@CryptoKaleo 的已结算叫单档案
第 14 / 共 14 位已入榜 KOL 已达可评级样本
✓ 来源巡检:0 不可用检出 · 覆盖 8/8 · 最近巡检 2026-08-31
17%
命中率 · 1 中 · 5 错 · n=6
命中平均幅度(绝对口径,对美元) ±9.9%
(可计算样本 1/1)
记分规则:kol_directional_v1 —— 看规则全文 →
95% 置信区间 [3.0% – 56.4%] · Wilson 95% 区间——真实胜率大致落在这个范围。
最近结算 2026-08-29(2 天前)
样本不足——区间较宽,数字还会变动。
BTC, ETH, SUI
三句话看懂
@CryptoKaleo 最近在说什么生态多头
- 坚信 Robinhood Chain 将复刻甚至超越 Solana 的周期，并将链上的猫类模因币对标为上一轮周期的狗狗币。 原话 ↗
- 建议在九月采取特定的交易策略：做空 MicroStrategy，同时做多 Robinhood Chain 生态。 原话 ↗
- 频繁呼吁保持看涨心态并尊重市场上涨，认为这比看空更有利于心态。 原话 ↗
- 指出新兴的预测市场正逐渐成为比特币价格走势的有效领先指标。 原话 ↗
AI 提炼 —— 这是我们对他最近 30 天 200 条公开发言的解读,不是他本人的话。每句都挂原文,欢迎对着核。
如果你跟了
跟他做,还是自己拿 BTC?
-$141跟他每一条
-$57什么都不做拿 BTC
-$84差额
实时 6 条 · 补算 179 条 —— 永不合并成一个数字。
这页金额由回测撑起 —— 把同一套规则套到历史言论上得出的假设业绩(hypothetical performance),不是实时跟单战绩。实时记录:6 / 185 条。
每条喊单当作独立投入 $100,7 天后平仓 —— 非滚仓,不含费用与滑点。 怎么算的 →
最佳喊单(绝对幅度对美元,可计算样本内)
BTC
+9.9%
结算于 2026-08-28T00:00:07.460575+00:00
最早可计算命中记录:2026-08-28T00:00:07.460575+00:00 · 可计算样本 1/1
命中率走势
分维度战绩
按币种
BTC: 25%
n=4 · 样本少
ETH: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
SUI: 0%
n=1 · 样本少
按喊单
—: 17%
n=6 · 样本少
按时间窗
30d: 17%
n=6 · 样本少
90d: 17%
n=6 · 样本少
全部: 17%
n=6 · 样本少
方向战绩
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ 看涨 | Higher | 失误 -2.3% | -2.9% | 2026-08-29T00:00:09.172473+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | Run it back to $100K+ with haste. Be more bullish. | 失误 -0.6% | -0.6% | 2026-08-29T00:00:04.083454+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI | ↑ 看涨 | Expecting a swift move back to $1.00+ | 失误 -3.3% | +6.3% | 2026-08-28T00:00:08.201160+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | There's absolutely no reason to not be incredibly bullish right here | 命中 +9.9% | +9.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:07.460575+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↓ 看跌 | So if you're trying to understand how it's possible for me to be posting charts that show Bitcoin going down next month... | 失误 +15.0% | +15.0% | 2026-08-21T00:00:07.648120+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC | ↑ 看涨 | Are you ready for the next leg higher? | 失误 +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-19T00:00:32.428945+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
回测记录
命中率: 23%
41 中 · 138 错 · n=179
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 原话 | 相对口径(计入榜单) † | 绝对口径(对美元) † | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I've paused being bearish to be bullish for the next month | 失误 +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-19T00:30:04.053241+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | One of the reasons I'm bullish on $SUI being one of the leaders for L1s in the next bull market outside of the tech is how actively plugged in the founders are. | 失误 -1.1% | +1.2% | 2026-08-19T00:30:04.031258+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Didn’t agree on most things outside of being bullish on Bitcoin long term | 失误 +3.0% | +3.0% | 2026-08-19T00:00:29.492684+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Crazy part is I’m still talking about how bullish I am on a bitcoin even if it takes another leg down here with any MSTR fallout | 失误 -6.6% | -6.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:29.470884+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | it outperforms while BTC is going lower | 命中 -5.9% | -5.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:29.449104+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It's an efficiency that should naturally attracts agentic activity down the road. | 失误 -7.5% | -11.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:26.838134+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I'm still bullish, but just think it'd be wise for people to have some cash set to the side for any potential wicks lower and play the long game with any positions | 失误 -3.5% | -3.5% | 2026-08-19T00:00:24.220038+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | The roadmap to Goblin Town. | 失误 +6.4% | +6.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:24.129337+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | And yes - it was a short. | 失误 -0.4% | -0.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:24.105221+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | What it feels like being bullish ETH | 失误 -5.4% | -21.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:24.058887+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 失误 -16.9% | -16.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:23.760608+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Still feel like the most likely move from here is continuation down to a retest of the low 70s before we see a real bounce. | 命中 -3.7% | -3.7% | 2026-08-19T00:00:23.663265+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BE MORE BULLISH | 失误 -5.2% | -5.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:23.376355+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | one of the main reasons I'm bullish on SUI (free USD payments) | 失误 -12.8% | -17.3% | 2026-08-19T00:00:23.354500+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | then resume the send to higher highs | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.819660+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still watching for this to play out - quick dip to low 70s to retest the recent breakout, then resume the send higher. | 失误 -1.2% | -1.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.795616+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher | 失误 +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.772515+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We're going higher. | 失误 -2.2% | -2.