@TheFlowHorse — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 1/1 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [20.7% – 100.0%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-20 (11d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
1 live · 4 backtested — never merged into one number.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-20T00:00:08.400079+00:00 · computable 1/1
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | It doesn't seem like a hike is happening, and dips are for buying. | HIT +9.2% | +9.2% | 2026-08-20T00:00:08.400079+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | this chart is looking good. I am happy with my patient additions down here - Not as bullish as some others in terms of ATH as target, but we ride. | MISS -7.3% | -7.3% | 2026-08-18T23:30:07.088592+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin is close to the bottom signal #1847 | MISS -1.3% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T13:00:08.146614+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Trade back into the low 60s and it becomes interesting again from the downside | MISS -0.7% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T12:30:03.837287+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | by the time sol reclaims 100 and bitcoin reclaims 80K, the easy money's gone | MISS -1.3% | -1.8% | 2026-08-17T12:00:02.718106+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-20 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | >= $99000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.