@CryptoCaesarTA — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 3/3 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [6.1% – 79.2%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-28 (3d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC, ETH
What @CryptoCaesarTA has been sayingchart-driven bull
- Repeatedly urges followers to 'zoom out' on charts, arguing that major support levels and obvious cycles only appear on long timeframes. source ↗
- Claims to be roughly 85% through a specific bear market cycle length and expects the next bull run to be the 'crazy' one. source ↗
- Often uses technical setups like 'break out and retest' or 'accumulation zones' to justify buying assets like $WOJAK or $ETH. source ↗
- Suggests Ethereum on-chain activity will lead the next market leg, specifically favoring memes like $WOJAK to outperform. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 91 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
3 live · 18 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 3 / 21.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
earliest computable hit: 2026-08-26T00:00:07.331087+00:00 · computable 1/1
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Can’t express how bullish I am on $ETH. | MISS -1.8% | +7.9% | 2026-08-28T00:00:09.412656+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | $BTC formed a double bottom right here and will test resistance soon. | HIT +21.3% | +21.3% | 2026-08-26T00:00:07.331087+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH | ↑ Bullish | Bottom in soon. | MISS +0.1% | +1.9% | 2026-08-19T00:00:31.676303+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | Looking for the blue zone next. | HIT -4.6% | -4.6% | 2026-08-18T23:30:09.465985+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | It will run into some resistance soon tho. | MISS +1.4% | -0.3% | 2026-08-18T23:00:21.573026+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bounce soon. | MISS +0.1% | +4.1% | 2026-08-18T22:30:05.984755+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $ETH / $BTC is running into some resistance. Sooner or later, we’ll break it. | MISS +0.4% | +0.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.119415+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | $ETH / $BTC is running into some resistance. Sooner or later, we’ll break it. | MISS -1.6% | -1.2% | 2026-08-18T22:00:13.097890+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | To be honest, I’m still bullish. | HIT +7.1% | +1.5% | 2026-08-18T22:00:08.505886+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | $ETH - #Ethereum broke the major resistance at 4K. One more to go: All Time High. | MISS -1.5% | -8.7% | 2026-08-18T22:00:02.889728+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | #Ethereum is breaking my key resistance level. Ethereum summer is coming. | HIT +19.5% | +19.9% | 2026-08-18T21:00:27.560894+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin reclaims the $107.000 level. Bounced hard off our last support level. | MISS +1.4% | +1.4% | 2026-08-18T21:00:07.311011+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | I’m having some orders ready at the blue levels. | HIT +4.6% | +12.2% | 2026-08-18T20:30:27.500020+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | See you at new ATH’s. | MISS -0.3% | -0.3% | 2026-08-18T20:00:07.552748+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC - #Bitcoin bounced from a very important support level and is showing some significant strenght right now. | MISS +0.5% | +0.5% | 2026-08-18T19:30:16.929865+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Looking very good overhere! | MISS +0.9% | +0.9% | 2026-08-18T19:30:16.770109+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | $ETH - #Ethereum is testing the most important support level. | HIT -6.8% | -11.4% | 2026-08-18T19:00:09.902774+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bitcoin is testing a major support zone on the weekly. The RSI at the bottom is hovering around 40 in the blue zone, exactly the level that marked the bottom in 2023 before the big rally (the blue circle on the left). | MISS -2.9% | -2.9% | 2026-08-17T13:00:11.672655+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↑ Bullish | Buying the shit out of this $SOL chart. | MISS -5.9% | -3.3% | 2026-08-17T10:30:04.448325+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC keeps on printing lower highs and lower lows. Looking for the weekly support zone next. | MISS +3.8% | +3.8% | 2026-08-17T10:00:17.294610+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↓ Bearish | $BTC: Last support is acting as resistance right now. | MISS +6.4% | +6.4% | 2026-08-17T09:00:12.668434+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-28 | verdict → |
| BTC | — | HIT | 2026-08-26 | verdict → |
| ETH | — | MISS | 2026-08-19 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.