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.747759+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $SUI is on the verge of sending out of the base range it’s been stuck in the last several months. | 失误 -16.9% | -21.7% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.724882+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Time to accelerate the move higher. | 失误 +2.3% | -0.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:22.420821+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Send it to $2+ with haste. | 命中 +28.8% | +28.1% | 2026-08-19T00:00:21.478814+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | EIGHTY THOUSAND UNITED STATES DOLLARS FOR ONE BITCOIN | 失误 +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:20.371375+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We’re about to witness the greatest comeback story leading into the most insane bull run of our generation. | 命中 +4.6% | +4.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:20.350218+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We’re going so much higher | 失误 +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-19T00:00:20.328959+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish | 命中 +8.5% | +11.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:20.307323+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish | 命中 +4.8% | +4.8% | 2026-08-19T00:00:19.776164+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Now slowly erase the weekend dump. | 失误 -2.1% | -5.1% | 2026-08-19T00:00:19.678176+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BE MORE BULLISH | 失误 +0.0% | +0.0% | 2026-08-19T00:00:19.394193+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | But it does mean we get to start having fun again. | 失误 +0.5% | +0.5% | 2026-08-19T00:00:18.775041+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It won't lag forever. | 失误 +1.9% | +1.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:18.731750+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $SUI has already quietly breaking above a major resistance level - send it back to $2+ with haste. | 失误 -2.0% | +1.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:18.709913+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is where you stack. | 命中 +5.6% | +5.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:17.906222+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looking at the log chart for targets for the next leg up, a ~50% move makes sense from here for the next major resistance (aka run it back to the cliff of where the last major nuke happened). | 失误 +2.4% | +7.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:17.020584+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before we see a bounce. | 失误 +2.7% | +7.5% | 2026-08-19T00:00:16.991411+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The real squeeze hasn't happened yet. | 命中 +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-19T00:00:16.395075+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We're going so much higher. | 命中 +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-19T00:00:16.371906+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Humble him and run it back turbo. | 命中 +8.1% | +8.1% | 2026-08-19T00:00:16.067152+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before we see a bounce. | 失误 +2.0% | +10.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:16.040244+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still believe in $SUI as one of my top L1 eco picks for the next bull market. | 失误 -0.7% | +3.6% | 2026-08-19T00:00:14.360582+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Time to run it back turbo soon. | 失误 -4.3% | -6.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:13.471312+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still think it's only a matter of time before we see a real breakout and god candle to fill the gap back to $80K+ | 失误 -4.5% | -4.5% | 2026-08-19T00:00:09.872138+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | New leg higher this week. | 失误 -5.8% | -5.8% | 2026-08-19T00:00:09.780033+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish. | 失误 -2.1% | -2.0% | 2026-08-19T00:00:09.754747+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still believe $SUI under $1.00 is free. | 失误 -0.5% | +1.0% | 2026-08-19T00:00:09.278012+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Time to run it back and once again prove what's dead may never die. | 命中 +5.7% | +5.7% | 2026-08-19T00:00:08.654673+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It's only a matter of time before we see it rip too. | 命中 +9.4% | +9.4% | 2026-08-19T00:00:08.632234+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before we see ETH wake up and bounce off HTF support back toward the highs. | 命中 +7.9% | +18.1% | 2026-08-19T00:00:08.610591+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It’s finally time to send out of this abysmal range. | 失误 -0.2% | +0.3% | 2026-08-19T00:00:07.974330+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We’re going so much higher. | 命中 +6.9% | +6.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:07.165591+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Both were incredible entry opportunities for anyone willing to buy the fear and go against the grain. I believe several years down the road, we'll look back at where we are now in a similar light. | 失误 -6.1% | -6.1% | 2026-08-19T00:00:06.742092+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Gonna be obvious that this was the bottom in hindsight with how many headlines there have been gravedancing on Bitcoin. | 失误 -1.2% | -1.2% | 2026-08-19T00:00:06.671741+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | New all time highs are around the corner - and the next leg up, Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market send too. | 失误 -0.9% | -0.