@el_crypto_prof — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 1/1 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 79.3%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-18 (13d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC
What @el_crypto_prof has been sayingcycle history purist
- Repeatedly draws parallels between current TOTAL2 charts and 2017/2021 cycles to argue history is repeating. source ↗
- Relies heavily on specific indicators like 2-week MACD and CM Guppy to claim the market bottom is confirmed. source ↗
- States that Ethereum breaking out of downtrends or retesting levels is the primary trigger for the coming Altseason. source ↗
- Uses WLFI and specific altcoins as leading indicators to predict broader market volatility and trend direction. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 64 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
1 live · 22 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 1 / 23.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | $BTC is on the verge of reclaiming the blue line on the monthly CM GUPPY chart. In every cycle, this has confirmed the bottom for crypto. | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T00:00:13.196126+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Don't fade a perfect inverse head and shoulders pattern. | MISS +0.1% | +0.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:05.247524+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | This inverse head and shoulders pattern on $BTC has a target of $145,000-$150,000. | MISS +0.3% | +0.3% | 2026-08-18T21:00:27.474889+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | ..this is bullish. | MISS -0.6% | -0.6% | 2026-08-18T17:00:18.967024+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC doesn’t look even remotely bearish. | MISS -1.3% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T13:00:08.057615+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I think we’ve already hit rock bottom. | MISS -0.7% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T12:30:03.869126+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | The whole crypto market is set to rise sharply for a very long time. | MISS +1.0% | +1.0% | 2026-08-17T11:30:04.651362+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH/BTC looks incredibly bullish. | MISS -1.2% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T11:00:15.847554+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | We’re not bullish enough. | HIT +8.1% | +8.1% | 2026-08-17T10:00:14.934076+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Higher. | MISS -5.4% | -5.4% | 2026-08-17T09:30:08.070580+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | A very bullish 2026 lies ahead for BTC and Altcoins, folks. | MISS -4.5% | -4.5% | 2026-08-17T07:30:08.364729+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | We're all not bullish enough on crypto. | MISS -4.3% | -4.3% | 2026-08-17T07:30:07.900638+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | From here, only higher. | MISS +2.4% | +2.4% | 2026-08-17T07:00:34.601369+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | We're going to see much higher prices, especially for alts. | MISS +2.5% | +2.5% | 2026-08-17T07:00:33.741339+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I am and remain bullish. Higher. A LOT higher. | MISS -3.1% | -3.1% | 2026-08-17T06:30:12.564774+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | BTC is already leading the way. | MISS +0.5% | +0.5% | 2026-08-17T06:30:09.774316+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Wooow, ETH/BTC have just broken out of the downtrend that has been in place for 6 MONTHS. this is a massive bullish sign tbh. | MISS -2.7% | +0.2% | 2026-08-17T06:30:08.730353+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bottom is in. | HIT +3.1% | +3.1% | 2026-08-17T06:30:04.673918+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | the risk of missing out on the upward move is far more likely. | HIT +7.3% | +7.3% | 2026-08-17T06:00:22.982105+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Target: around $12,000. | MISS -1.2% | -8.0% | 2026-08-17T04:00:09.388783+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | The target is +$150,000. | MISS -1.6% | -1.6% | 2026-08-17T02:30:07.283553+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Be more bullish. | MISS -0.6% | -1.4% | 2026-08-17T02:30:04.398661+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Wow, $ETH has reached a new ATH after almost 4 years. | MISS -2.6% | -9.8% | 2026-08-17T02:00:39.039736+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | > $80000 | MISS | 2026-07-08 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.