@CryptoCapo_ — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 2/2 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [9.5% – 90.5%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-28 (3d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, ETH
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
2 live · 6 backtested — never merged into one number.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-28T00:00:09.299164+00:00 · computable 1/1
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Altcoins looking strong too, led by $ETH. | MISS -1.8% | +7.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:09.325655+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | Much higher imo. | HIT +9.9% | +9.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:09.299164+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | This could be an important higher low for the entire crypto market, before strong bullish continuation. | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T23:30:10.103319+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| LINK backtested | ↑ Bullish | Now at support, so local bottom/bounce is likely here (like rest of the market) | MISS -1.0% | +1.1% | 2026-08-17T11:00:16.958561+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $80,000 (and higher) should be next. | HIT +6.0% | +6.0% | 2026-08-17T07:00:21.499605+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Higher. | HIT +6.6% | +6.6% | 2026-08-17T06:30:11.357844+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | In all seriousness, being bearish here is a mistake. | HIT +4.7% | +4.7% | 2026-08-17T06:30:05.585409+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze) | HIT +5.3% | +5.3% | 2026-08-17T05:30:10.357341+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| BTC | <= $80000 | HIT | 2026-08-26 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| LINK backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.