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:04.313426+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I believe it’s not a matter of IF Bitcoin and alts catch up and begin to outpace everything else, but WHEN. | 失误 -1.9% | -1.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:04.250000+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $100K is FUD. We’re going so much higher. | 失误 -2.1% | -2.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:17.542256+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Calling the generational bottom for Bitcoin here. | 命中 +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-18T23:30:17.136578+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | sharing a bearish ETH chart. | 失误 +1.2% | +6.6% | 2026-08-18T23:30:17.115376+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Bitcoin continues to move lower | 命中 -8.3% | -8.3% | 2026-08-18T23:30:17.065364+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Just gonna let a small BTC long ride and wait for stage 3 showdowns. | 失误 -10.9% | -10.9% | 2026-08-18T23:30:17.044344+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The green box is for bidding. | 失误 -9.0% | -23.8% | 2026-08-18T23:30:11.149061+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I've never been more bullish. | 失误 -16.2% | -16.2% | 2026-08-18T23:30:11.120539+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Generational bottom for Bitcoin | 失误 -6.0% | -6.0% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.326796+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin will rise again, stronger than ever. | 失误 -5.5% | -5.5% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.285074+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 失误 +1.1% | +1.0% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.264143+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | As bullish as it gets | 失误 +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.081004+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Now please send it to hundreds of thousands of dollars with haste. | 失误 -6.2% | -6.2% | 2026-08-18T23:30:08.863387+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | How can anyone looked at this chart and be bearish? | 失误 -6.2% | -12.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:08.838044+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 失误 +1.8% | +1.8% | 2026-08-18T23:30:06.350529+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | ARE YOU BULLISH YET | 命中 +3.8% | +1.0% | 2026-08-18T23:30:06.259330+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | be more bullish | 失误 -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:05.309808+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I’ve never been more bullish. | 失误 +0.7% | +0.7% | 2026-08-18T23:30:05.255394+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin's turn to send soon. | 命中 +7.6% | +7.6% | 2026-08-18T23:30:04.791074+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is your daily reminder to be more bullish. | 命中 +3.0% | +3.0% | 2026-08-18T23:30:04.158955+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | It's not a matter of if Bitcoin catches up and begins to outpace to stocks printing continuous new all time highs, but when. | 失误 +1.1% | +1.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:04.052591+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market follow. | 失误 -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-18T23:30:04.009818+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Never have been more bullish. | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-18T23:30:03.964058+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is your weekly reminder to be more bullish. | 失误 -6.3% | -6.3% | 2026-08-18T23:00:33.251727+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | it wasn't long before we saw new all time highs start to print again. | 失误 -5.2% | -5.2% | 2026-08-18T23:00:32.665164+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks pretty dang good to send higher | 失误 +1.1% | +1.1% | 2026-08-18T23:00:31.778021+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks pretty dang good to send higher | 失误 +1.4% | +2.5% | 2026-08-18T23:00:31.751858+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Every time it’s happened, it’s gone higher pretty soon after. | 失误 +0.8% | +0.8% | 2026-08-18T23:00:15.993249+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher | 命中 +4.5% | +4.5% | 2026-08-18T23:00:15.587843+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I still believe we see a Santa rally to close out the year. | 命中 +4.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-18T23:00:14.842581+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Think there are strong similarities for equities here vs where we were in September 2020. Low 80s was where BTC began its last leg up. | 命中 +6.8% | +6.8% | 2026-08-18T23:00:14.756427+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We like the bounce off support. | 失误 -6.0% | -6.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:13.900440+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Now run it back higher. | 失误 -9.8% | -9.8% | 2026-08-18T23:00:11.543097+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Remember what happened when the whole country received stimmys in 2020? Be more bullish. | 失误 -10.0% | -10.0% | 2026-08-18T23:00:10.759755+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I do not believe the top is in yet. | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-18T23:00:09.720669+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 失误 -0.5% | -0.5% | 2026-08-18T23:00:05.298605+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The bottom is in fellas. Send it straight to new all time highs. | 失误 -6.6% | -6.