs BTC
+4.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-29 — Underweight — +4.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-29 · INJ price $4.636 · BTC $64051
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-05 · INJ price $4.845 · BTC $64023.8
vs BTC
+4.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-28 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-28 · INJ price $4.717 · BTC $63644.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-04 · INJ price $4.943 · BTC $63558.1
vs BTC
+4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-27 — Underweight — +4.9% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-27 · INJ price $4.963 · BTC $65216
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-03 · INJ price $5.063 · BTC $63435.7
vs BTC
+4.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Underweight
2026-07-26 — Neutral — -1.9% — flat ✓ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-26 · INJ price $5.084 · BTC $64416
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-02 · INJ price $4.873 · BTC $62914.5
vs BTC
-1.9% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-25 — Neutral — -5.0% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-25 · INJ price $5.214 · BTC $64141.3
Settled (T+7d)
2026-08-01 · INJ price $4.863 · BTC $62954.5
vs BTC
-5.0% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-24 — Overweight — -3.6% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-24 · INJ price $5.291 · BTC $64928
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-31 · INJ price $5.089 · BTC $64779.5
vs BTC
-3.6% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Neutral → Overweight
2026-07-23 — Neutral — -7.8% — flat ✗ Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-23 · INJ price $5.166 · BTC $66209
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-30 · INJ price $4.606 · BTC $64044.7
vs BTC
-7.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

stance change · Overweight → Neutral
2026-07-22 — Overweight — -9.3% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-22 · INJ price $5.263 · BTC $65937.6
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-29 · INJ price $4.636 · BTC $64051
vs BTC
-9.3% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-21 — Overweight — -9.8% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-21 · INJ price $5.352 · BTC $65161.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-28 · INJ price $4.717 · BTC $63644.6
vs BTC
-9.8% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-20 — Overweight — -4.7% — LOSS Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-20 · INJ price $5.093 · BTC $63745.4
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-27 · INJ price $4.963 · BTC $65216
vs BTC
-4.7% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

2026-07-19 — Overweight — +0.4% — PUSH Verify this settlement
Entry (T0)
2026-07-19 · INJ price $5.086 · BTC $64708.7
Settled (T+7d)
2026-07-26 · INJ price $5.084 · BTC $64416
vs BTC
+0.4% · Rule settle_v1

Prices from the archived reports themselves — open either end to check.

graded settle_v1, 7d vs BTC — misses stay on the record · full receipts →

The evidence
Bull evidence
Bear evidence ✓ aligns with this verdict
Market state

coin_evidence_v1 · how these are read

Price
Price at verdict$4.86 -4.9% 24h
60d high7.34 -33.8%
60d low4.02 +20.9%
RSI(14)49.4
vs 200d SMA +17.5%
30d change -10.7%
Funding (net) -0.42 bp/8h
Fear & Greed27 · Fear
Long accounts58.9% long

snapshot at verdict time, computed from exchange data — facts, not opinions

Read this ruling three ways

Three risk framings of the same research — every number from today's archived data.

The Deliberation
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
VS
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
!
THE RISKS — is the uncertainty laid out?

Invalidation: The bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of the SMA50, approximately 5.8% above the current $4.863 price, accompanied by RSI moving above 50.

⚔ Key clashes
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
▶ Live Debate · full exchange(4)
LV
Bull Research (Leo Vance)
MF
Bear Research (Mara Frost)
TO
Positioning Desk (Theo Okafor)
DV
Macro Desk (Dmitri Volkov)
JA
Risk Committee · Final Ruling
Chief Adjudicator (Aldrich)
DirectionBearish
ConfidenceMedium
HorizonWeeks (swing)
Key support$4.02
Key resistance$7.34
InvalidationThe bearish ruling is invalidated by a sustained reclaim of the SMA50, approximately 5.8% above the current $4.863 price, accompanied by RSI moving above 50.
Main risksBullish SMA50/SMA200 structureFear-driven rebound from RSI 49.4Broad institutional crypto adoption
KOL Settlement Seat
Calls on record: 0 up · 0 down

Opinions are AI; settlements are facts. · data powered by VeraMind

Analyst notes
Technical Analyst (Kai Nakamura)

I’m Kai Nakamura. INJ sits 1.4% above SMA20 but 5.8% below SMA50, while RSI is 49.4 and MACD histogram is contracting at +0.03316. The long-term structure is still constructive—SMA50 is 24.8% above SMA200—but the weeks-long trend points lower toward $4.02 support.

Sentiment Analyst (Sofia Reyes)

I’m Sofia Reyes. Fear & Greed is 27, long accounts hold 58.9% with a 1.43 long/short ratio, and taker buy/sell is only 0.82. That’s fearful tape with residual long exposure—an uncomfortable setup for crowded dip-buyers.

Macro & News Analyst (Ed Walsh)

I’m Ed Walsh. The headlines show institutional crypto infrastructure expanding: T. Rowe Price launched a multi-token ETF, Citadel invested $400 million in Crypto.com, and Visa backed Open USD. None of these headlines directly establishes new demand for INJ.

Fundamental Analyst (Priya Anand)

I’m Priya Anand. The data pack provides no INJ-specific token-economics, revenue, or valuation figures. The broader institutional and stablecoin developments are sector-positive, but they do not justify assigning a direct fundamental premium to INJ.

Provenance
Report fingerprint
c251900c3074dd567e704046af3fd37676a4316a3e95f14680c5b1a5f7a38b19
UTC date
2026-07-17
Chain head
70e6e12fe78524df5289beb80d3f4382c89c73b1c7a527091a8c313a2bcf59ad

Committed 2026-07-24T10:21:07+00:00 · 67 rulings that day · Check the chain

SHA-256 of this report as stored. It is the exact value committed to that day's chain — recompute it yourself and compare.

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