@DrProfitCrypto 的已结算叫单档案
第 13 / 共 14 位已入榜 KOL 已达可评级样本
✓ 来源巡检:0 不可用检出 · 覆盖 6/6 · 最近巡检 2026-09-07
0%
命中率 · 0 中 · 5 错 · n=5
命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) —
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
95% 置信区间 [0.0% – 43.4%] · Wilson 95% 区间——真实胜率大致落在这个范围。
最近结算 2026-09-01(6 天前)
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
BTC, ETH
三句话看懂
@DrProfitCrypto 最近在说什么周期逆向交易员
- 极力推崇“银河三剑客”（ETH、COIN、CRCL）投资组合，称其为千载难逢的机会。 原话 ↗
- 将个人投资组合大幅调整为60% ETH和40% BTC，打破了以往以BTC为主的惯例。 原话 ↗
- 明确建议在5.4万至6.4万美元区间分批买入，视其为关键的 Accumulation 区域。 原话 ↗
- 经常嘲讽其他分析师不懂周期，或者讽刺他们假装早已预判了市场走势。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 27 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
如果你跟了
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
-$15跟他每一条
+$14什么都不做拿 BTC
-$29差额
实时 5 条 · 补算 33 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:5 / 38 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
命中率走势
分维度战绩
按币种
BTC: 0%
n=3 · 样本少
ETH: 0%
n=2 · 样本少
按喊单
—: 0%
n=5 · 样本少
按时间窗
30d: 0%
n=5 · 样本少
90d: 0%
n=5 · 样本少
全部: 0%
n=5 · 样本少
方向战绩
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | I clearly said I expected August to be BULLISH rather than bearish | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-09-01T00:00:06.525315+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH | ↑ 看涨 | My plan therefore remains ridiculously simple: I hold the assets I accumulated while others were afraid... this cycle I am making the larger bet on ETH. | 失误 -1.8% | -1.9% | 2026-08-31T00:00:07.494308+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | The bear market ended, Bitcoin entered what I call the Soft Bull Market... and $78,500 as the next major resistance. ... The bears had their market. Now the bulls are taking control. | 失误 -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-31T00:00:07.465955+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH | ↑ 看涨 | Fasten your seatbelts friends, and a minute of silence for all bears! | 失误 -2.4% | +11.3% | 2026-08-27T00:00:07.308659+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | This is exactly what I believe we are witnessing now: a bear-market bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase. | 失误 +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-19T00:00:32.218623+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
回测记录
命中率: 20%
7 中 · 28 错 · n=35
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Exactly. Another ATH is loading. | 失误 +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-18T21:30:06.543412+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My target, 90k hit, 100k next | 失误 +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T18:30:03.211057+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | the current status quo is a sideway move between the golden line (78k) and the resistance (85,5k) | 失误 +11.5% | +11.5% | 2026-08-18T18:00:12.037891+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Undervalued now | 失误 -13.3% | -13.8% | 2026-08-18T17:00:20.014925+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | 70-74k target is for the mid-term | 失误 -5.7% | -5.7% | 2026-08-18T17:00:16.888211+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | TP at: 84, 80k, 76k, 74k, 25% each | 失误 +3.6% | +3.6% | 2026-08-18T17:00:15.706628+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Placing new short orders in the region of 87-88k, if market allows to visit I will add more shorts on the existing position of 90k. | 失误 +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-18T17:00:12.455323+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We still in a bull market and this is just a heavy correction. | 失误 -5.0% | -5.0% | 2026-08-18T16:30:07.416458+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My buying region indicates that this is the bottom region, and I’m preparing for that. | 失误 -1.8% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T13:00:07.342647+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I closed all crypto shorts, secured the profits, started accumulating BTC and ETH through DCA | 失误 +1.1% | +1.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:02.963994+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I closed all crypto shorts, secured the profits, started accumulating BTC and ETH through DCA | 失误 -1.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:02.923674+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | And guess what happens on the next leg down? | 失误 -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-17T11:00:02.609823+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Saylor was selling you the idea that selling Bitcoin is impossible, today he discovered that the sell bottom is actually working. | 失误 -2.7% | -2.7% | 2026-08-17T10:30:09.807673+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Guess what I believe will lead to this event ? | 失误 +6.3% | +6.3% | 2026-08-17T10:00:12.146155+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I announced my bearish views and shorts | 命中 -3.7% | -3.7% | 2026-08-17T08:00:07.633402+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Shorting the hell out of $BTC NOW: | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-17T07:30:09.820115+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Short from 120k | 失误 -1.8% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T07:30:09.555770+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin is now in a bullish trap! 79-85k is the total region, and this is the area where the big crash starts | 命中 -4.5% | -4.5% | 2026-08-17T07:30:08.320297+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The big crash towards 50k and lower soon | 命中 -5.8% | -5.8% | 2026-08-17T07:30:05.707061+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I am aiming for 83-85k region as next target | 失误 +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-17T07:00:34.646987+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | → 看平 | BTC is moving in a sideway box since February | 命中 +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-17T07:00:33.351134+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Everyone who longed with me at 71k is in big profit | 失误 -3.1% | -3.1% | 2026-08-17T06:30:12.450275+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Let the trap begin, make them believe it’s over! | 失误 +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T06:30:05.633125+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BTC is going to 200k anyway | 命中 +4.3% | +4.3% | 2026-08-17T06:00:22.637691+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | At this point, I don’t consider an entry attractive in terms of risk-reward, as I remain extremely bearish, but there is still room for upside and it is not off the table. | 失误 +4.6% | +4.6% | 2026-08-17T06:00:20.978373+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The bottom for BTC was not in | 失误 +0.8% | +0.8% | 2026-08-17T06:00:20.690148+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My biggest bet for the next years remains Bitcoin! | 失误 -4.5% | -4.5% | 2026-08-17T06:00:19.820633+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin has not bottomed out, 40-48k is coming | 命中 -3.2% | -3.2% | 2026-08-17T06:00:16.157800+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | At 120k I called for the target of 60k | 失误 -2.4% | -2.4% | 2026-08-17T05:30:12.242009+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin’s bottom for this cycle between $50k–$60k. | 命中 -25.7% | -25.7% | 2026-08-17T05:00:43.569919+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | We are now targeting the 70–75k zone as the next major objective. | 失误 +5.4% | +5.4% | 2026-08-17T05:00:33.379340+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I have called the start of the bear market at 125k region and called for 80-90k as target. | 失误 +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-17T05:00:07.423524+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Prepare for much lower! My final targets are the region of 60k | 失误 +5.4% | +5.4% | 2026-08-17T04:30:13.803979+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The main moves remains to the upside as mentioned in the Sunday report. | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-17T04:00:17.980924+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I expect the downside move to continue strong and fear will increase. The downside move will continue as promised | 失误 +11.5% | +11.5% | 2026-08-17T03:00:19.977248+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
点位战绩
命中率: 14%
1 中 · 6 错 · n=7
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | >= $50000 | 命中 | 2026-09-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-09-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-31 | 研报 → |
| ETH | — | 失误 | 2026-08-31 | 研报 → |
| ETH | — | 失误 | 2026-08-27 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| BTC | <= $40000 | 失误 | 2026-07-14 | 研报 → |
回测记录
命中率: 21%
3 中 · 11 错 · n=14
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $120000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $122500 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $113000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | < $70000 | 命中 | 2026-08-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $97000 | 失误 | 2026-08-01 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | < $100000 | 失误 | 2026-07-31 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | <= $58500 | 失误 | 2026-07-28 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | <= $90000 | 命中 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $83000 | 失误 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | <= $84000 | 命中 | 2026-07-08 | 研报 → |
相关账号
@CryptoMichNL
35%
n=23 · 2 个共同币种
@CryptoTony__
31%
n=13 · 2 个共同币种
@blknoiz06
60%
n=10 · 2 个共同币种
@CredibleCrypto
11%
n=9 · 2 个共同币种
@TedPillows
62%
n=8 · 2 个共同币种
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 63%
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 63% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
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行内胶囊 · data-cv-style="pill"
浅色卡 · data-cv-style="card"
暗色卡 · data-cv-style="dark"
大数字 · data-cv-style="stat"
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数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。