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:17.761447+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Either way - full send starts soon. | 失误 -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:17.553644+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 命中 +5.4% | +5.4% | 2026-08-18T22:30:16.024947+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks like 2025 is going to run back the same playbook. | 失误 +1.7% | +1.7% | 2026-08-18T22:30:15.155120+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The bottom for ETH is in. Up only from here. | 失误 -2.0% | -6.1% | 2026-08-18T22:30:15.048340+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | EVERY instance of China Tariff FUD we've seen so far has been an incredible buying opportunity for anyone bullish. | 失误 -4.2% | -4.2% | 2026-08-18T22:30:14.697207+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Fundamentals still say higher. | 失误 -4.0% | -4.0% | 2026-08-18T22:30:14.674865+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher from here. | 失误 -10.3% | -13.9% | 2026-08-18T22:30:14.653986+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I believe the market will recover and will run it back higher. | 命中 +7.2% | +3.8% | 2026-08-18T22:30:13.533062+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $1T mcap for Dogecoin = ~$6.9420 per $DOGE. | 失误 +1.1% | -4.5% | 2026-08-18T22:30:12.890100+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My target for Bitcoin this cycle is >$500K. | 失误 -5.6% | -5.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:12.368824+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | I once again am here to remind you that every red candle is a gift. | 失误 -6.8% | -6.8% | 2026-08-18T22:30:10.444048+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | You haven't missed the $BTC move up. It's just getting started. | 失误 -7.6% | -7.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:09.836228+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Resume up only. | 失误 -3.5% | -2.6% | 2026-08-18T22:30:06.917856+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before we see a rally like we did in 2017, except for unlike 2017 when Gold was chopping sideways - Bitcoin will be making new ratio all time highs while Gold is incredibly bullish and ripping higher. | 失误 +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T22:30:06.880193+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We're going so much higher. | 命中 +4.0% | +4.0% | 2026-08-18T22:30:06.059232+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | @EmanAbio @SuiNetwork bullish | 失误 +1.3% | +10.4% | 2026-08-18T22:30:05.889338+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish for Bitcoin. | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:27.682672+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Be more bullish. | 失误 -4.1% | -2.7% | 2026-08-18T22:00:27.661234+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher from here. | 失误 -2.7% | -2.7% | 2026-08-18T22:00:27.075968+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher from here. | 失误 -6.5% | -9.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:27.053577+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $XRP is going higher | 失误 -1.8% | -6.9% | 2026-08-18T22:00:25.980845+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish on the tech. | 失误 -6.6% | -11.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:25.458626+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | How can somebody look at this chart and not be bullish? | 失误 -14.0% | -20.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:24.627123+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BTC looks ready to break out again | 失误 -6.9% | -6.9% | 2026-08-18T22:00:23.301916+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bottom is in. | 失误 -2.3% | -2.3% | 2026-08-18T22:00:21.780314+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bottom looks like it's in fellas. | 失误 +2.9% | +2.9% | 2026-08-18T22:00:18.870714+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher from here. | 失误 +2.1% | +5.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:18.828591+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Until then, be more bullish. We’re going so much higher. | 失误 +2.0% | +2.0% | 2026-08-18T22:00:14.733788+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bottom is in. | 失误 -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.140732+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bottom is in. Send it. | 失误 +1.3% | +0.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:11.396417+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Chart still looks primed to be one of the leaders when the bull market resumes the trend higher. | 失误 -6.1% | -11.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:10.061529+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Up only from here. | 失误 -2.9% | -8.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:09.784378+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still so bullish it hurts | 失误 -7.3% | -7.3% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.864280+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We're long overdue for a Dogecoin god candle. | 失误 -2.3% | -9.