@KevinSvenson_ — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 5/5 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 43.4%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-30 (1d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, ETH
What @KevinSvenson_ has been sayingmomentum analyst
- Interprets short liquidations and failed retests as signs that a bear market is unlikely. source ↗
- Uses specific chart patterns like 'falling wedge' to declare that major reversals are confirmed. source ↗
- Promotes new exchange listings and specific tokens as drivers for the biggest moves of a cycle. source ↗
- Focuses heavily on platform building for Robinhood Chain and its SocialFi integrations. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 24 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
5 live · 12 backtested — never merged into one number.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | That is precisely why the probability of making a new low in Q4 just became extremely low. | MISS +1.5% | +1.5% | 2026-08-30T00:00:05.202407+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Short Squeeze➔Panic Buying➔Bull Market | MISS -2.3% | -2.9% | 2026-08-29T00:00:09.778964+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Yep! Here we go. #Ethereum🔹historic weekly falling wedge bullish reversal CONFIRMED ✅ The recovery will be spectacular. | MISS -1.8% | +7.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:07.512094+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | $ETH leading today's breakout 📈 | MISS -2.4% | +11.3% | 2026-08-27T00:00:07.359753+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | intra-day charts show a bullish reversal forming. | MISS +0.1% | +1.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:32.319300+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC is now breaking resistance, confirming the setup. | MISS -7.3% | -7.3% | 2026-08-18T23:30:07.139008+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | We’re far closer to new ATHs than most realize. | MISS +0.0% | +4.7% | 2026-08-18T22:00:28.101587+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Major bullish signal: $100,000 is the new floor. | MISS -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-18T20:30:13.068309+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Bitcoin rebounds 📈 +8% from today’s low, signaling $74.4K as a strong support level. | HIT +9.6% | +9.6% | 2026-08-18T19:30:13.885152+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Bitcoin is a safe haven today. | MISS -0.6% | -0.6% | 2026-08-18T19:30:12.385375+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Bitcoin Bullish Pivot (Setup) | MISS -2.6% | -2.6% | 2026-08-18T19:30:09.024467+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Ethereum🔹historic weekly falling wedge bullish reversal. | MISS +0.3% | -1.5% | 2026-08-17T13:00:07.269429+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Ethereum🔹 - the last time we saw this breakout was April 2025. | MISS -0.0% | -0.7% | 2026-08-17T12:30:05.981798+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | when $ETH eats, everything eats. | MISS -1.2% | +0.9% | 2026-08-17T11:00:15.790283+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | #ETHEREUM 🔹 leading todays move with a breakout 💥 pushing to the highest levels in 40 days | MISS -0.3% | +2.0% | 2026-08-17T11:00:12.006977+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | #ETH🔹 just jumped +2% in 1-minute The breakout is coming ... 𝕤𝕠𝕠𝕟™ 🍿 | MISS +1.4% | -1.3% | 2026-08-17T10:30:10.000125+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | #BITCOIN 🟠 Bullish Engulfing Candle - Forming | HIT +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T10:00:15.266098+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-30 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-29 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-27 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-19 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.