@ColdBloodShill — settled call record
✓ Source check: 0 unavailable · 2/2 covered · last sweep 2026-08-31
Rate rule: kol_directional_v1 — read the full rule →
95% CI [0.0% – 79.3%] · Wilson 95% interval — where the true rate likely sits.
Last settled 2026-08-29 (2d ago)
Small sample — the interval is wide and the number will move.
BTC
What @ColdBloodShill has been sayingmomentum spot bull
- Advocates buying spot positions during sudden market drops instead of trying to time the exact bottom. source ↗
- Views current market volatility as a punishment for shorts, stating that traders trying to short tops are getting wiped. source ↗
- Criticizes the obsession with calling exact market bottoms, emphasizing that holding through trends is more profitable. source ↗
- Promotes prop firm evaluations as a way to trade with high capital and fixed risk during volatile periods. source ↗
AI-distilled — our read of 121 public posts from the last 30 days, not their words. Every line links to the original so you can check us.
Follow the calls, or just hold BTC?
1 live · 14 backtested — never merged into one number.
These dollar figures are carried by backtests — hypothetical performance from applying the same rule to past statements, not a live track record. Live records: 1 / 15.
Each call is an independent $100 position, closed after 7 days — no compounding, no fees, no slippage. How this is scored →
By coin
By call
By window
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ↑ Bullish | This is bearish hell. I assure you many have tried shorting each of these highs before we continually clip them and move higher. | MISS -0.6% | -0.6% | 2026-08-29T00:00:06.940779+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | What they said | Relative (ranked) † | Absolute (vs USD) † | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | I suspect it'll do a violent upside move here to blow away shorters. | MISS -0.1% | -0.1% | 2026-08-18T23:30:05.331839+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | $BTC building a decent base to go and attack the resistance at $88,800 - $89,000. | MISS -2.3% | -2.3% | 2026-08-18T23:00:14.897549+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | Bears have absolutely no technical leg to stand on trying to short this. | MISS -2.6% | -6.1% | 2026-08-18T22:30:17.669291+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Send it higher. | MISS -10.2% | -10.2% | 2026-08-18T22:30:10.534466+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| DOGE backtested | ↑ Bullish | $DOGE still looks like one of the most resilient HTF charts rn. | HIT +20.6% | +26.4% | 2026-08-18T22:00:17.679948+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | $5,000 will come swiftly, and I suspect higher targets too. | MISS +1.2% | +3.1% | 2026-08-18T21:30:06.520637+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| XRP backtested | ↑ Bullish | ETH/XRP/HYPE all markets that look as though they have room to go on the HTF before meeting significant resistance. | MISS -9.3% | -13.9% | 2026-08-18T19:30:09.649228+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | Shorted $ETH last night in @TheHavenCrypto simply because it ran through all of the squeeze areas and into resistance. | HIT -4.8% | -13.2% | 2026-08-18T19:00:08.620595+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↑ Bullish | This is a big decision zone for some simple longs. | MISS +1.3% | -1.7% | 2026-08-17T13:00:11.703770+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Now that the stock market is roaring back to life, it's time for crypto to move. | MISS -0.8% | -0.8% | 2026-08-17T13:00:03.327656+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Green rally week incoming | MISS +2.1% | +2.1% | 2026-08-17T12:30:10.266985+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| BTC backtested | ↑ Bullish | Think this is absolutely what we're currently seeing. | MISS +2.3% | +2.3% | 2026-08-17T11:00:11.020074+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| SOL backtested | ↓ Bearish | At the moment the market looks a lot more likely it's fitting into the: downtrend -> consolidate -> continue downtrend approach. | MISS -2.4% | -2.8% | 2026-08-17T08:30:08.966577+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
| ETH backtested | ↓ Bearish | $ETH sweeps the highs of the last 2 months then goes ahead and fails ever possible support retest on the way down. | MISS +1.5% | +5.7% | 2026-08-17T05:30:32.028824+00:00 | source post → · verdict → |
Relative = altcoins scored against BTC, BTC itself against USD — so BTC rows carry the same number in both columns. Absolute is always vs USD, and never carries a verdict.
Graded under price_target_v1 — did the stated price target print? A different rule, never merged into the directional rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | — | MISS | 2026-08-29 | verdict → |
| BTC | >= $70000 | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Settled after the fact from archived posts — the call was already on the record before we scored it, but we were not watching it live. Kept on a separate line and never merged into the prospective hit rate above.
| Coin | Call | Result | Settled | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC backtested | >= $145000 | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| DOGE backtested | — | HIT | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| XRP backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-18 | verdict → |
| BTC backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| ETH backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
| SOL backtested | — | MISS | 2026-08-17 | verdict → |
Same ruler on both sides: kol_directional_v1 runs on identical parameters to settle_v1 — a 7-day window, a ±3% band, altcoins scored vs BTC and BTC vs USD. That is why the hit rate above and CoinVerdict's 64% can sit side by side. · How the two differ →
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Source: VeraMind settled-call ledger · only verified settlements, never open calls. · Chatter, recaps and "watching" posts never enter the ledger — only explicit calls are settled and counted.