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:05.172720+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | In my opinion it’s a bullish sign… Bitcoin has gone up this much and we haven’t had a new flood of retail on the timeline yet. | 失误 -7.3% | -7.3% | 2026-08-18T22:00:02.863493+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin & ETH are both on the verge of making new ATHs | 失误 -5.5% | -11.2% | 2026-08-18T22:00:02.835330+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | As it goes, the market goes with it. Long your long anons. We’re going so much higher. | 命中 +4.3% | +2.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:17.578302+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bitcoin is closing in on printing another new ATH. | 失误 -2.1% | -2.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:17.548736+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks like it's finally time to send higher. | 失误 +0.7% | +0.7% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.724059+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks like it's finally time to send higher. | 失误 -0.0% | +0.7% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.701326+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Only a matter of time before we're back to the highs. | 命中 +7.2% | +7.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:16.056326+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Up only szn is almost here. | 命中 +3.2% | +3.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.832807+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Little dip after the initial rip, followed by up only. | 命中 +21.3% | +25.5% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.428622+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher soon. | 失误 +3.0% | +3.0% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.376557+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher | 命中 +7.8% | +11.0% | 2026-08-18T21:30:15.329444+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Until then, be more bullish. | 失误 +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-18T21:30:14.811083+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher soon 📈 | 失误 -3.2% | -3.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:14.668974+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| AVAX 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | This is going to rip so hard. | 失误 -5.9% | -8.3% | 2026-08-18T21:30:14.288957+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Higher soon | 失误 -4.4% | -4.4% | 2026-08-18T21:30:12.931693+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | So much higher | 失误 -4.9% | -9.3% | 2026-08-18T21:30:12.593797+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Now send it higher. | 失误 -3.7% | -3.7% | 2026-08-18T21:30:10.687566+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $SUI looks good here. | 失误 -0.7% | -2.9% | 2026-08-18T21:30:10.262216+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Doubt this dip lasts for long. | 失误 +2.0% | -0.2% | 2026-08-18T21:30:08.924114+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | We’re going higher from here. | 失误 -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-18T21:30:08.095380+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | ...Bitcoin gets ready to pump | 失误 -1.7% | -1.7% | 2026-08-18T21:30:08.031305+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | DOGE / BTC chart still looks primed for continuation higher | 失误 -13.7% | -12.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:07.072816+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | My target for $DOGE this cycle is a one trillion dollar market cap (roughly $6.9420). | 失误 +0.7% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T21:30:04.882045+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | WE ARE GOING SO MUCH HIGHER | 失误 +1.9% | +1.9% | 2026-08-18T21:00:32.614468+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BE MORE BULLISH | 失误 -2.1% | -2.1% | 2026-08-18T21:00:31.517247+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Just getting warmed up. | 命中 +4.0% | +1.8% | 2026-08-18T21:00:31.497209+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Dips are gifts. | 命中 +21.9% | +22.3% | 2026-08-18T21:00:29.654024+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Short your shorts. | 命中 +8.1% | +8.1% | 2026-08-18T21:00:24.454911+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BE MORE BULLISH | 命中 +9.0% | +9.0% | 2026-08-18T21:00:22.811637+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Breakout / retest for $AVAX / $BTC chart send it higher with haste | 命中 +5.9% | +5.9% | 2026-08-18T21:00:20.793228+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| AVAX 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Breakout / retest for $AVAX / $BTC chart send it higher with haste | 命中 +5.5% | +11.7% | 2026-08-18T21:00:20.492994+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $10+ is a magnet. | 命中 +3.7% | +6.0% | 2026-08-18T21:00:19.706715+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| AVAX 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | AVAX chart looks primed for a good squeeze vs. BTC. | 命中 +3.1% | +5.3% | 2026-08-18T21:00:19.169937+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | The bottom for ETH is in. Up only from here. | 命中 +5.4% | +7.7% | 2026-08-18T21:00:18.613091+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | HIGHER FROM HERE. | 命中 +3.1% | +3.1% | 2026-08-18T21:00:17.186967+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Corporations and countries will continue to stack BTC reserves, which will have a trickle down effect on investment and speculation across the rest of the market. | 失误 +1.0% | +1.0% | 2026-08-18T21:00:14.285418+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | BE MORE BULLISH | 失误 +0.8% | +0.8% | 2026-08-18T21:00:13.136928+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | I don't know how anyone can look at this chart and actually think it's going higher. | 失误 +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-18T21:00:07.660413+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Have a hard time believing that | 命中 +4.8% | +6.3% | 2026-08-18T21:00:07.212978+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | $SUI USD chart looks ready to rip also | 失误 -4.2% | -4.5% | 2026-08-18T21:00:06.162668+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | SUI chart has a clean breakout / retest vs. BTC and has solid momentum as one of the leaders for a competitor to SOL in the monolithic L1 space. | 失误 -3.5% | -1.8% | 2026-08-18T20:30:34.476517+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | All of this to say, it's time to think bigger. Be more bullish. | 失误 +2.2% | +2.2% | 2026-08-18T20:30:24.693937+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Too many catalysts lining up not to go higher from here. | 失误 -4.4% | -4.4% | 2026-08-18T20:30:21.322889+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | V back to new highs. | 失误 -1.0% | -1.0% | 2026-08-18T20:30:18.765961+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | They gave you one last dip to buy for a generational bull run higher. | 失误 +1.7% | +1.7% | 2026-08-18T20:30:12.559325+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Bullish flywheel | 失误 +0.8% | -2.1% | 2026-08-17T13:00:27.360780+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | ONE LAST LEG LOWER BEFORE UP ONLY FELLAS | 失误 -2.9% | -2.9% | 2026-08-17T13:00:26.309537+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Target is still wick down to $40K-$50K range and set a bottom for the bear market before up only. | 失误 -1.8% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T13:00:07.291107+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Looks ready to rip for another leg up to new highs | 失误 -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-17T12:30:13.958949+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Pico-bottom of the bear market should happen within the next two months. | 失误 +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:10.308640+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | Looks like the move lower is just getting started. | 失误 +3.2% | +3.2% | 2026-08-17T12:30:06.739655+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↓ 看跌 | don't see us getting there anymore with how bad tech is already selling off | 失误 -0.0% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T12:30:05.351526+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Still really like the swing setup here for an easy move back to $1.00. Currently accumulating above HTF support and looks ready to break out of the range following BTC's move today. | 失误 -7.3% | -10.3% | 2026-08-17T11:30:10.493250+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Think we see a nice little weekend pump from Bitcoin and ETH this weekend. | 失误 +1.4% | +0.7% | 2026-08-17T11:00:20.743393+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Think we see a nice little weekend pump from Bitcoin and ETH this weekend. | 失误 -0.7% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T11:00:20.717657+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | ↑ 看涨 | Pretty bullish for what to expect over the next several years. | 失误 +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-17T11:00:18.092240+00:00 | 源帖 → · 研报 → |
相对口径 = 山寨对 BTC 计价、BTC 自身对美元——所以 BTC 那一行两列是同一个数。绝对口径恒为对美元,且不参与命中判定。
点位战绩
命中率: 29%
2 中 · 5 错 · n=7
按 price_target_v1 判定——他喊的那个点位有没有踩到。另一把尺,永不与上方方向命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-29 | 研报 → |
| ETH | — | 失误 | 2026-08-29 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 命中 | 2026-08-28 | 研报 → |
| SUI | — | 失误 | 2026-08-28 | 研报 → |
| BTC | — | 失误 | 2026-08-21 | 研报 → |
| SUI | >= $1 | 失误 | 2026-08-21 | 研报 → |
| BTC | >= $75000 | 命中 | 2026-08-21 | 研报 → |
回测记录
命中率: 11%
3 中 · 24 错 · n=27
从存档帖子事后结算——喊单当时已在公开记录里,但我们并未实时盯着它。单独成线,永不与上方前瞻命中率合算。
| 币种 | 叫单 | 结果 | 结算日 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI 回测 | >= $1 | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $33000 | 命中 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $80000 | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-19 | 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| AVAX 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | == $33000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $33000 | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | > $100000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $100000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | >= $150000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | > $110000 | 命中 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| DOGE 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | > $4000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $4000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | >= $3000 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| XRP 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | >= $259.96 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SOL 回测 | > $259.967 | 失误 | 2026-08-18 | 研报 → |
| SUI 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| BTC 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
| ETH 回测 | — | 失误 | 2026-08-17 | 研报 → |
相关账号
@CryptoMichNL
42%
n=19 · 3 个共同币种
@RaoulGMI
0%
n=3 · 3 个共同币种
@CryptoTony__
31%
n=13 · 2 个共同币种
@blknoiz06
67%
n=9 · 2 个共同币种
@CredibleCrypto
12%
n=8 · 2 个共同币种
与 CoinVerdict 对照
CoinVerdict 胜率(settle_v1 对 BTC): 64%
两个数字用的是同一把尺:kol_directional_v1 与 settle_v1 参数完全一致——7 天窗口、±3% 带宽、山寨对 BTC、BTC 自身对美元。所以上方的命中率与 CoinVerdict 的 64% 才可以并排摆。 · 两套口径有何不同 →
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数据源:VeraMind 结算账本 · 只记已验证结算,不记未到期叫单。 · 闲聊、复盘、观望不计入账本——只有明确喊单才进结算、才被计分。